Home Media Research weekly sales figures & other software sales data

[freddylinni]

Here the updated chart. Added yearly average for 2009. Current 4 week share is below average but rising.

Originally Posted by dialog_gvf

Yearly marketshare increase measured as a delta in the year over year marketshare percentage? That's not a valid metric.

I disagree. Percentage points is the only valid way to show change in percentage share. Example all polls are done in that way (Barack increased his lead with 4 percentage points)

Info:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Percentage_point

[PA_Kid]

Originally Posted by Grubert

Very good week:

Pinocchio outsellling Transporter 3 by almost 2:1 Guess including the DVD for the kids room/minivan is not such a bad idea.

Thank you! (Been saying this forever)

(I wonder if the Amazon pricing goof helped. Maybe we'll see a surge in SB when Amazon gets enough in to ship )

[ryoohki]

How come Southpark have a share.. it was release this week?????

[dialog_gvf]

Originally Posted by freddylinni

I disagree. Percentage points is the only valid way to show change in percentage share. Example all polls are done in that way (Barack increased his lead with 4 percentage points)

Until you changed the legend you weren't claiming to show the change in percentage. You were claiming it was "Yearly market share increase".

But, I never see anyone make graphs of the change in poll results. They graph the poll results and make comments on the deltas.

Beware the idiot who sees a poll result of 1% then 2% and then 4% and claims the idea isn't catching on.

"It's only gone up 3 percentage points"

In reality, support has quadrupled.

I'm reminded of the HD disc war when people would see BD at 60% and HD DVD at 40% and claim all HD DVD needed to catch up was 10% more support.

Gary

[freddylinni]

Originally Posted by dialog_gvf

Until you changed the legend you weren't claiming to show the change in percentage. You were claiming it was "Yearly market share increase".

I wrote it in the first post with that graph, but agree i also should i had it in the image. (i just thought it was obvious)

Showing the change in percentage points is much better because then you really see how its going. In the other way the chart will just be misleading

example (not real numbers)
year 1: 0.01%
year 2: 0.3 % 2900% increase
year 3: 3% 900% increase
year 4: 9% 200% increase
year 5: 18% 100% increase

It looks like it slowing down a lot, when its really increasing

[NutsAboutPS3]

The key thing, to me, with changes in percentage points, is that it serves as a rough proxy for the number of people buying Blu-rays. A change in market share from 3% to 4% means you've gained approximately the same number of people as 40% to 41%.

The problem with looking at it as a relative change, e.g. considering both 1% to 2% and 30% to 60% to be a doubling, is that doubling a small number is much less significant than doubling a large number. This was brought up in a recent story in the UK about how misleading figures on cancer are unless you know the incidence of the disease in the whole population. Eating a certain type of food might double your risk of a specific type of cancer, say, but this tells you nothing unless you know how prevalent that type of cancer is. If 1 in a million people get that type of cancer, then doubling the risk only causes an extra 1 in a million people to get it. If, on the other hand, 50% of the population get that type of cancer, then doubling the risk would mean that if everyone eats the type of food that doubles the risk, the entire population would be expected to get that form of cancer! Clearly the two situations are completely different in terms of the increased risk to an individual from the identified risk factor.

For Blu-ray, you could argue that the most valid metric would be the % of non-Blu-ray people that have been converted to Blu-ray. E.g. if we go from 1% to 2%, we have converted 1 in 99 people to Blu-ray in that period. If we go from 40% to 41%, we have converted 1 in 60 people to Blu-ray (out of those who weren't already Blu-ray owners), i.e. it is arguably harder to get from 40 to 41 than it is to get from 1 to 2, because you have a smaller pool of people remaining to be converted.

[owa]

New link is up, I think. It shows up in the archives but is just giving me blank pages so far:

http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/ques...D/index.php#/0

[Steven_qt]

Last of this weeks charts.

[Grubert]

Action/horror/thriller

Date    Title                     Genre       W1  W2  W3  W4  W5  W6  W7  W8
031009  Let the Right One In      Horror      22
        Transporter 3             Action      19
021709  Body of Lies              Thriller    21  18  21  20
        Midnight Meat Train       Horror      16   -  -    -
        Quarantine                Horror      16  13  12  12
012709  Lakeview Terrace          Thriller     9   9   5  16   -   -   -
        RockNRolla                Action      23  22   -   -   -   -   -
012009  Max Payne                 Action      21  18  12  16  14  16  22   -
        Saw V                     Horror      11   9   7   -   -   -   -   -
011309  Mirrors                   Horror      13  12  16   -   -   -   -   -
010609  Babylon A.D.              Action       -  18  21  24  18   -   -   -
        Bangkok Dangerous         Thriller     -  17  16   -  14   -   -   -
        Righteous Kill            Thriller     -  14  17  19  16   -   -   -
122708  Eagle Eye                 Thriller     -   -   -  21  24  48  25  21
122108  Death Race                Action       -   -   -  22  21  27   -   -
121608  The Mummy: Tomb...        Action       -   -   -   -  18  22  21  18
120908  The Dark Knight           Action       -   -   -   -   -  31  30  28
120208  Wanted                    Action       -   -   -   -   -   -  25  28

Comedy/animation/musical/other

Date    Title                     Genre       W1  W2  W3  W4  W5  W6  W7  W8
031009  Cadillac Records          Drama        6
        Milk                      Drama       10
        Rachel Getting Married    Drama        5
        Role Models               Comedy      12
        South Park 12th Season    Animation    8
030309  Australia                 Drama       12  13
        Beverly Hills Chihuahua   Comedy       3   3
        Watchmen Motion Comic     Animation   29   -
        Wonder Woman              Animation   14  13
022409  Futurama Into the Wild... Animation   10   9   -
        Sex Drive                 Comedy      13  10  12
021709  Changeling                Drama        8   8   9   9
        High School Musical 3     Musical      5   6   4   3
021009  Miracle at St. Anna       Drama       18  17  19  18  12
        Nights in Rodanthe        Romance      8   6   7   7   -
        Soul Men                  Comedy       4   -   -   -   -
        W.                        Drama        9   8   -   -   -
020309  Afro Samurai Resurrection Animation   19   -   -   -   -   -
        Madagascar Escape 2       Animation    9   8   6  13  12  10
        Nick and Norah's...       Comedy       8   8   -   -   -   -
        Rent: Filmed Live...      Musical     15   -   -   -   -   -
        The Secret Life of Bees   Drama        3   4   4   -   -   -
        Space Buddies             Family       3   3   2   -   3   -
        Zack and Miri Make...     Comedy      11  10  12  15  15  16
012709  Hulk Vs.                  Animation   16  13  13   -   -   -   -
        Open Season 2             Animation    3   4   4   -   -   -   -
        Pride and Glory           Drama       17  14  16  16   -   -   -
        Vicky Cristina Barcelona  Comedy       7   -  15   -   -   -   -
012009  Igor                      Animation    6   8   -   -   -   -   -   -
        The Express               Drama       10   -   -   -   -   -   -   -
011309  Appaloosa                 Western     12  14  13  13  17   -   -   -
        My Best Friend's Girl     Comedy       8   8   -   -   -   -   -   -
        Swing Vote                Comedy       6   -   -   -   -   -   -   -
010609  Pineapple Express         Comedy       -   -  12  12  13  13  15  12
122308  Burn After Reading        Comedy       -   -   -  12   -   -   -   -
121608  Mamma Mia!                Musical      -   -   -   -   9  11  11   9
120908  Horton Hears a Who!       Animated     -   -   -   -   -   8  11   -
120208  Step Brothers             Comedy       -   -   -   -   -   -  12  16

[quexos]

Hmm looks like figures are stabilizing a bit for Blu this week. Hope this trend is confirmed later on.

[Steven_qt]

Wow. I didn't expect Twilight on BD to do so well.

Link: http://www.homemediamagazine.com/res...es-chart-15147

[Scorxpion]

Already reserved Twilight in my book.A must have title.Let's see next week with Quantum of Solace.I'm expecting a bigger sales.........

[Wolverine1980]

I own 9 movies off that top 20 list, not too bad I guess.

[atomik kinder]

Originally Posted by Steven_qt

Wow. I didn't expect Twilight on BD to do so well.

Especially since it was only available at Target and Best Buy. Bolt made it to the list too, even though it wasn't supposed to be on sale until Sunday. Did you notice Bolt did 20%? Blu-ray did pretty well considering the exclusivity of Twilight and 4 of the top 20 were not released on Blu-ray either.

[Blu Titan]

Originally Posted by Scorxpion

Already reserved Twilight in my book.A must have title.Let's see next week with Quantum of Solace.I'm expecting a bigger sales.........

Quantum should be very big in Blu. Hoping for a 20% share.

[Steven_qt]

9:91

I think its interesting that DVD revenue is down for the week compared to last year.

[freddylinni]

I think its more interesting that last year this week must have been a great BD week. Only 1 percentage point increase in market share compared to last year. What movie was released that week?

[Y3k Bug]

Originally Posted by freddylinni

What movie was released that week?

"I am Legend" was released on March 18th, 2008. I'm thinking that would correspond to the same week this year, and probably be big numbers.

[Grubert]

Originally Posted by freddylinni

I think its more interesting that last year this week must have been a great BD week. Only 1 percentage point increase in market share compared to last year. What movie was released that week?

I Am Legend.

Actually I was expecting revenues to be down this week from last year. I'm happy to say I missed by a little.

[freddylinni]

Originally Posted by Grubert

I Am Legend.

Actually I was expecting revenues to be down this week from last year. I'm happy to say I missed by a little.

Cool :-)
I am legend created the first spike in my chart. (not as large as Iron Man and TDK spike, but still a spike)