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Originally Posted by blu2
Global sales though I would doubt.
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Though it may seem optimistic, that "global" term really needs some clarification. "Home theater" and even DVD is a product aimed primarily at the "developed" world, which consists of a minority of the nations on this planet.
Blu-ray sales are definitely going to trend upward in the United States, Canada, Western Europe and Japan. The 2011 mark for BD sales to overtake DVD sales seems reasonable in those areas. Other parts of the world may lag behind, but they already make up only a small portion of current home video sales.