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Old 03-25-2017, 03:28 PM   #546
bruceames bruceames is online now
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Default Evolution of DVD vs. Blu-ray vs. Digital HD (EST): 2006-2016

Y-axis is in billions
X-axis: 1 = year 2006 and 11 = year 2016
Sorry, tried to format the x-axis values and gave up after 30 minutes.

Chart 1 shows the decline of DVD very clearly, peaking at nearly $14 billion in 2006, to just $3.43 billion last year. Notice the linear nature of the decline. The first linear decline is fairly small, from 2006-2008 (average decline of 5% a year). The second is much steeper, from 2008-2011 (down 15% per year), and the latest decline "curve" (2011-2016) is also nearly a straight line, a more moderate decline of about 10% a year.

The growth curve of Blu-ray can be seen in the secord chart, and lately has remain fairly constant, around $2 billion a year for the last 7 years.

The digital figures (growth curve shown in chart 3) are sell-through only and I don't have the data for years prior to 2008 (although it's insignificant anyway). But digital growth started out slow and started to grow quickly in 2012. This rapid growth lasted until 2015, and last year growth has slowed down again.

Below is the table of data from which the charts are derived. Keep in mind that Digital HD doesn't separate HD from SD purchases. So for comparison's sake, between digital and disc, one would need to compare the sum of DVD and Blu-ray against it. Nevertheless, they are 3 separate categories for tracking sell-through spending, and the only ones we have right now.

Code:
Year	DVD	BD	Digital 
2006	13.89	0.02	0
2007	13.38	0.25	0
2008	12.48	0.63	0
2009	10.55	1.07	0.43
2010	8.5	1.8	0.54
2011	6.8	2.1	0.6
2012	6	2.18	0.81
2013	5.33	2.33	1.19
2014	4.66	2.12	1.55
2015	3.96	2.02	1.89
2016	3.43	2.02	2
chart 1: DVD growth curve, with Blu-ray and Digital stacked on top


Chart 2: Blu-ray growth curve


Chart 3: Digital growth curve
Attached Images
File Type: jpg BD-DVD-Digital comparison chart.jpg (64.3 KB, 204 views)
File Type: jpg comparison 2.jpg (64.8 KB, 204 views)
File Type: jpg comparison3.jpg (64.4 KB, 203 views)

Last edited by bruceames; 03-25-2017 at 03:55 PM.
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