What ever format wins, the HD format will catch on sooner, every year the price for HD equipment drops nearly 40% and this christmas will be no different. Also, all analog signals are getting shut off in the US in april '08 so when people go to buy new TVs im willing to bet alot will drop a few extra to pick up at least a 720p set, which even now some aren't that much more then some decent sized CRTs on the market. DVD will still be sold for a while yes, but it will lose out to the next format. You can still buy some things on VHS believe it or not. So imma so 4-5 yrs after clear winner is picked.
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