From pre-order numbers being expressed by our member in the UK, they could sell 600K PS/3 at launch in the UK alone.
From the claims, we know about 100K add-ons shipped (and 92K sold) to the end of 2006. The claim is 150K shipped total, so only 50K for the rest of the world. And almost nothing in standalones.
Sony is saying at least 1 million units into the UK + Europe launch. Couple with elsewhere, it could easily hit 1.5 million day one.
Compared to NA or Japan, the BD v. HD DVD "war" there is going to be a complete joke. It's over on day #1 of the PS/3. It took a few months in Japan and North America.
Gary