The only way that downloads would work is if download speeds increase 100 fold. This is impossible unless DSL is replace with either Optical Fibre or cable. This hasn't happened (even though it was possible twenty years ago) because yesterday, today and any day into the future it will be not be economically viable to dig the street to lay new cables in the US and around the world.
Time and new technological advance will make no difference, downloads will only have a small part to play in the future.
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