Actually I think a lot of people in 2009 will have HDTVs, cause many people are under the assumption that their TV will magically die after all the channels change to the new tuners. So when they're buying replacement TVs, more than likely a majority of them will be HDTVs. I'd give no less 1/2 in my prediction of mid-late 2009.
I think eventually Blu-ray will have 50%, especially now that everyone is pretty sure of Blu-victory. Many people I work with who held off from buying any HD format, immediately after Warner became exclusive said "I'm buying a Blu-ray player, which one should I get?" I'd say by mid-late 2010. Cause 2009 will be when most people I think will have HDTVs and their friends will have blu and they'll be like holy cow, I want that and I now have the perfect TV to watch it on!
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