Quote:
Originally Posted by blu-rayfan101
With the release of MGS4 coming up, how many more units will sell just for MGS4? Please specify between worldwide and certain regions. I have no idea how many more units will sell, but I'm wondering if anyone has any ideas or thoughts om the topic.
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For the game I think they will sell 2-2.75m in the first week (US will be around 1/3 of that). Likely in the first month they will sell close to 5 million. I would think its life cycle will be about 10 million.
For PS3 consols...
between 200,000 and 350,000. 40,000-75,000 first week. (Both above the adoption rate that is happening without MGS)
Most who have adopted from PS2 for a game (the fans of MGS MUST have owned a PS2) adopted for GTAIV. I dont think that many are left who would adopt for this game, but a 350,000 kick for a game is not bad, it is great when think about the numbers per week they are selling now... it is like a 50% boost.
I dunno, with R:fom 2 maybe 150,000-600,000 more (people on board with that game already own a PS3 on the low end, Xmas on the high end), with KZ2 maybe 150,000. If it lives up to the hype I bet it moves about 300,000 in its life cycle (a great FPS will move more than a Stealth action I think). Those two are daisy chained to MGS and GTA of course, so it takes into account that some people would adopt for those games and be unable to rebuy a PS3 for MGS/R2/KZ2.
All three games will suffer from having adoption because of other games, so their numbers will be slighted... In other words, I would bet that most people who bought a PS3 for GTA were thinking ahead to these games.
All in all, that is a huge kick for PS3, because that would be above the normal adoption rate by about 1 million units over the next 6-8 months (about 150,000 a month), while the other guy has nothing huge coming in that time.
Again, that is a 50% boost to sales.