Quote:
Originally Posted by Tekka
4k won't be a niche. All the television makers are transitioning to 4k and 8k televisions. In ten years you might not even see 1080p televisions sold anymore. The 4k and 8k tvs will be sold like the 720p and 1080p tvs are today.
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Using the "sold in stores" argument doesn't prove much. They always sell the newest technology in stores. Forget 10 years, they don't sell TV and computer models that are more than a couple of years old in an electronics store.
But the amount of people who will be buying new TVs in order to replace their old TVs will be much smaller than the transition from the old bulky tube SD TVs to current HD TVs. People were selling off or even throwing away their old TVs to get the HD flatscreens. This won't be the case nearly as much with the transition to 4K TVs and way more people will only buy a new TV if their old one breaks down and dies.
Also, much like the transition from DVD to blu ray wasn't as big as the transition from the huge VHS tapes to much smaller DVD discs, the physical and aesthetic difference won't be as big as the difference between the old chubby TVs and flat screens. This time, it will be a transition from flat screens to flat screens.
It's easy for people who consider themselves videophiles to post on a niche forum and get high off each other's comments about how 256K TVs will dominate in 3 years, but the fact of the matter is the average consumer doesn't give nearly as much **** as you would like them to. See the continuous success of DVDs nearly a decade after the release of the blu ray format. Not to mention the success of streaming even though the quality is crap compared to blu ray.