What will HMM report as BD revenues for Sun-Sat WE 10/30/11? Captain America - Blu-ray Forum

blueshadow | Kosty · 11-06-2011, 10:50 AM

Week ending Sunday 10/30/11 Poll

Revenue Guess Only - Comments on Marketshare welcome

blueshadow | Kosty · 11-06-2011, 10:52 AM

I will go with the $80-89 range as the best of the year. 40-45% BD revenue marketshare.

Bishop_99 · 11-07-2011, 04:51 PM

Considering how much lower BD revenue the POTC 4 week was than what I expected, I'm going to have to go low this week. Captain America seems to be a good seller, but it will have a DVD counterpart, plus it had a 3D premium at the Box Office that could have inflated it's performance, unlike a movie like Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes which actually made over $170 million with only a 2D release. With Captain America's 68% BD market share, it will probably perform better in its first week than what Thor did on Blu-ray, but I don't think it will be enough to have higher revenue than the Lion King/ Fast Five/ Transformers 3 Blu-ray week.

Jurassic Park can provide a nice push in revenue, but I'm not sure how much. The lost in revenue for POTC 4 might not be enough to give this week a big push. Considering how I've over shot the last couple of weeks, I'll go with my gut feeling this time and play it save with a high $40 million revenue week.

Hopefully I'm wrong and Blueshadows prediction comes true.

blueshadow | Kosty · 11-07-2011, 07:47 PM

I am anxiously awaiting this data. This is the most curious I have been all year.

All early indications are that Captain America over achieved its box office pedigree on home video the question is by how much and how much the Sunday offset will affect the data.

Bishop_99 · 11-08-2011, 07:09 PM

Based on the data provided by The-Numbers for the DVD sales, and the 68% BD market share reported for Captain America, it looks like it really over performed like you mentioned, when compared to other recently released similar movies.

I keep awaiting HMM estimated revenues

blueshadow | Kosty · 11-08-2011, 09:21 PM

It overperformed its box office but still less than I expected for overall revenues.

Week ending 10/29/11

$50.49 M Blu-ray up +115.9% YoY

$99.96 M DVD -11.3% YoY

$147.15 OD up +11.15% YoY

Blu-ray 34.31% Revenue Marketshare

Blu-ray 59.93% Unit Marketshare

View Poll Results: What will HMM report as BD revenues for Sun-Sat 10/30/11? Captain America
$110.00 million or above (best revenue week ever for Blu-ray)	0	0%
$100.0 –110.99 million	0	0%
$90.00 – 99.99 million	0	0%
$80.00 – 89.99 million	1	50.00%
$70.00 – 79.99 million	0	0%
$60.00 – 69.99 million	0	0%
$50.00 – 59.99 million	0	0%
$40.00 – 49.99 million	1	50.00%
$30.00 – 39.99 million	0	0%
Voters: 2. You may not vote on this poll

11-06-2011, 10:50 AM	#1
blueshadow \| Kosty Power Member Member since:Sep 2007 Blu-ray collection:3	What will HMM report as BD revenues for Sun-Sat WE 10/30/11? Captain America Week ending Sunday 10/30/11 Poll Revenue Guess Only - Comments on Marketshare welcome

11-06-2011, 10:52 AM	#2
blueshadow \| Kosty Power Member Member since:Sep 2007 Blu-ray collection:3	I will go with the $80-89 range as the best of the year. 40-45% BD revenue marketshare.

11-07-2011, 04:51 PM	#3
Bishop_99 Blu-ray Guru Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Hialeah, Fl 4K collection:248 Blu-ray collection:580 DVD collection:28 Blu-ray reviews:2 Trading Score:18	Considering how much lower BD revenue the POTC 4 week was than what I expected, I'm going to have to go low this week. Captain America seems to be a good seller, but it will have a DVD counterpart, plus it had a 3D premium at the Box Office that could have inflated it's performance, unlike a movie like Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes which actually made over $170 million with only a 2D release. With Captain America's 68% BD market share, it will probably perform better in its first week than what Thor did on Blu-ray, but I don't think it will be enough to have higher revenue than the Lion King/ Fast Five/ Transformers 3 Blu-ray week. Jurassic Park can provide a nice push in revenue, but I'm not sure how much. The lost in revenue for POTC 4 might not be enough to give this week a big push. Considering how I've over shot the last couple of weeks, I'll go with my gut feeling this time and play it save with a high $40 million revenue week. Hopefully I'm wrong and Blueshadows prediction comes true.

11-07-2011, 07:47 PM	#4
blueshadow \| Kosty Power Member Member since:Sep 2007 Blu-ray collection:3	I am anxiously awaiting this data. This is the most curious I have been all year. All early indications are that Captain America over achieved its box office pedigree on home video the question is by how much and how much the Sunday offset will affect the data.

11-08-2011, 07:09 PM	#5
Bishop_99 Blu-ray Guru Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Hialeah, Fl 4K collection:248 Blu-ray collection:580 DVD collection:28 Blu-ray reviews:2 Trading Score:18	Based on the data provided by The-Numbers for the DVD sales, and the 68% BD market share reported for Captain America, it looks like it really over performed like you mentioned, when compared to other recently released similar movies. I keep awaiting HMM estimated revenues

11-08-2011, 09:21 PM	#6
blueshadow \| Kosty Power Member Member since:Sep 2007 Blu-ray collection:3	It overperformed its box office but still less than I expected for overall revenues. Week ending 10/29/11 $50.49 M Blu-ray up +115.9% YoY $99.96 M DVD -11.3% YoY $147.15 OD up +11.15% YoY Blu-ray 34.31% Revenue Marketshare Blu-ray 59.93% Unit Marketshare

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