AVCHD the new MP3/JPG of video?

[PuzZLeR]

Now that the format war is over (gee that's old news now ) we obviously have one standard - which may be around for 10 years, maybe more.

But I'm not talking just a disc standard. We all know about AVCHD - an H.264 format, which can be burned to any disc, or inputted through other means that can be, at least theoretically, playable on every blu-ray player everywhere without any extra features, certification from codecs, or anything else.

It's standard. Period.

It has high quality like any other codec and better. It's portable, flexible and contains many resolutions. Hypothetically speaking, not because I'm a pirate, but it's very realistic that, it could be the next big thing in bittorrent too.

I'm just wondering, does the blu-ray crowd here think that this would be very similar to video like mp3 is to music or jpg is to digitial images? I know its original intention is for the latest video cameras, but I see it being so much more - a format we'll all be encoding to when making our own stuff, archiving video, etc. for our blu-ray players now and in the future.

I'm already visioning my whole video library, tapes, DvDs, family movies, etc. - anything that isn't a BD disc - converted to this format in the next year or so. The software market is already adjusting to it.

What do you think? Thanks for reading.