Box Office Showdown! | 10/4-10/6 | Gravity, Runner Runner, Metallica

[djgeneral]

Gravity
Sci-Fi Thriller
Warner Bros.
3,450+

Runner Runner
Thriller
Fox
3,000

Metallica Through the Never
Drama
Picturehouse
650

[Buscemi]

Gravity $25 million (should have a good Friday but will drop once people realize what it is about)
Runner Runner $10 million
Metallica $1.25 million

[chris_sc77]

Cloudy 2 = $18.1
Gravity = $16.2
Runner Runner $9 million
Metallica $3.8 million

I wish Machete came out this week. i have free ticket for CLoudy 2 and I wanted to see that with the ticket.
Not gonna leave and go see something as short as Gravity unless I see something else along with it.

[Scottie]

Gravity
Cloudy 2
Runner Runner
Prisoners
Don Jon

[MikeScott]

1. GRAVITY - 35.32 MILLION (New)
2. CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2 - 22.45 MILLION (-34%)
3. RUNNER RUNNER - 8.94 MILLION (New)
4. RUSH - 6.1 MILLION (-39%)
5. PRISONERS - 5.975 MILLION (-45%)
6. BAGGAGE CLAIM - 4.4 MILLION (-51%)
7. DON JON - 3.47 MILLION (-60%)
8. INSIDIOUS CHAPTER 2 - 3.34 MILLION (-49%)
9. ENOUGH SAID - 2.295 MILLION (+9.4%)
10. INSTRUCTIONS NOT INCLUDED - 1.8 MILLION (-48%)
11. THE FAMILY - 1.79 MILLION (-52%)
12. PULLING STRINGS - 1.575 MILLION (New)
13. WE'RE THE MILLERS - 1.57 MILLION (-44%)
14. METALLICA THROUGH THE NEVER - 1.3 MILLION (-17%)


There are some wildcards this weekend that could do solid business. The Christian-targeted film GRACE UNPLUGGED is opening in around 500 theaters, the JFK assassination drama PARKLAND starring Zac Efron looks to be opening in around 300 theaters, and PULLING STRINGS, the Spanish comedy/romance from the studio that brought us Instructions Not Included is headed for 350+ theaters. I think this is the one with the most potential for a mini breakout. I have been seeing a surprising amount of TV spots for PARKLAND too.

[remake]

1. GRACE UNPLUGGED $40 million

[King Troll]

Kick ass 2 10m

[Buscemi]

I expect Pulling Strings to top out at $1 million while Grace Unplugged flops like most niche religious cinema does (I expect under a million).

Meanwhile, Parkland in 300 theatres surprises me (due to the short theatrical-to-home video window). I figured that would be closer to 40-50 theatres.

[Scottie]

Originally Posted by MikeScott

1. GRAVITY - 35.32 MILLION (New)
2. CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2 - 22.45 MILLION (-34%)
3. RUNNER RUNNER - 8.94 MILLION (New)
4. RUSH - 6.1 MILLION (-39%)
5. PRISONERS - 5.975 MILLION (-45%)
6. BAGGAGE CLAIM - 4.4 MILLION (-51%)
7. DON JON - 3.47 MILLION (-60%)
8. INSIDIOUS CHAPTER 2 - 3.34 MILLION (-49%)
9. ENOUGH SAID - 2.295 MILLION (+9.4%)
10. INSTRUCTIONS NOT INCLUDED - 1.8 MILLION (-48%)
11. THE FAMILY - 1.79 MILLION (-52%)
12. PULLING STRINGS - 1.575 MILLION (New)
13. WE'RE THE MILLERS - 1.57 MILLION (-44%)
14. METALLICA THROUGH THE NEVER - 1.3 MILLION (-17%)


There are some wildcards this weekend that could do solid business. The Christian-targeted film GRACE UNPLUGGED is opening in around 500 theaters, the JFK assassination drama PARKLAND starring Zac Efron looks to be opening in around 300 theaters, and PULLING STRINGS, the Spanish comedy/romance from the studio that brought us Instructions Not Included is headed for 350+ theaters. I think this is the one with the most potential for a mini breakout. I have been seeing a surprising amount of TV spots for PARKLAND too.

How could I forget Rush? haha

I guess my re-ranked list would be:
Gravity
Cloudy 2
Runner Runner
Rush
Prisoners

[MikeScott]

Just saw a TV spot for Grace Unplugged during The Voice. That will be some pretty good exposure.

[remake]

Originally Posted by MikeScott

Just saw a TV spot for Grace Unplugged during The Voice. That will be some pretty good exposure.

I've seen a lot of TV spots on ABC Family. But that's a very limited audience now since all of their shows are on break I think.

[Buscemi]

The Metallica movie will only play one matinee and unlimited evening showings at most theatres (it is splitting screens with an expansion of The Wizard of Oz 3-D) so predict accordingly on that one.

I am now starting to second-guess my $1.25 million prediction and may go with a $1.1 million prediction now.

Meanwhile, the gross for the Captain Phillips sneak previews will be counted with Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 (while at least one theatre in New York will count theirs with Blue Jasmine). So expect a minimal drop of 20-25% on Cloudy 2.

[blu-ray_girl_fan]

Originally Posted by Buscemi

The Metallica movie will only play one matinee and unlimited evening showings at most theatres (it is splitting screens with an expansion of The Wizard of Oz 3-D) so predict accordingly on that one.

I am now starting to second-guess my $1.25 million prediction and may go with a $1.1 million prediction now.

Meanwhile, the gross for the Captain Phillips sneak previews will be counted with Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 (while at least one theatre in New York will count theirs with Blue Jasmine). So expect a minimal drop of 20-25% on Cloudy 2.

A lot of industry websites are wondering if Gravity and Captain Phillips are going to hurt each other since they're both aimed at adult/serious audiences. They are both very strong movies, though, and viewers starved for quality filmmaking will go see both after very weak July/August/September offerings.

[Aerodude73]

Gravity - $33-38m

[Buscemi]

Originally Posted by blu-ray_girl_fan

A lot of industry websites are wondering if Gravity and Captain Phillips are going to hurt each other since they're both aimed at adult/serious audiences. They are both very strong movies, though, and viewers starved for quality filmmaking will go see both after very weak July/August/September offerings.

As I said, Gravity will have a strong opening day but I see it dropping hard when people see that it's basically two people floating in space for 90 minutes instead of say, Apollo 13.

Meanwhile, Captain Phillips is a more audience-pleasing film with a lead who appeals to general audiences better (despite a few underperforming films, Tom Hanks is a far safer bet than George Clooney), a more action-packed premise and the fact that it is based on a true story. Also, Paul Greengrass was responsible for the two most popular Bourne films while Alfonso Cuaron hasn't had a hit outside of the third Harry Potter (which was probably the most polarizing entry of the series).

[cinemaphile]

Why the inclusion of Metallica in the poll? It opened last week, and certainly doesnt have the draw or staying power to rank highly in week 2.

On a related note, my local theater has Metallica listed as playing 4 IMAX shows on Friday, but it also lists a full day of Gravity in IMAX 3D. Are they being projected on top of each other? There's only one IMAX screen

[blu-ray_girl_fan]

Originally Posted by cinemaphile

Why the inclusion of Metallica in the poll? It opened last week, and certainly doesnt have the draw or staying power to rank highly in week 2.

On a related note, my local theater has Metallica listed as playing 4 IMAX shows on Friday, but it also lists a full day of Gravity in IMAX 3D. Are they being projected on top of each other? There's only one IMAX screen

Gravity in the left eye, Metallica in the right eye.

[blu-ray_girl_fan]

Originally Posted by Buscemi

As I said, Gravity will have a strong opening day but I see it dropping hard when people see that it's basically two people floating in space for 90 minutes instead of say, Apollo 13.

Meanwhile, Captain Phillips is a more audience-pleasing film with a lead who appeals to general audiences better (despite a few underperforming films, Tom Hanks is a far safer bet than George Clooney), a more action-packed premise and the fact that it is based on a true story. Also, Paul Greengrass was responsible for the two most popular Bourne films while Alfonso Cuaron hasn't had a hit outside of the third Harry Potter (which was probably the most polarizing entry of the series).

You make very good points, and to add to your post, we actually see very little of Bullock and Clooney since they're in their suits so much (it's difficult to see their faces with those helmets on).

[cinemaphile]

Originally Posted by Buscemi

As I said, Gravity will have a strong opening day but I see it dropping hard when people see that it's basically two people floating in space for 90 minutes instead of say, Apollo 13.

actually as I understand it,

[Show spoiler]the vast majority of it is just Bullock.

[blu-ray_girl_fan]

Originally Posted by cinemaphile

actually as I understand it,

[Show spoiler]the vast majority of it is just Bullock.

[Show spoiler]Spoilers, dude!