2013 Oscar Discussion Discussion Thread

[robertthunder]

It's never too early to start this. Here is my annual way to damn early Oscar Predictions (2013).


Best Picture:
The Master- Paul Thomas Anderson
Django Unchained- Quentin Tarantino
Anna Karenina- Joe Wright
The Great Gatsby- Baz Luhrmann
Zero Dark Thirty- Kathryn Bigelow
Lincoln- Steven Spielberg
Les Miserables- Tom Hooper
Argo- Ben Affleck
The Silver Linings Playbook- David O. Russell
Amour- Michael Haneke


Best Director:
Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
Quentin Tarantino- Django Unchained
Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
Ben Affleck - Argo
Kathryn Bigelow- Zero Dark Thirty


Best Actress:
Helen Hunt- The Sessions
Keira Knightley- Anna Karenina
Marion Cotillard- Rust and Bone
Amy Adams- Trouble With The Curve
Barbra Streisand- The Guilt Trip


Best Acting:
Daniel Day-Lewis- Lincoln
Philip Seymour Hoffman- The Master
Bill Murray- Hyde Park On Hudson
Leonardo DiCaprio- The Great Gatsby
Ryan Gosling- The Place Beyond the Pines


Best Supporting Actor:
Joaquin Phoenix- The Master
Leonardo DiCaprio- Django Unchained
Woody Harrelson- Seven Psychopaths
Matthew McConaughey- Magic Mike
Bryan Cranston- Argo


Best Supporting Actress:
Judi Dench- The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Anne Hathaway- Les Miserables
Amy Adams- The Master
Kerry Washington- Django Unchained
Jennifer Lawrence- The Silver Linings Playbook


Best Original Screenplay:
Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
Quentin Tarantino- Django Unchained
Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola- Moonrise Kingdom
Michael Haneke- Amour
Ben Lewin- The Sessions


Best Adapted Screenplay:
Chris Terrio- Argo
Tony Kushner- John Logan & Paul Webb, Lincoln
David O. Russell- The Silver Linings Playbook
Baz Luhrmann and Craig Pearce- The Great Gatsby
Judd Apatow- This is 40


Best Animated Feature:
Wreck-It Ralph
Brave
The Lorax
The Secret World of Arrietty
Paranorman

[robertthunder]

This can be merged with Oscar race (2013)... I wanted a more official named post but go ahead and merge...

[sycro]

John Goodman should get a nomination for Flight, but he probably won't. Denzel could get one too.

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by sycro

John Goodman should get a nomination for Flight, but he probably won't. Denzel could get one too.

Goodman should have got a nom for Red State along with Michael Parks!! But I think if he gets a nom this year it would be Supporting actor for Argo...

[Clark Kent]

It wouldn't surprise me if The Dark Knight Rises gets a few nominations, simply to honor the trilogy as a whole.

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by Clark Kent

It wouldn't surprise me if The Dark Knight Rises gets a few nominations, simply to honor the trilogy as a whole.

I think it has a great chance of getting a Best Pic nom and a directing nom for Nolan!!

[EricJ]

Originally Posted by Clark Kent

It wouldn't surprise me if The Dark Knight Rises gets a few nominations, simply to honor the trilogy as a whole.

If you mean "Belated apology for not giving the more deserving film a nom the year it came out", like Up or Return of the King, um, maybe.
If it was a 9-10 nom year, and the Globes were being extra gullible.

There is, however, also the handicap that the Academy voters tend to shy away from movies with "controversy" in the headlines.
Good thing this movie doesn't have any.

[robertthunder]

2013 Oscar Predictions (as of Oct 14, 2012)

Best Picture:
The Master- Paul Thomas Anderson
Django Unchained- Quentin Tarantino
Anna Karenina- Joe Wright
The Hobbit- Peter Jackson
Zero Dark Thirty- Kathryn Bigelow
Lincoln- Steven Spielberg
Les Miserables- Tom Hooper
Argo- Ben Affleck
The Silver Linings Playbook- David O. Russell
Hitchcock-Sacha Gervasi

Best Director:
Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
Quentin Tarantino- Django Unchained
Steven Spielberg - Lincoln
Ben Affleck - Argo
Kathryn Bigelow- Zero Dark Thirty

Best Actress:
Helen Hunt- The Sessions
Keira Knightley- Anna Karenina
Marion Cotillard- Rust and Bone
Amy Adams- Trouble With The Curve
Barbra Streisand- The Guilt Trip

Best Acting:
Daniel Day-Lewis- Lincoln
Joaquin Phoenix- The Master
Philip Seymour Hoffman- The Master
Bill Murray- Hyde Park On Hudson
Denzel Washington- Flight
Ryan Gosling- The Place Beyond the Pines

Best Supporting Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman- The Master
Leonardo DiCaprio- Django Unchained
Woody Harrelson- Seven Psychopaths
Matthew McConaughey- Magic Mike
Bryan Cranston- Argo

Best Supporting Actress:
Judi Dench- The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel
Anne Hathaway- Les Miserables
Amy Adams- The Master
Kerry Washington- Django Unchained
Jennifer Lawrence- The Silver Linings Playbook

Best Original Screenplay:
Paul Thomas Anderson- The Master
Quentin Tarantino- Django Unchained
Wes Anderson & Roman Coppola- Moonrise Kingdom
Michael Haneke- Amour
Ben Lewin- The Sessions

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Chris Terrio- Argo
Tony Kushner, John Logan & Paul Webb- Lincoln
David O. Russell- The Silver Linings Playbook
John J. McLaughlin- Hitchcock
Judd Apatow- This is 40

Best Animated Feature:
Wreck-It Ralph
Brave
The Lorax
Frankenweenie
Hotel Transylvania

Best Foreign Film:
No- Pablo Larraín
Amour- Michael Haneke
Rebelle- Kim Nguyen
Lore- Cate Shortland
Blood of My Blood- João Canijo

[Hawkguy]

I think the above list is very realistic for what they'd nominate. I wouldn't care about a single category, but I can see all of that happening..

[Jasonic]

War of the fanboys category. Who will take home Best Special Effects? TDKR or Avengers? Or maybe it won't go to an action blockbuster, like last year's Hugo.

[djgeneral]

There is no way Woody gets nominated over Sam Rockwell for Seven Psychopaths.

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by Jasonic

War of the fanboys category. Who will take home Best Special Effects? TDKR or Avengers? Or maybe it won't go to an action blockbuster, like last year's Hugo.

Effects will go with Avengers or Hobbit. Its still to early for me to be guessing on technical categories though...

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by djgeneral

There is no way Woody gets nominated over Sam Rockwell for Seven Psychopaths.

I don't think either should!! Tom Waits should get it... But I think Woody will get it for this or Hunger Games...

[Foggy]

Originally Posted by robertthunder

I don't think either should!! Tom Waits should get it... But I think Woody will get it for this or Hunger Games...

Hunger Games will be getting nada

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by robertthunder

I don't think either should!! Tom Waits should get it... But I think Woody will get it for this or Hunger Games...

Doesn't really matter anyway; DiCaprio will win for Django!!!

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by Foggy

Hunger Games will be getting nada

I think it could easily get a few noms in technical categories!! The only way it has a chance in the major is Woody for Supporting and that's it!!

[Foggy]

Best Picture Nods

The Master
Silver Linings Playbook
Argo
Lincoln
Django Unchained
Zero Dark Thirty
Les Miserables
-----------------
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Moonrise Kingdom
Skyfall

Best Director

Paul Thomas Anderson
Ben Affleck
David O' Russell
Quentin Tarantino
Tom Hooper

Best Actor

Daniel Day Lewis
Antony Hopkins
Joaquin Phoenix
Denzel Washington
Bradley Cooper

Best Actress

Marion Cotillard
Keira Knightly
Amy Adams
That little girl from Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Supporting Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio
Sam Rockwell
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Ian McKellan

Best Supporting Actress

Anne Hathaway
Amy Adams
Jennifer Lawrence
Helen Mirren

Best Original Screenplay

Django Unchained
Looper
The Master
Moonrise Kingdom
Beasts of the Southern Wild

Best Adapted Screenplay

Argo
Silver Lining Playbook
Skyfall
Hitchcock
Lincoln

Best Animated Film

Paranorman
The Pirates!
Brave
Rise of Guardians
A foreign one

Best Cinematography

The Master
Skyfall
The Hobbit
Moonrise Kingdom
Hitchcock

[Foggy]

Originally Posted by robertthunder

I think it could easily get a few noms in technical categories!! The only way it has a chance in the major is Woody for Supporting and that's it!!

Trust me, nada, Harrelson won't pick up a nod for Haymitch because it wasn't that impressive of a performance. Effects were naff, editing wasn't notably stellar, maybe sound mixing, that's it.

[robertthunder]

Originally Posted by Foggy

Trust me, nada, Harrelson won't pick up a nod for Haymitch because it wasn't that impressive of a performance. Effects were naff, editing wasn't notably stellar, maybe sound mixing, that's it.

I've seen worse movies get more noms!!

[Foggy]

Originally Posted by robertthunder

I've seen worse movies get more noms!!

Yeah but that's usually because the talent behind it precede the actual product. HG didn't have that known talent.