When Will DVD Die?

[blu-mike]

How Many Years Or Days Do U Think DVD Has?

[igotcabada]

at least 10 more years

[Batman1980]

DVD will have a majority share of home media over blu-ray for at least another 3-4 years I think. The gap is closing though, DVD has plateaued for over 2 years and studios are noticing.

[MyBlu-rayBrotherEd]

I dread the day they come out with a new form of media. I've got way too much money invested in this one.

[DonRSD]

dvd's will always be around, thus every player will HAVE to have dvd playback.

i say give it maybe 10 more years.

the best part about dvd compares to vhs is dvd is the same size ad a blu so no need for a clunky machine. (look at dvd & vhs players to see what i mean)
1st the market needs to be saturated with HDTVs, THEn people have to buy blu ray players............at that point will dvd die

what % of households have a dvd player?
what % of households have a bluray player?

[Johnny Vinyl]

Once ANY new media gets adopted by the mainstream, the older media usually dies off very rapidly. However, that does not mean they leave completely. I would say that within 3-4 years Blu-ray will be the mainstream and DVD will dwindle to the point that in 7-8 years they won't be manufacturing any discs in that format.

Who really knows though? I'm sure the studios and their executives are trying to gauge when to cut the cord on DVD as well. And they won't cut it unless they are 100% sure it doesn't hurt their bottom line.

John

[brettallica]

When the majority of consumer PCs have processors suitable and come equipped with enough RAM to utilize the reading — and possibly more so, the writing — of a Blu-ray disc, this is when you'll start to see the trend for DVD popularity veer sharply downward. They're still used heavily in computers; just think about all the installers that come on DVDs. Further, and related to that is, when the cost of Blu-ray technology comes down is when you'll see games and applications being shipped on Blu-ray discs. Think about it: you'll only need one install disc instead of several. That means fewer overall discs, smaller (and cheaper packaging), and so on.

The aforementioned — specifically, the computer world — will send DVD media into obsolescence, since it simply will not be needed anymore. The faster that world progresses, the sooner DVDs will be out. As we've noticed, having stellar and far superior picture and audio quality simply aren't enough to drive that trend — at least not as quickly as some of Blu-ray supporters would like.

Then it'll just be on to the next form of physical media.

[Johnny Vinyl]

Originally Posted by brettallica

When the majority of consumer PCs have processors suitable and come equipped with enough RAM to utilize the reading — and possibly more so, the writing — of a Blu-ray disc, this is when you'll start to see the trend for DVD popularity veer sharply downward. They're still used heavily in computers; just think about all the installers that come on DVDs. Further, and related to that is, when the cost of Blu-ray technology comes down is when you'll see games and applications being shipped on Blu-ray discs. Think about it: you'll only need one install disc instead of several. That means fewer overall discs, smaller (and cheaper packaging), and so on.

The aforementioned — specifically, the computer world — will send DVD media into obsolescence, since it simply will not be needed anymore. The faster that world progresses, the sooner DVDs will be out. As we've noticed, having stellar and far superior picture and audio quality simply aren't enough to drive that trend — at least not as quickly as some of Blu-ray supporters would like.

Then it'll just be on to the next form of physical media.

That a very valid point! Never even thought about the impact regarding the computer industry. Thanks Brett!

John

[U4K61]

Originally Posted by blu-mike

How Many Years Or Days Do U Think DVD Has?

Forever - or at least as long as we continue to enable the 12cm polycarbonate bit-bucket to satisfy our desire for ever higher resolutions. So, not surprisingly, the CD is still with us despite being a generation before DVD. Though I have to admit, it's giving up the ghost 'bit by bit' to MP3.