Box Office Showdown (5/19-5/21) Alien: Covenant, Wimpy Kid 4, Everything, Everything

[Chaotic]

Alien: Covenant
Fox


Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul
Fox


Everything, Everything
Warner Bros.

[Chaotic]

1. Alien $41M
2. Guardians of the Mother F'in Galaxy $38M
3. Alica Silverstone's Comeback $14M
4. Everthing, Everything $10M

[Visionist]

Guardians will win by a few million.

[stvn1974]

Baby Groot for the win.

[prkprkprk]

It'll be a close race unless Alien manages to somehow horribly bomb. Given the fairly positive reviews for Covenant and that I think Guardians Vol. 2, like most movies that open in its range (and most superhero movies in general), is fairly front-loaded and will drop off somewhere in the low-to-mid-50 percentile, I think that would put Guardians 2 somewhere in the lower 30 million range on the weekend of the 19th. I think Alien can do it.

[Predatorix38417]

This is a very hard week to decide on #1, but going based on review/word of mouth:
1. GotG vol. 2 $40 million
2. Alien: Covenant $36 million
3. Wimpy Kid $15 million
4. King Arthur $10 million
5. Everything Everything $8 million.

[sxerunner]

I know using the local theater is not a reliable gauge, but showings of Alien are nearly sold out where I'm at and we are a week away from release (just an interesting observation, surprised me). It all depends on Guardians this week. If it drops at a rate of 50-59% like most Marvel films, that would put it around the mid $30 million range. I'd say Alien with $40 million or so.

Although, it wouldn't shock me if Guardians got a slight bump from teens who buy tickets for it but sneak into Covenant.

[Bubbles-11]

Alien: Covenant - $30-50 million
DOWAK Long Haul - $10-15 million
Everything, Everything - $5-10 million

[wvuwhat]

I voted Guardians vol. 2.

I'll be seeing Covenant, but I still think Guardians will pull off the win.

[Seymour]

I honestly feel like Alien: Covenant will struggle to hit $40M.

[Chaotic]

I hope it makes atleast $40m. But the Prometheus reception will probably hurt it

[drush9999]

I think Alien: Covenant will win it this weekend, but will drop off quickly due to bad word of mouth

[Chaotic]

Bad word of mouth and it hasn't come out yet. Weird.

[imsounoriginal]

Could easily see Guardians winning again. Alien is my most-anticipated movie of the year and I've already bought my ticket, but for some reason I don't feel like there's a lot of excitement about it.

[Chaotic]

Guardians is going to make about $60M this weekend. Alien would have to open below $30M for Guardians to win.

[drush9999]

Originally Posted by Chaotic

Bad word of mouth and it hasn't come out yet. Weird.

Forgot you guys are getting it a week later

[Cremildo]

According to BOM, early tracking suggests a 30 million opening for Covenant.

[sandman slim]

Originally Posted by Cremildo

According to BOM, early tracking suggests a 30 million opening for Covenant.

Guardians for the threepeat, then...

[Cremildo]

I dunno if this should be posted here or on this weekend's box-office thread, but here it goes anyway:

Covenant has grossed $42 million from 34 international markets this weekend

South Korea - $7.2m (+52.58% vs. Prometheus Opening)
United Kingdom - $6.4m (-39.85% vs. Prometheus Opening)
France - $4.53m (-38.41% vs. Prometheus Opening)
Australia - $3.09m (-79.40% vs. Prometheus Opening)
Mexico - $2.46m (-24.90% vs. Prometheus Opening)
Spain - $1.9m (-71.63% vs. Prometheus Opening)
Hong Kong - $1.76m (+17.24% vs. Prometheus Opening)
Brazil - $1.63m (-52.47% vs. Prometheus Opening)
Italy - $1.29m (-66.68% vs. Prometheus Opening)

[Chaotic]

Originally Posted by Cremildo

According to BOM, early tracking suggests a 30 million opening for Covenant.

Bombs away if that happens