Box Office Showdown (9/20-9/22) Ad Astra, Rambo: Last Blood, Downton Abbey - Blu-ray Forum

Chaotic · 09-12-2019, 04:01 PM

Ad Astra
Fox

Rambo: Last Blood
Lionsgate

Downton Abbey
Focus Features

Creed · 09-12-2019, 04:03 PM

1. Rambo
2. Ad Astra
3. It 2
4. Downton Abbey

Hoping for Ad Astra to top!

Chaotic · 09-12-2019, 04:05 PM

1. Ad Astra $22M
2. Rambo $19M
3. It $17M
4. Downton Abbey $11M

Himmel · 09-12-2019, 04:05 PM

1) Ad Astra $35 mil
2) Rambo $22 mil
3) Downton Abbey $15 mil

Michael11 · 09-12-2019, 04:11 PM

Ad Astra $17 mil
Rambo $23 mil
Downton Abbey $14 mil

I think Rambo has a good chance of taking #1

sandman slim · 09-12-2019, 04:58 PM

Y'all seriously underestimating the Downton audience. This is like an MCU movie for grannies...

DanTheMan · 09-12-2019, 05:09 PM

I voted 'other" for either IT: Chapter Two or Hustlers. Not sure if the audience for Ad Astra or Downton Abbey is as strong as the demographic for the former two.

Rambo isn't getting premium screens, so that's out.

HorrorBlu · 09-12-2019, 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sandman slim

Y'all seriously underestimating the Downton audience. This is like an MCU movie for grannies...

I thought this as well, but they're doing about 20 advanced screenings around here (including several tonight). By the time it hits opening weekend, the core audience will have all seen it.

AaronJ · 09-12-2019, 05:29 PM

I'm super-psyched about this. What a show.

h0h0x · 09-12-2019, 05:45 PM

Rambo $19M
Hustlers $18.5M
Downtown Abbey $17M
Ad Astra $16M

(I'm hoping Ad Astra or Hustlers will take #1.)

Himmel · 09-12-2019, 11:05 PM

Exhibitor Relations

Quote:

RAMBO: LAST BLOOD goes to war on 3,300+ battlefields next weekend. Sly's last effort, a decade ago, launched with $18M ($22M w/ inflation). Will John Rambo go out with a $20M+ debut? What say you? At his peak, RAMBO II opened in 1985 w/ $20M...or $51M adjusted!

sandman slim · 09-12-2019, 11:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HorrorBlu

I thought this as well, but they're doing about 20 advanced screenings around here (including several tonight). By the time it hits opening weekend, the core audience will have all seen it.

Don't those advance screenings get folded into opening weekend? Seem to recall that's what happened with Shazam earlier this year; Fandango hosted screenings two weeks out & that money was included with the opening gross.

Damon1281 · 09-12-2019, 11:42 PM

I can't imagine many people want another Rambo, although the last one was my favorite, and after watching a couple of episodes of Downton Abbey, it seems too much of a chick flick. Ad Astra for the win!! (that's the one I'll see first anyway)

Gacivory · 09-13-2019, 12:03 AM

Can’t wait for Ad astra! My AMC will have IMAX screenings!

CelluloidPal · 09-13-2019, 12:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Damon1281

I can't imagine many people want another Rambo, although the last one was my favorite, and after watching a couple of episodes of Downton Abbey, it seems too much of a chick flick. Ad Astra for the win!! (that's the one I'll see first anyway)

They said that about the last Rambo and it turned out pretty well.

xbs2034 · 09-13-2019, 02:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sandman slim

Don't those advance screenings get folded into opening weekend? Seem to recall that's what happened with Shazam earlier this year; Fandango hosted screenings two weeks out & that money was included with the opening gross.

Yeah, I think they may do that, just fold it into the normal Thursday night showings which then get folded into the weekend figure. BTW, while I’m sure it’s because dramas typically don’t have a built in fan base, it does have the best advanced ticket sales for any drama this year (passing Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/ne...lywood-1233625

filmbuffTX · 09-13-2019, 02:46 AM

All of the Downton Abbey Dolby Cinema Fan Event screenings in my area were nearly sold out. Ad Astra is the only new release I plan on seeing of the three listed since I haven't yet watched Downton Abbey the series and I'm not caught up on the Rambo movies.

The Debts · 09-13-2019, 02:49 AM

I think Rambo will take the weekend over Ad Astra. I'll be seeing both but I'm more geared up for the latter than I am the former.

MikeScott · 09-13-2019, 06:28 AM

1. DOWNTON ABBEY - 27.998 MILLION (New)
2. HUSTLERS - 21.567 MILLION (-35%)
3. IT: CHAPTER 2 - 21.387 MILLION (-46%)
4. AD ASTRA - 16.6 MILLION (New)
5. RAMBO: LAST BLOOD - 12.7 MILLION (New)
6. GOOD BOYS - 2.956 MILLION (-30%)
7. THE LION KING - 2.956 MILLION (-19%)
8. ANGEL HAS FALLEN - 2.336 MILLION (-48%)
9. OVERCOMER - 1.717 MILLION (-37%)
10. HOBBS & SHAW - 1.591 MILLION (-43%)
11. THE PEANUT BUTTER FALCOM - 1.437 MILLION (-22%)
12. DORA & THE LOST CITY OF GOLD - 1.285 MILLION (-30%)
13. BRITTANY RUNS A MARATHON - 1.265 MILLION (-14%)
14. ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD - $900,793 (-40%)
15. SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK - $883,887 (-48%)
16. THE GOLDFINCH - $857,288 (-68%)

xbs2034 · 09-18-2019, 07:42 PM

https://deadline.com/2019/09/will-th...ew-1202738117/

Tracking has Downton Abbey and Last Blood neck and neck with $23-25 million, though I would give the edge to Downton since it apparently has as much as 7x the pre sale tickets of Rambo (I’m guessing that is more of a walk up purchase type movie, but it is a big gap to overcome). Ad Astra tracking for mid to high teens

View Poll Results: What will be #1 this weekend?
Ad Astra	8	38.10%
Rambo: Last Blood	7	33.33%
Downton Abbey	5	23.81%
Other	1	4.76%
Voters: 21. You may not vote on this poll

09-12-2019, 04:05 PM	#4
Himmel Banned Member since:Jul 2012 Location:Northeast Corridor 4K collection:46 Blu-ray collection:301	1) Ad Astra $35 mil 2) Rambo $22 mil 3) Downton Abbey $15 mil Last edited by Himmel; 09-12-2019 at 04:16 PM.

09-13-2019, 06:28 AM	#19
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	1. DOWNTON ABBEY - 27.998 MILLION (New) 2. HUSTLERS - 21.567 MILLION (-35%) 3. IT: CHAPTER 2 - 21.387 MILLION (-46%) 4. AD ASTRA - 16.6 MILLION (New) 5. RAMBO: LAST BLOOD - 12.7 MILLION (New) 6. GOOD BOYS - 2.956 MILLION (-30%) 7. THE LION KING - 2.956 MILLION (-19%) 8. ANGEL HAS FALLEN - 2.336 MILLION (-48%) 9. OVERCOMER - 1.717 MILLION (-37%) 10. HOBBS & SHAW - 1.591 MILLION (-43%) 11. THE PEANUT BUTTER FALCOM - 1.437 MILLION (-22%) 12. DORA & THE LOST CITY OF GOLD - 1.285 MILLION (-30%) 13. BRITTANY RUNS A MARATHON - 1.265 MILLION (-14%) 14. ONCE UPON A TIME IN HOLLYWOOD - $900,793 (-40%) 15. SCARY STORIES TO TELL IN THE DARK - $883,887 (-48%) 16. THE GOLDFINCH - $857,288 (-68%) Last edited by MikeScott; 09-18-2019 at 04:34 AM.

09-12-2019, 04:01 PM	#1
Chaotic Blu-ray Grand Duke Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Denver, CO	Box Office Showdown (9/20-9/22) Ad Astra, Rambo: Last Blood, Downton Abbey Ad Astra Fox Rambo: Last Blood Lionsgate Downton Abbey Focus Features

09-12-2019, 04:03 PM	#2
Creed Blu-ray Archduke Member since:Dec 2015 Location:Christ Church, Barbados 4K collection:6 Blu-ray collection:133 DVD collection:89 MA collection:75 Digital collection:45 Blu-ray reviews:1 Trading Score:2	1. Rambo 2. Ad Astra 3. It 2 4. Downton Abbey Hoping for Ad Astra to top!

09-12-2019, 04:11 PM	#5
Michael11 Expert Member Member since:Nov 2011 Location:England	Ad Astra $17 mil Rambo $23 mil Downton Abbey $14 mil I think Rambo has a good chance of taking #1

09-12-2019, 04:58 PM	#6
sandman slim Blu-ray Champion Top contributor Member since:Aug 2013 Location:TN 4K collection:317 Blu-ray collection:6443 DVD collection:424 Digital collection:4 Prime collection:1 Blu-ray reviews:3 Trading Score:8	Y'all seriously underestimating the Downton audience. This is like an MCU movie for grannies...

09-12-2019, 05:09 PM	#7
DanTheMan Blu-ray King Member since:Dec 2010 4K collection:593 Blu-ray collection:2319 Digital collection:438 iTunes collection:330 Trading Score:138	I voted 'other" for either IT: Chapter Two or Hustlers. Not sure if the audience for Ad Astra or Downton Abbey is as strong as the demographic for the former two. Rambo isn't getting premium screens, so that's out.

09-12-2019, 05:29 PM	#9
AaronJ Banned Member since:Jul 2013 Location:Michigan 4K collection:47 Blu-ray collection:624 Blu-ray reviews:2 Trading Score:1	I'm super-psyched about this. What a show.

09-12-2019, 05:45 PM	#10
h0h0x Expert Member Member since:Jun 2018 Location:Minnesota 4K collection:265 Blu-ray collection:827 Trading Score:167	Rambo $19M Hustlers $18.5M Downtown Abbey $17M Ad Astra $16M (I'm hoping Ad Astra or Hustlers will take #1.)

09-12-2019, 11:42 PM	#13
Damon1281 Blu-ray Knight Member since:Jun 2014 4K collection:- Blu-ray collection:- DVD collection:- MA collection:- Digital collection:-	I can't imagine many people want another Rambo, although the last one was my favorite, and after watching a couple of episodes of Downton Abbey, it seems too much of a chick flick. Ad Astra for the win!! (that's the one I'll see first anyway)

09-13-2019, 12:03 AM	#14
Gacivory Blu-ray Archduke Top contributor Member since:Apr 2016 Location:Los Angeles, California 4K collection:1121 Blu-ray collection:5612 DVD collection:183 Digital collection:25 Trading Score:1	Can’t wait for Ad astra! My AMC will have IMAX screenings!

09-13-2019, 02:46 AM	#17
filmbuffTX Blu-ray Duke Top contributor Member since:May 2015 4K collection:267 Blu-ray collection:6361 DVD collection:2270 Digital collection:1617 Blu-ray reviews: 2 Trading Score:16	All of the Downton Abbey Dolby Cinema Fan Event screenings in my area were nearly sold out. Ad Astra is the only new release I plan on seeing of the three listed since I haven't yet watched Downton Abbey the series and I'm not caught up on the Rambo movies.

09-13-2019, 02:49 AM	#18
The Debts Blu-ray Champion Top contributor Member since:Jun 2013 Location:ME 4K collection:55 Blu-ray collection:332 DVD collection:181 MA collection:143 Digital collection:211 iTunes collection:147 Prime collection:122 Blu-ray reviews: 5	I think Rambo will take the weekend over Ad Astra. I'll be seeing both but I'm more geared up for the latter than I am the former.

09-18-2019, 07:42 PM	#20
xbs2034 Blu-ray Knight Member since:Feb 2012	https://deadline.com/2019/09/will-th...ew-1202738117/ Tracking has Downton Abbey and Last Blood neck and neck with $23-25 million, though I would give the edge to Downton since it apparently has as much as 7x the pre sale tickets of Rambo (I’m guessing that is more of a walk up purchase type movie, but it is a big gap to overcome). Ad Astra tracking for mid to high teens

Best Blu-ray Movie Deals