Nielsen Prediction Contest: Final Thread

[Winn]

Thanks to everyone who played.

In our final week, we had one last perfect pick. Congratulations Ispoke; you spoke true in the last week.


Here are the complete final results:

FINAL NIELSEN CONTEST RESULTS

Boldfaced = at least 11 guesses for contest eligibility

NAME                Attempts   Avg. Score
DocNovak                      1         0.00
Joe Fisher                    1         0.00
cirecire                      1         1.00
Firestreak                    1         1.00
gandley                       1         1.00
Grubert                       1         1.00
PS3_Kiwi                      1         1.00
Toxa                          1         1.00
talbers23                     2         1.50
quexos                        2         2.00
4saken                        1         2.00
areofast                      1         2.00
DNR7265                       1         2.00
hardcore_canadian             1         2.00
Ice2Dragon                    1         2.00
m_tyson                       1         2.00
merrick97                     1         2.00
Shaman                        1         2.00
smiley                        1         2.00
swivel                        1         2.00
wakeboredb                    1         2.00
Imakida                       5         3.00
USF Bull                      1         3.00
Blu-Ray Buckeye               1         3.00
fattyslimslim                 1         3.00
MatrixS2000                   1         3.00
mressler12                    1         3.00
Nathan P                      4         3.25
Aygie                         3         3.33
Razzy                         3         3.33
zmadMonk                      3         3.33
bageleaterkkjji               4         3.50
LynxFX                        4         3.50
york weir                     4         3.50
edgebsl                       2         3.50
TheWave                       4         3.75
mystiksuicide                 7         3.86
bajor27                       3         4.00
davidPS3                      3         4.00
Glow007                       3         4.00
shug7272                      3         4.00
Mote                          2         4.00
Blu Titan                     1         4.00
AlexCruz                      1         4.00
Azumi                         1         4.00
bassman614                    1         4.00
dbs2                          1         4.00
gdeep                         1         4.00
jwbbud                        1         4.00
Luis_A51                      1         4.00
spicynacho                    1         4.00
UltimateFighter               1         4.00
bluskies                      3         4.33
Sonar5                        3         4.33
AranhaHunter                  2         4.50
DetroitSportsFan              2         4.50
gordon cunningham             2         4.50
UlicBelouve                   2         4.50
JadedRaverLA                  6         4.67
Kairav                        6         4.67
ottscay                       6         4.67
Squozen                       3         4.67
Y3k Bug                       3         4.67
pokerface                     5         4.80
Jim Morrison                  4         5.00
getblu                        3         5.00
darkwing                      2         5.00
GTP                           2         5.00
Petra                         2         5.00
binarymelon                   1         5.00
Blu-Balls                     1         5.00
CAB                           1         5.00
Carmien                       1         5.00
HDPerfection                  1         5.00
kenga236                      1         5.00
kibbled_bits                  1         5.00
MATTYBLU2                     1         5.00
MGDTH                         1         5.00
monkyman                      1         5.00
nokia6250tank                 1         5.00
Pestilence                    1         5.00
saprano                       1         5.00
Scrapanatchi                  1         5.00
Solowist                      1         5.00
SpaceDog                      1         5.00
DJeffries                     6         5.33
richterbon23                  3         5.33
Slapper                       9         5.44
tuku                          4         5.50
Rovic                         2         5.50
BluStar88                     2         5.50
glenn22                       2         5.50
CGYBLU                        3         5.67
iNCREDiPiNOY                  3         5.67
GarettP                       6         5.83
SGRSBSKIER                   13         5.85
fomoco04                      6         6.00
Irishwiseguy2006              6         6.00
Zotar                         6         6.00
Blu-raider                    5         6.00
jimsch42                      5         6.00
JPEncarnac                    5         6.00
dgator783                     4         6.00
HeavyHitter                   3         6.00
darkprime                     2         6.00
sjy1969                       2         6.00
bhampton                      1         6.00
JasonR                        1         6.00
krinkle                       1         6.00
Mikeesracing                  1         6.00
peterb1972                    1         6.00
Tizflizz                      1         6.00
venusiansky                   1         6.00
jknuss01                      7         6.14
subgun                       12         6.25
kolasi                        6         6.33
L or S of Perfect?            6         6.33
Lee Christie                  3         6.33
whoelse                       5         6.40
coolmilo                      6         6.50
josurr                        4         6.50
tiger roach                   4         6.50
unreal1080p                  13         6.54
MarekM                        7         6.57
Clark Kent                   12         6.75
AVBill                        4         6.75
Jim L                         4         6.75
xmositox                      4         6.75
cabezon1184                   6         6.83
sj001                        13         7.00
blindcat87                    9         7.00
Elandyll                      4         7.00
jkwest                        4         7.00
waled                         4         7.00
user friendly                 3         7.00
bludon                        2         7.00
MacHaggis                     2         7.00
woldymoldy                    2         7.00
crystalline blu               1         7.00
jubaiweaponx                  1         7.00
mainman                       1         7.00
Zazou                         1         7.00
BluWave                      11         7.09
FFObsessed                   11         7.09
Rup_Muk                      11         7.09
Denzelio                      9         7.11
CptGreedle                    7         7.14
JAGUAR1977                    4         7.25
Winn                         13         7.31
Neo65                         3         7.33
BluMonster                    2         7.50
cobwebb                       2         7.50
jtconnolly                    2         7.50
Titan                         2         7.50
UTVOL06                       2         7.50
patrick99                    13         7.54
digibob                      10         7.60
mhussung                      5         7.60
Jackietreehorn               11         7.64
Pellaeon                     12         7.67
blu-ray-the-king              3         7.67
Lou-Cipher                    5         7.80
grovey                       11         7.91
klac                         13         8.00
BillCable                     4         8.00
IfeelBlu                      3         8.00
Mastrodisastro                3         8.00
Kstrike                       2         8.00
Xcom_Cheetah                  2         8.00
docjan_uk                     1         8.00
eat_me_cool                   1         8.00
mattym                        1         8.00
Meerkat                       1         8.00
sssick                        1         8.00
Weez_Dawg                     1         8.00
gearyt                        5         8.20
Ispoke                       12         8.25
gre8t1                        4         8.25
blurayboy                    11         8.27
BlueNeon                      7         8.29
Craig Ruchman                 6         8.33
gand41f                      13         8.38
Fozziwig                      9         8.44
savage1984                    6         8.50
blujacket                     4         8.50
goodstuff                     9         8.56
kjacobs03                     3         8.67
papi4baby                     3         8.67
horseflesh                    6         8.83
bbg                           5         9.00
cory                          3         9.00
NexusFX                       3         9.00
Uxi                           3         9.00
Alloye                        2         9.00
bassbone57                    1         9.00
danay82                       1         9.00
DepTii                        1         9.00
jadedeath                     1         9.00
Mr_Bester                     1         9.00
Nightfury82                   1         9.00
TheFaze                       1         9.00
aristotles                    4         9.25
The Don                       4         9.25
jsb hburg                     5         9.40
reider                        6         9.50
OnlyBLU                       2         9.50
PrinceLH                      2         9.50
TheRealBob                   11         9.55
RickD                         3         9.67
Sonny                         4         9.75
w tanoto                     10         9.80
Ops2p                         9        10.00
plee                          6        10.00
AnthonyP                      3        10.00
Living Near Shamu             3        10.00
sanj                          2        10.00
AAM                           1        10.00
marzetta7                     1        10.00
meckel                        1        10.00
MOONPHASE                     1        10.00
TheEnd187                     1        10.00
dobyblue                      6        10.17
Dalese                        5        10.20
56@Yamamoto                   6        10.33
Goodguy818                    8        10.38
MadScientist                 10        10.40
GregBlu5                     12        10.42
hharrizons                    2        10.50
Rolo71                       10        11.00
Dew                           2        11.00
Sporty                        2        11.00
atrofast                      1        11.00
bkbluray                      1        11.00
Rike255                       1        11.00
Storm                         1        11.00
the nine hells                5        11.20
Kayne314                      2        11.50
The Big Blue                  4        12.00
Carbon_Le                     1        12.00
john_nemesh                   1        12.00
nomad2010                     1        12.00
Whytewash                     1        12.00
Blubaru                       3        12.67
Evashun                       3        13.00
Grisle                        1        13.00
katharsis                     1        13.00
cartman781                    8        13.63
WriteSimply                   5        13.80
The Lurker                    2        14.00
desmond                       1        14.00
Digital Filmmaker             1        14.00
Iceman713713                  1        14.00
Stinkin Mushroom              1        14.00
stockstar1138                 1        14.00
space2001                     3        14.33
FriedEggs                     2        14.50
FEP3108                       3        15.00
cvm                           2        15.00
bluearth                      1        15.00
PaulGo                        1        15.00
Rob_BluRay                    1        15.00
jason_grumpy                  1        16.00
SolidBlu                      2        16.50
Amel                          1        17.00
Casita                        1        17.00
gamer4eva                     1        17.00
trublu707                     1        17.00
Danger Duck                   1        18.00
Hassoon                       1        18.00
owa                           5        18.40
PeechCobblerPie               1        19.00
fox81                         1        22.00
KretzJ                        1        25.00
mikey p                       1        26.00
Ray Cathode                   1        27.00

Here are just the prize eligible people:

NIELSEN CONTEST FINAL RESULTS (eligible players only)

NAME                Attempts   Avg. Score
SGRSBSKIER                   13         5.85
subgun                       12         6.25
unreal1080p                  13         6.54
Clark Kent                   12         6.75
sj001                        13         7.00
BluWave                      11         7.09
FFObsessed                   11         7.09
Rup_Muk                      11         7.09
Winn                         13         7.31
patrick99                    13         7.54
Jackietreehorn               11         7.64
Pellaeon                     12         7.67
grovey                       11         7.91
klac                         13         8.00
Ispoke                       12         8.25
blurayboy                    11         8.27
gand41f                      13         8.38
TheRealBob                   11         9.55
GregBlu5                     12        10.42

Congratulations SGRSBSKIER! You are the winner. Penton Man talked about some swag for the winner. I'll send him a reminder by PM. Feel free to join in pestering him for the prize.

Here are the final stats from the contest:

Weekly Stats

Week	Picks	Perfect	High		Actual	Low		Mean	Median	Mode
1	77	5	99 (16) [31]	83	69 (14) [41]	83.12	82	82
2	124	6	99 (17) [82]	82	69 (13) [32]	84.31	84	84
3	145	2	90 (16) [141]	74	69 (15) [2]	82.76	83	85
4	124	14	91 (10) [41]	81	67 (14) [69]	80.24	80	80
5	121	0	99* (26) [121]	73	78 (-5) [0]	86.88	86	85
6	66	2	95 (18) [56]	77	68 (9) [8]	82.88	82	81
7	58	6	94 (19) [42]	75	69 (6) [10]	79.49	79	80
8	38	1	86 (21) [37]	65	65 (0) [0]	78.61	78.5	80
9	49	2	91 (13)	 [33]	78	55 (23) [14]	79.55	81	82
10	38	1	91 (3) [4]	88	76 (12) [33]	82.87	82.5	80
11	37	1	95 (11) [34]	84	82 (2) [2]	88.92	90	92
12	38	0	95 (31)	[38]	64	86 (-22) [0]	89.63	90	90
13	27	1	91 (5) [4]	86	68 (18) [22]	80.33	80	82, 79

*Guess of 100% ignored as they are technically impossible due to truncating.

Perfect Picks

Final week
Ispoke

--------------

Overall perfect picks

Imakida [ 3 ] (02/01/08,02/08/08,02/15/08)
LynxFX [ 2 ] (01/25/08,02/15/08)
Kairav [ 2 ] (02/01/08,02/15/08)
unreal1080p [ 2 ] (02/15/08,03/28/08)
DocNovak [ 1 ] (03/21/08)
Joe Fisher [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
Nathan P [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
Razzy [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
bageleaterkkjji [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
mystiksuicide [ 1 ] (01/25/08)
Sonar5 [ 1 ] (01/25/08)
JadedRaverLA [ 1 ] (02/01/08)
ottscay [ 1 ] (01/25/08)
pokerface [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
getblu [ 1 ] (02/29/08)
Slapper [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
SGRSBSKIER [ 1 ] (03/07/08)
fomoco04 [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
Blu-raider [ 1 ] (03/07/08)
jimsch42 [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
jknuss01 [ 1 ] (02/01/08)
subgun [ 1 ] (03/07/08)
Lee Christie [ 1 ] (02/08/08)
coolmilo [ 1 ] (03/07/08)
Clark Kent [ 1 ] (04/04/08)
sj001 [ 1 ] (01/25/08)
Rup_Muk [ 1 ] (02/01/08)
JAGUAR1977 [ 1 ] (02/01/08)
digibob [ 1 ] (03/07/08)
grovey [ 1 ] (02/29/08)
klac [ 1 ] (03/21/08)
Ispoke [ 1 ] (04/18/08)
gand41f [ 1 ] (03/07/08)
The Don [ 1 ] (02/15/08)
TheRealBob [ 1 ] (03/14/08)
Goodguy818 [ 1 ] (02/15/08)

[TheRealBob]

Thanks, Winn, it was fun.

I'd still like to see a string of 95:5 or better and then HMM losing interest and dropping the category, but I guess it's a moot point at this point.

[TheRealBob]

By the way, my prediction for this week (just try to stop me!) is...

93:7

And as the second-worst predictor of the people eligible, you really all should listen to me!

[owa]

Thanks for running/taking care of the contest each week. It was appreciated and fun.

[sj001]

Thanks for this Winn, fun stuff, too bad it has to come to an end. Man I really sucked overall, no swag for me.

[John Coulter]

Winn, thanks for all the time and effort you put into this contest. It was fun, and I was sorry to see it end.

[Ispoke]

Winn, would like to add my thanks, along with the others, for your efforts. Was enjoyable while it lasted and certainly ended on a high note for me

[Clark Kent]

This contest was the only real enjoyable part of the format war on the Internet, well aside from Blu-ray actually winning. Thanks Winn...