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#190021 |
Expert Member
Jun 2016
Atlanta, GA USA
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#190022 |
Blu-ray Samurai
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#190023 | |
Blu-ray Guru
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#190024 | |||
Blu-ray Knight
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But it's hardly a traditional action movie; methodical pacing with abrupt scenes of violence. Plenty of surrealistic scenes, no real sense of time, weird angles and first person shots. The movie seems intent on disorientating the viewer and then bringing them back in. Edit: after a quick look through your collection, I'd say get it. It'd probably make a good double feature with The Passion of Joan of Arc Last edited by gbm82; 08-02-2019 at 05:55 PM. |
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Thanks given by: | Member-222782 (08-02-2019), nitin (08-03-2019) |
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#190025 |
Blu-ray Baron
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Thanks given by: | softunderbelly (08-04-2019), The Great Owl (08-02-2019), theater dreamer (08-03-2019), thebalconyfool (08-02-2019) |
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#190026 | ||
Blu-ray Ninja
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Thanks given by: | gbm82 (08-02-2019) |
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#190027 |
Blu-ray Baron
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![]() Last edited by Dailyan; 08-03-2019 at 01:03 AM. |
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Thanks given by: | bonehica (08-02-2019), Cremildo (08-02-2019), Gacivory (08-02-2019), professorwho (08-02-2019), StarDestroyer52 (08-03-2019) |
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#190028 |
Blu-ray Guru
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Actually, there's more to it than that.
I spoke with a friend of mine who's a math genius and engineer to see if I could get some clarification. It's a little complicated, and there are some variables that could change the odds, but he concluded that there is a 1 in 438,000 chance that I would watch that film on the exact same date. In calculating this he took into consideration not only the fact that there are 365 days in a year, but also the number of movies that I had to choose from. In my personal collection I have about 1,200. But I also have access to tens of thousands more through Prime, Netflix, The Criterion Channel, Cable, and my public library. But if we just used the 1,200 I have in my my personal library then you'd multiply 365 days by 1,200 and the odds of me watching that particular movie on that particular day is 1 in 438,000. There are, as indicated, other variables that could alter the odds. The bottom line is that it would be rare that I would randomly watch the same movie on the same date. And that's not even taking into consideration the fact that I've only watched the movie twice. Hmmmm . . . maybe I should watch Wild Strawberries every 8/1. ![]() |
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#190032 | |
Blu-ray Prince
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yeah, 365*1200. I have a civil engineering degree but that's as basic a probability problem as they get. I'd be curious to see what the other variables are that could change the odds. Can't think of any apart from the choosing method. If it's selecting a title blindfolded, something on the center of the bluray shelf has best odds as it's natural to avoid the edges.
Woot, the Mrs. picked up Do the Right thing and 1984 today. Wasn't a big fan of the latter the last time I saw it, but I'm looking forward to seeing it in much better quality. I remember that dvd being pretty murky looking. Quote:
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#190033 | |
Blu-ray Samurai
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#190034 | |
Blu-ray Guru
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#190035 | ||
Blu-ray Knight
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#190036 | |
Blu-ray Prince
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The math still holds true for a perfectly random selection of that movie on those two dates spaced a year apart. i.e. August 3, 2019 the random bluray generator selected Wild Strawberries then exactly one year later on August 3rd, 2020 the random bluray generator selected Wild Strawberries for its second selection in that year span (with other titles selected every day in between, no Wild Strawberries). If it's simply a matter of one day out of the year trying to see if you can randomly select last years' title then yeah, the odds are 1/1200. If it's seeing if the same movie gets selected within the year, with no specific date of selection in mind the math should be (dunno if i'm just tired, but I did have to look this one up) [1-(1/1200)]^365 = 74% ----- But back to regeyer's original post, I think the odds of that particular scenario happening based on his/her particular case are actually not all that surprising. Assuming regeyer bought the Bergman set during this Criterion sale and the Original release of Wild Strawberries 6 years ago, and like many people on this forum, he/she tends to watch films shortly after buying them, that's actually a much, much smaller pool than we were calculating for. It's more like selecting the same movie in two different months based on a limited pool of Criterion purchases (with Criterion B&N double dips rising to the very tippity top of the probability pool), streaming picks, etc. But alas, engineers like nice little neat problems where one doesn't need to account for variables lol. Just there I was making assumptions to simplify the equation. Last edited by Abdrewes; 08-03-2019 at 04:08 AM. |
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#190038 | |
Blu-ray Guru
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Oh, and by the way, my name is Rob (I'm a guy). ![]() |
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#190040 | |
Blu-ray Prince
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That definitely makes the odds slimmer than I assumed (and closer to that 1 in 73,000 one). There's really a great number of variables to zero in the actual probability better 1. Do Criterion Sales make you more inclined to watch Criterion released films this time of year? 2. How big is that pool of viewing options? Describe it 6 years ago as opposed to now. 3. What's the viewing split between films you watch from your own library vs. streaming and library rentals? 4. What percentage of your viewings are rewatches? 5. How many films a day do you watch? (then vs. now) Ok, this is getting to be ridiculous. I think you'll need an analytics team to study your viewing logs, come up a series of viewing algorithms, then calculate the probability. ![]() |
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