Star Wars: Episode VII - The Force Awakens (USE SPOILER TAGS!)

[madlost1]

Originally Posted by rickah88

WOOOHOOOO!! Just scored tickets to a 7pm showing on the 17th!
Not even sure how that's possible, but I didn't complain!

Easy tickets are still available at my theater for that same showtime and that's when I'm going.

[Scott_HKR]

Just booked my tickets for the midnight showing....

[Riddler The Slag]

Originally Posted by DarkDune

This is what I want to see an Anthology film made for. The Battle of Jakku.

[Himmel]

All Footage from Star Wars: The Force Awakens Trailers and Spots in Chronological Order (6:30 min.)!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0yJMIzFEbNg

[Himmel]

Looky What i Found..

[Show spoiler]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4CtXcjib4o

[jayman3]

This is brilliant!

The Emperor Voiced by Mark Hamill's Joker - YouTube

[kelliwisethebrave]

Originally Posted by Riddler The Slag

This is what I want to see an Anthology film made for. The Battle of Jakku.

Have you read Lost Stars by Claudia Gray?

[Walts Ghost]

'Star Wars: The Force Awakens' Tracking Suggests Film Could Make $2.7 Billion Profit

With tracking suggesting $1 billion in domestic and $2.5 billion in international box office, Barton Crockett expects Wall Street forecasts for 'Rogue One' "to catapult up."

Walt Disney earnings and shares could be set for major Star Wars upside, FBR & Co. analyst Barton Crockett said in a report on Tuesday, citing box-office tracking data for The Force Awakens and analyzing its effect on spin-off Rogue One.

While he kept his own financial forecasts and his $126 price target for Disney's stock and his "outperform" rating on it unchanged, he said there was a case to be made for earnings upside. In a plausible scenario of upside to his estimates, he said the company's earnings per share could rise 35 percent over the next two years.

"We see current tracking for a Star Wars: The Force Awakens de-risking downside as making a plausible argument for 35 percent upside potential in Disney earnings per share by fiscal year 2017," he wrote. "The main driver is that assumptions for sequel Rogue One in December 2016 are likely to catapult up to mirror Force Awakens, driving a potential $1 billion to $2 billion lift to our and, we believe, Street consensus' (such as they exist) profit assumptions for Rogue One."

Force Awakens tracking suggests $1 billion potential domestic box-office revenue for the film, Crockett wrote. "Our base assumption remains that Force Awakens has $730 million domestic box office, ranking just behind Avatar's all-time record of $761 million," Crockett explained. "However, current tracking argues for a December 18 opening weekend at the $200 million level (we assume $185 million), 2.5 times Avatar's $77 million on a comparable weekend in 2009 and similarly above the December record $85 million opening for The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey in 2012. Big December movies typically earn nearly five times opening weekend in total domestic box, suggesting Force could fetch nearly $1 billion in domestic box over its total run."

He concluded: "Force Awakens could make total profits of $2.7 billion." If the domestic figures were reached, that could yield a film profit of $2.7 billion assuming that international box office is 2.5 times domestic revenue, which the analyst said would be "on par with averages for large global tentpoles." His own base estimate is for less than $1.9 billion.

Wall Street expectations for Rogue One "should jump" on the strong tracking, Crockett said. "A typical assumption for sequels is performance near the predecessor, arguing for a $1.6 billion to $2.4 billion lift to our current $300 million film profit estimate for Rogue One, which is based on domestic box office of $300 million."

The analyst also weighed in on consumer product revenue for the new Star Wars films. "Our base assumption is that, in fiscal year 2016, Disney's fees from licensed merchandise rise $90 million, to $2.05 billion, with a $300 million lift from Force Awakens offsetting declines in Frozen and classic Star Wars," he wrote. "But, with an unprecedented Force Friday promotion after Labor Day, industry-high fee splits, ample shelf space for Christmas, and broad category presence, an upside case of $700 million of fees on $5 billion of merchandise sales looks reasonably possible."

Crockett said his earnings model calls for Disney segment profit rising 13 percent to $16.6 billion in fiscal year 2016, which started in early October, and 4 percent, to $17.2 billion, the following year. That would mean earnings per share gains of 15 percent and 7 percent, respectively. "But a reasonable upside case ($1 billion domestic box for Force/Rogue, plus $700 million consumer product license fees) drives 7 percent and 11 percent upside to our earnings per share estimates, and earnings per share in fiscal year 2017 35 percent above fiscal year 2015, suggesting similar stock appreciation potential," he said. "We see potential additional lifts in later years from the Shanghai [theme] park launch, Frozen sequel, new Avatar and Star Wars attractions in theme parks, and potential new SVOD launches."

While some have highlighted ESPN pay TV subscriber losses, Crockett said: "We view concerns about two-month-old ESPN sub numbers...as overdone."

[Geoff D]

A billion from domestic alone? That would be incroyable.

[GC Riot]

Originally Posted by Geoff D

A billion from domestic alone? That would be incroyable.

Depending on the word of mouth, I don't think that's outside the realm of possibility, but like I said, the film better bring it on every level for that to happen.

[Geoff D]

Agreed, it's gonna hafta be amazing to get people going to see it again and again and again and again to pull in a billion simoleons.

[dubious]

Originally Posted by Riddler The Slag

Carrie Fisher talks about the weight she dropped to play Princess Leia again.

http://www.theguardian.com/culture/2...-force-awakens

I would have been amused by a Fat Princess Leia shoving down twinkies the whole movie, or walking around the star destroyer bridge with a spoon and quart of ice cream, and going out to promotions with a Jabba t-shirt.

[JamesKurtovich]

Originally Posted by Riddler The Slag

Carrie Fisher talks about the weight she dropped to play Princess Leia again.

http://www.theguardian.com/culture/2...-force-awakens

I felt pressured to lose weight for Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Look at all of those actors killing themselves in the gym to look like our favorite superheroes. It's called acting.

[Nada]

Originally Posted by Geoff D

A billion from domestic alone? That would be incroyable.

It's laughable.

Looking forward to it being labeled as a bit of a disappointing opening weekend, much like The Phantom Menace not topping The Lost World's record 16 years ago and not topping Titanic. Amazing how history is repeating itself. This probably has a better shot than Menace, due to no real competition in the marketplace and 3D and IMAX surcharges though. It won't sell as many tickets, regardless.

[Walts Ghost]

Originally Posted by Nada

It's laughable.

Looking forward to it being labeled as a bit of a disappointing opening weekend, much like The Phantom Menace not topping The Lost World's record 16 years ago and not topping Titanic. Amazing how history is repeating itself. This probably has a better shot than Menace, due to no real competition in the marketplace and 3D and IMAX surcharges though. It won't sell as many tickets, regardless.

The difference here is it's a movie with the original cast. You thought Jurassic World did well? This is going to be even bigger. Nostalgia is big for movies like this, and if it's good, then it's really gonna be huge. If it's great? That's a whole other story, and it could be massive returns like The Avengers had stateside. A perfect four quadrant film. It's already sold more than $50M in presale tickets alone. It probably won't make $1B stateside, but it's still going to make a ton of money regardless, hardly being a disappointment.

[Nada]

Originally Posted by Walts Ghost

The difference here is it's a movie with the original cast. You thought Jurassic World did well? This is going to be even bigger. Nostalgia is big for movies like this, and if it's good, then it's really gonna be huge. If it's great? That's a whole other story, and it could be massive returns like The Avengers had stateside. A perfect four quadrant film. It's already sold more than $50M in presale tickets alone. It probably won't make $1B stateside, but it's still going to make a ton of money regardless, hardly being a disappointment.

It probably won't be bigger than Jurassic World stateside. That one was a freak of nature that no one saw coming. This is so in your face that it's likely to turn people off more than anything. Practically every commercial on television has some Star Wars attachment and anytime you go in any store, Star Wars is in your face. It's Star Wars, so of course it's going to be huge and it might beat Jurassic World stateside and will be in the same neighborhood or slightly more worldwide, but I just find all of these "experts" predicting out of this world numbers to be a hilarious time warp back to 1999. Most of these same people probably predicted that Emmerich's Godzilla would be the top grossing film of 1998 too and that James Cameron's Titanic would be the biggest flop since Ishtar. You can't really predict the box office and that's part of the appeal of following it. Jurassic World is a perfect example.

The pre-sale tickets are impressive, but just like in 1999, that actually turns people off who have no interest in huge crowds and long lines, people who aren't die hard fans and would just like to see the movie.

[IndyMLVC]

Originally Posted by Nada

[Show spoiler]It probably won't be bigger than Jurassic World stateside. That one was a freak of nature that no one saw coming. This is so in your face that it's likely to turn people off more than anything. Practically every commercial on television has some Star Wars attachment and anytime you go in any store, Star Wars is in your face. It's Star Wars, so of course it's going to be huge and it might beat Jurassic World stateside and will be in the same neighborhood or slightly more worldwide, but I just find all of these "experts" predicting out of this world numbers to be a hilarious time warp back to 1999. Most of these same people probably predicted that Emmerich's Godzilla would be the top grossing film of 1998 too and that James Cameron's Titanic would be the biggest flop since Ishtar. You can't really predict the box office and that's part of the appeal of following it. Jurassic World is a perfect example.

The pre-sale tickets are impressive, but just like in 1999, that actually turns people off who have no interest in huge crowds and long lines, people who aren't die hard fans and would just like to see the movie.

Look who's back...

Ugh...

Originally Posted by JamesKurtovich

Look at all of those actors killing themselves in the gym to look like our favorite superheroes. It's called acting.

Carrie Fisher isn't an actress anymore, really. She's been behind the scenes for a very long time. I can only imagine that she couldn't give two shits about ever stepping in front of the camera again if it weren't for this payday. So let's not go crazy about the responsibility of your character and "acting" when we're talking about someone who doesn't really care about acting in the first place.

[crazyBLUE]

Originally Posted by Nada

It probably won't be bigger than Jurassic World stateside. That one was a freak of nature that no one saw coming. This is so in your face that it's likely to turn people off more than anything. Practically every commercial on television has some Star Wars attachment and anytime you go in any store, Star Wars is in your face. It's Star Wars, so of course it's going to be huge and it might beat Jurassic World stateside and will be in the same neighborhood or slightly more worldwide, but I just find all of these "experts" predicting out of this world numbers to be a hilarious time warp back to 1999. Most of these same people probably predicted that Emmerich's Godzilla would be the top grossing film of 1998 too and that James Cameron's Titanic would be the biggest flop since Ishtar. You can't really predict the box office and that's part of the appeal of following it. Jurassic World is a perfect example.

The pre-sale tickets are impressive, but just like in 1999, that actually turns people off who have no interest in huge crowds and long lines, people who aren't die hard fans and would just like to see the movie.

[Batman1980]

Originally Posted by Nada

It's laughable.

Looking forward to it being labeled as a bit of a disappointing opening weekend, much like The Phantom Menace not topping The Lost World's record 16 years ago and not topping Titanic. Amazing how history is repeating itself. This probably has a better shot than Menace, due to no real competition in the marketplace and 3D and IMAX surcharges though. It won't sell as many tickets, regardless.

Batman v Superman will be along in March to give it a good kick in the chiclets and put an end to whatever run it's on at the time.

[GC Riot]

Originally Posted by Darth Anakin

Batman v Superman will be along in March to give it a good kick in the chiclets and put an end to whatever run it's on at the time.

Yeah, it will ONLY have the box office to itself for like 14 weeks until then.