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Old 04-28-2015, 12:30 PM   #2401
Kirsty_Mc Kirsty_Mc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreamliner330 View Post
I've been trying (unsuccessfully) to reduce my Blu-ray collection to my "gotta have it's" so I don't lose my shirt when 4KBD's start rolling out. I gotta say though, I despise ANY REQUIRED Internet access for anything, including this authentication crap.

Remember BD-Live?

10 years from now things you buy in November won't work if activation is required.

If Authentication is required, guaranteed future headline:

"WB to end authentication service, be sure to download your authentications before xx/xx/xxxx and hope your player doesn't ever break"

local > cloud

Nintendo online for original Wii: Dead
Target Ticket: Dead

Services only last as long as money is flowing in.
I totally agree.

If onerous practices or heavy handed and highly controlling forms of DRM are implemented, then this only harms consumer confidence. IMO this will only push people into the hands of the Pirates. After all, your pirated copy won't expire all of a sudden or require authentication from the Pirates server.

Studios: The best way of protecting your IP is to sell a good quality product at a decent price. Engender pride of ownership in the product you sell. After all, there are many on this site who buy digibooks and steelbook as they are collectors. You don't find many bookworms with their shelves stacked full of photocopies!!!
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Old 04-28-2015, 02:37 PM   #2402
bruceames bruceames is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kirsty_Mc View Post
If onerous practices or heavy handed and highly controlling forms of DRM are implemented, then this only harms consumer confidence.
Given the growth of digital sellthrough and the decline of physical, I don't think online DRM is as much a sales deterrent as you may think. In 4 or 5 years most purchases will be digital-based anyway. There will come a day when all new future formats will have online DRM and the only question is if it starts with UHD BD or not. I hope it doesn't but I'm not optimistic about it given the signs I've seen so far (studio silence so far regarding support for UHD BD, disappointing BD market share compared to DVD, leaked documents, direction of market towards digital, known desire of studios, especially Fox, Sony and Disney to want maximum copy protection, etc).
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Old 04-28-2015, 03:25 PM   #2403
Dex Robinson Dex Robinson is offline
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Originally Posted by bruceames. View Post
Given the growth of digital sellthrough and the decline of physical, I don't think online DRM is as much a sales deterrent as you may think. In 4 or 5 years most purchases will be digital-based anyway. There will come a day when all new future formats will have online DRM and the only question is if it starts with UHD BD or not. I hope it doesn't but I'm not optimistic about it given the signs I've seen so far (studio silence so far regarding support for UHD BD, disappointing BD market share compared to DVD, leaked documents, direction of market towards digital, known desire of studios, especially Fox, Sony and Disney to want maximum copy protection, etc).
I think online DRM would kill disc sales.

Here's the way I see it. There are people who are dedicated disc buyers. We want the quality and the control of owning our physical media. There are people that enjoy the convenience of getting there home entertainment through the net. They don't collect movies and don't obsess over specifications.

Discs that require online DRM are a hybrid that combines the LEAST appealing qualities of physical media and online delivery.

As we've seen here, there is substantial resistance to the idea of such DRM among serious Blu-ray buyers. And dedicated disc buyers will be absolutely required if any new format is to have a prayer. PRESERVING THE EXISTING CORE OF DISC BUYERS is critical. UHD BD can't afford to lose these existing buyers.

Let's be perfectly honest. There is NO CHANCE that people who now stream and download media will convert to UHD BD. None. Zero. Ain't gonna' happen. People who are happy with getting their home entertainment through the internet will never go back to buying discs.

The ONLY market for UHD BD is those who currently buy discs. There is no new market to be tapped. Your 75 year old Uncle Joe isn't going to dump his VHS player for UHD BD. Your 22 year nephew who just graduated from college and likes to watch TV on his iPhone isn't going to buy UHD BD.

People who aren't buying discs today, are not buying UHD BD tomorrow. Todays BD buyers are the only consumers that matter for UHD BD.

The first question is: "How many BD buyers will be turned off by online DRM?" My guess is: a lot.

The second question is: "How many BD buyers can UHD BD afford to lose?"
I'd say: not many.
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Old 04-28-2015, 03:39 PM   #2404
Dynamo of Eternia Dynamo of Eternia is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bruceames. View Post
Given the growth of digital sellthrough and the decline of physical, I don't think online DRM is as much a sales deterrent as you may think. In 4 or 5 years most purchases will be digital-based anyway. There will come a day when all new future formats will have online DRM and the only question is if it starts with UHD BD or not. I hope it doesn't but I'm not optimistic about it given the signs I've seen so far (studio silence so far regarding support for UHD BD, disappointing BD market share compared to DVD, leaked documents, direction of market towards digital, known desire of studios, especially Fox, Sony and Disney to want maximum copy protection, etc).
Whether or not DRM is a detterent depends on the circumstances and how it is implemented. Despite people buying digitally distributed content, there was a huge backlash against the original Xbox One plans, for example.

The issue with DRM on digitally downloaded content is that I think most average people don't even give it a second thought (which they should IMO). Since they are buying something that is distributed digitally, having to sign into an account and authenticate is probably something that is more or less expected. I think they often take for granted the ability to reauthenticate/redownload "forever." The problem is, as we've seen with things like Target Ticket, that's not necessarily the case.

But the problem is that because digital distribution and online authentication is still such a relatively young concept for movies and video games, we really haven't yet seen the aftermath of a major, popular service being shut down. Most instances, like with Target Ticket, were services that never really "lit the world on fire," or instances where a specific movie here or there was suddenly rendered unavailable through a certain service (or services), but just the one movie was effected, not all of the others. If someone paid for that movie, but never attempted to watch it during a blackout period, they just never noticed. But on sheer principle, when/if they are made aware of it, they should be angry and out raged.

But we've seen once prosperous companines become irrevelent when times change. I doubt that 20 years ago many people would expect Blockbuster Video (or video stores in general) to go away the way that they largely have. While you can argue that digital distribution is the future (whether some of us want it to be or not), we have no way of knowing what kinds of shifts and changes will happen within in the next decade or two. Whose to say that iTunes or Amazon's download service will still be available and relivant that far down the road? Things could shift for the worse for those companies (Amazon especially since while they are huge, they've never really been significantly profitable).


Anyway, the point is that when people are paying for things digitally through an online service, the DRM seems more transparent to them, and because they don't think about the potential long term ramifications, to them it's not really a hinderance. It's just a necessary part of the process of consuming content through digital distribution.


But when and if applied to physical media, the tides begin to change. A big part of the point of physical media is to buy it, pop it into any compatible player, and be on your way. At this point DRM (above and beyond some kind of basic copy protection or whatever applied to the disc) is not some standard, necessary thing. It's a hinderance. Anything that stops someone from simply popping the disc into any compatible player and simply playing it will not go over well. A "digital bridge" that allows a full quality digital copy to be stored and tied to a specific player, while still allowing the disc to be used freely, would be a fair comprimise, as it wouldn't prevent the physical media from being used the way that is always has been, it just gives people an additional option that happens to require authentication. But anything that stops people from just using the disc as they always have... that's not going to fly.

From the standpoint of the end user, applying that kind of DRM to a physical copy will do little more than combine the worst aspects of both physical media and digitally distributed media into one super-inconvenient form of media, which as a result will elminate many of the positive aspects of both. It's a lose/lose proposition.


And really, even if both you and GeoffD are willing to put up with this sort of thing in the face of little to no comparible alternative, at the end of the day you should still be upset about the potential of it happening and do what you can to push back against it in the hopes of preventing such restrictions.

There's a good change that even if there is no authentication based DRM, 4K BD may not take off and could end prematurely. And if that happens, at least with no authentication needed, you will be able to use the movies that do come out in the format for the foreseeable future. You can buy a back up player or two and be set for years to come.

But if authentication is required (which I think will do more to drive would-be customers away than if it wasn't required), and the format falls flat, support will likely be cut off prematurely. Then you'll be dealing with a Target Ticket situation with a physical media format. Only there will be little that can be done to maintain access to those movies, at least at the quality provided by 4K BD. If they go with a Target Ticket-like solution, they may transfer your account to some other download service in which you can download the same movies (assuming said service has them available), but likely at far lesser quality.


The irony here is that as someone who is SO concerned about quality that you are willing to put up with this sort of thing, you should therefore be the one most concerned about the potential ramifications. As I previously stated, if it comes down to it, I'll just stick with regular Blu-Ray since it gives me the freedom that I want and with the sole exception of 4K BD, will likely still be better than most any other format or download/streaming options (even so-called "UHD" streams/downloads). I want the extra quality, but not in the form of a vague extended rental. I can live without it if it comes down to it. But you guys want it the most. It will REALLY suck if you guys get access to it, see how much better it is than what you have now and any download options out there, only for access to be cut off shortly thereafter if the format fails. That will be a bigger kick in the nuts than not having 4K BD in the first place.
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Old 04-28-2015, 04:01 PM   #2405
raygendreau raygendreau is offline
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On line authentication may apply to BD as well as UBD going forward.

EDIT: wikileaks links removed. After reading the final BDA 45 meeting report, I'm sure they will use AACS 2.0 enhanced on the new BD+HDR disc and it is highly likely that on line authentication will be required to download the title key for new legacy BDs when the new specification has settled.

Last edited by raygendreau; 05-10-2015 at 03:10 PM.
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Old 04-28-2015, 04:10 PM   #2406
Adrian Wright Adrian Wright is online now
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With all this talk of online authentication, would this put an end to us here in the UK importing UHD-BD in the future I sincerely hope not.
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Old 04-28-2015, 04:15 PM   #2407
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F this noise.

I'm definitely not buying a Digital Bridge enabled player, that's for sure!
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Old 04-28-2015, 05:09 PM   #2408
HeavyHitter HeavyHitter is offline
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Originally Posted by Kirsty_Mc View Post
I totally agree.

If onerous practices or heavy handed and highly controlling forms of DRM are implemented, then this only harms consumer confidence. IMO this will only push people into the hands of the Pirates. After all, your pirated copy won't expire all of a sudden or require authentication from the Pirates server.

Studios: The best way of protecting your IP is to sell a good quality product at a decent price. Engender pride of ownership in the product you sell. After all, there are many on this site who buy digibooks and steelbook as they are collectors. You don't find many bookworms with their shelves stacked full of photocopies!!!
Exactly.

What is going to be funny is how we will inevitably be reading in a tech article about how fast the initial UHD BDs will be cracked with the pirated encodes floating around out there. Then these studio execs will be scratching their heads about how and why this happened.
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Old 04-28-2015, 05:14 PM   #2409
Penton-Man Penton-Man is offline
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Originally Posted by raygendreau View Post
Median Household Income in and around both Scarsdale and Santa Monica is about $250,000. Per Capita Income isn't relevant...
I was thinking, for the sake of the more modest income earners in our Blu-ray.com community, not to mention those still looking but *between jobs*, that it would have been less painful reading if you had posted per capita income with your research.
Quote:
Originally Posted by raygendreau View Post
By 2016 these displays will be more affordable.
Ray, are you what realtors term a lookie-loo…or are you a real buyer? Does that statement mean that you are going on record to buy one of these LG OLEDs next year…no ‘ifs’ , ‘ands’ or ‘buts’….or using a favorite forum equivocating phrase, “I am considering”.

Or, more relevant to this thread, will you purchase an Ultra HD Blu-ray player in 2016?
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Old 04-28-2015, 05:19 PM   #2410
Penton-Man Penton-Man is offline
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Originally Posted by Dynamo of Eternia View Post
Whether or not DRM is a detterent depends on the circumstances and how it is implemented....
Yo Dynamo, term paper writing practice has some value, but numbers rule. Let’s see some numbers! If Wendell hasn’t started a poll, why not someone else? Bruce, you’re a numbers guy.

Let the lurkers who don't desire to say anything or simply don't have the time to converse....vote with one keystroke, so we get some numbers on this.
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Old 04-28-2015, 05:19 PM   #2411
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Originally Posted by Geoff D View Post
Woah woah woah, enough with that philosophical shit. There's far more important things that people are worrying about in this thread.
wrong their sir, the sociopathic / psychotic control the studios want over what we buy parallels social issues and the sociopathic / psychotic control the elite wants over every citizen.

Last edited by mackna; 04-28-2015 at 05:25 PM.
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Old 04-28-2015, 05:24 PM   #2412
Penton-Man Penton-Man is offline
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^ See, I'm sure this new guy would vote.
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Old 04-28-2015, 05:53 PM   #2413
raygendreau raygendreau is offline
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Originally Posted by Penton-Man View Post
I was thinking, for the sake of the more modest income earners in our Blu-ray.com community, not to mention those still looking but *between jobs*, that it would have been less painful reading if you had posted per capita income with your research.

Ray, are you what realtors term a lookie-loo…or are you a real buyer? Does that statement mean that you are going on record to buy one of these LG OLEDs next year…no ‘ifs’ , ‘ands’ or ‘buts’….or using a favorite forum equivocating phrase, “I am considering”.

Or, more relevant to this thread, will you purchase an Ultra HD Blu-ray player in 2016?
Most relevant is discretionary income, but enough about that.

I'm going on record that I will buy a UHD OLED 65" HDR flat display in 2016 and I believe I will not have to pay more than $4000.00 for it. I hope and believe that Panasonic, Samsung, and Sony will offer OLED alternatives to LG by then and I believe the UHD Alliance will have standards in place and decals on the Displays by the time I am ready to buy.

I was an innovator/early adopter of HD and Blu-ray hardware. I'm not doing that for UHD or OLED.

The LG 2015 55 and 65 OLEDs are coming to a BB near you (So. Cal.) in May.
If you see one with your own eyes, you will want one....eventually. (OLED but not LG specifically)

The "95%" are not interested in buying $42,000 30" Pro monitors from Sony or other manufacturer regardless of OLED architecture (RGB,WRGB,etc.)

Kateeva ink jet printing could bring OLED prices down significantly, but as yet it is still not ready for prime time.

Re the UBD player. Maybe, or I may just settle for a media server. As I see it, the UBD players will essentially be media servers with an internal HDD for storage and UHD media card capability for digital bridge. Probably priced around $2,000 or so. So maybe late 2016 or 2017.
I expect DRM issues early on, so no reason to jump in early. While I'm waiting, there will be Netflix UHD HDR, Amazon UHD HDR, VUDU UHD HDR, etc to pass the time.

Last edited by raygendreau; 04-28-2015 at 06:03 PM.
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Old 04-28-2015, 06:18 PM   #2414
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Originally Posted by raygendreau View Post
Probably priced around $2,000 or so. So maybe late 2016 or 2017.
let's hope not. If the first player or players are $2k the format will be DOA.

I'm guessing, and hoping, for somewhere between $500 and $1,000. For that price I'll absolutely have one.

But I don't see how they could expect people to pay more for their UHD Blu-ray player than they did for the television it's connected to.
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Old 04-28-2015, 06:26 PM   #2415
Dynamo of Eternia Dynamo of Eternia is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by spectre08 View Post
let's hope not. If the first player or players are $2k the format will be DOA.

I'm guessing, and hoping, for somewhere between $500 and $1,000. For that price I'll absolutely have one.

But I don't see how they could expect people to pay more for their UHD Blu-ray player than they did for the television it's connected to.
Will they even be that much, though? I mean this is an upgrade to the Blu-Ray format... not a completely new format from the ground-up. Sure, it comes with the same downsides as a new format (i.e. having to get a whole new player since the discs won't work in existing BD players), but I would think they should be able to launch it for less than $500.
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Old 04-28-2015, 07:06 PM   #2416
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Originally Posted by Penton-Man View Post

Or, more relevant to this thread, will you purchase an Ultra HD Blu-ray player in 2016?
I do a lot of lurking but yes, is my answer. This online thing worries me but, being a pragmatist, if this is the only way to own/get, say, Apocalypse Now on a disc at 4k with all that entails then I'd still buy one tomorrow.
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Old 04-28-2015, 08:36 PM   #2417
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dynamo of Eternia View Post
Will they even be that much, though? I mean this is an upgrade to the Blu-Ray format... not a completely new format from the ground-up. Sure, it comes with the same downsides as a new format (i.e. having to get a whole new player since the discs won't work in existing BD players), but I would think they should be able to launch it for less than $500.
Even though they're calling it a format extension it's still a lot of new technology and changes so, yes, I do believe UHD BD players will cost just as much, or more, as DVD and BD players did when they first arrived on scene.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dreamliner330 View Post
I've been trying (unsuccessfully) to reduce my Blu-ray collection to my "gotta have it's" so I don't lose my shirt when 4KBD's start rolling out. I gotta say though, I despise ANY REQUIRED Internet access for anything, including this authentication crap.

Remember BD-Live?

10 years from now things you buy in November won't work if activation is required.

If Authentication is required, guaranteed future headline:

"WB to end authentication service, be sure to download your authentications before xx/xx/xxxx and hope your player doesn't ever break"

local > cloud

Nintendo online for original Wii: Dead
Target Ticket: Dead

Services only last as long as money is flowing in.
For those with large collections, even if the service provider gave the customer a window before an online service was terminated would the purchaser be able to realistically download their whole collection before the service is shut off?

Possibly not, depending on how large the collection is, size of the digital files, and the speed of the customer's internet service. Even if the customer had a fast internet connection and was able to download 24/7 would a month be enough time to download the entire collection.

Some internet providers also cap monthly bandwidth. If we assumed worst case, a 1:1 digital copy (though unlikely), those with a 250 or 350GB monthly cap would only be able to download 2-5 titles depending on file size and depending on whether the bandwidth is used for other things. If we assume 10GB per file that's still only 25-35 titles per month.

Some providers charge $10 for each additional 50GB used over the cap (other stop service until the following month). Based on a worst case scenario (bit for bit) it would cost the consumer $10-20 for those extra downloads or $2 each for a 10GB file.

But does anyone remember the Disney Movie Online service that Disney shut down about 2.5 years ago? Disney did provide a 40-day window before it terminated the services but it was only 40 days and was during the holidays (Thanksgiving and Christmas).
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Old 04-28-2015, 09:19 PM   #2418
Wendell R. Breland Wendell R. Breland is offline
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Originally Posted by Penton-Man View Post
Where's the poll?
Done
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Old 04-28-2015, 09:25 PM   #2419
raygendreau raygendreau is offline
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Originally Posted by spectre08 View Post
let's hope not. If the first player or players are $2k the format will be DOA.

I'm guessing, and hoping, for somewhere between $500 and $1,000. For that price I'll absolutely have one.

But I don't see how they could expect people to pay more for their UHD Blu-ray player than they did for the television it's connected to.

The first BDP-1000 (Samsung) sold for $1,000 is 2006. For UBD players in 2016 add Digital Bridge/internal storage and you may very well approach $2K. For the UBD itself you are probably looking at a $40-$50 package. DRM for the content will probably account for $20 of that.
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Old 04-28-2015, 09:31 PM   #2420
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Quote:
Originally Posted by raygendreau View Post
The first BDP-1000 (Samsung) sold for $1,000 is 2006. For UBD players in 2016 add Digital Bridge/internal storage and you may very well approach $2K. For the UBD itself you are probably looking at a $40-$50 package. DRM for the content will probably account for $20 of that.
Sony's BDP-S1 also retailed for $1K.
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