Box Office Showdown (Jan 1-3) The Hateful Eight

[Chaotic]

The Hateful Eight
Weinstein Company

[Foggy]

Chris will be pissed when Star Wars beats it opening weekend.

[DanTheMan]

SPOILER Alert for #1:

[Show spoiler]

[Buscemi]

The Hateful Eight $27 million three-day ($35 million four-day)

Even though it's only getting 1,800 theatres for its expansion, the opening had a monster $45,000 PTA in 100 theatres so I think a $15,000 PTA on the three-day is possible.

The drop for the next week should be minimal as it adds 700 more theatres.

As for Star Wars, I estimate a drop of about 40%. So about $92 million or so.

[Chaotic]

Hateful 8 is only going to make $16-$17M

Weekend industry box office estimates for Jan. 1-3, 2016 as of 11:30PM:

1). Star Wars: The Force Awakens (DIS), 4,134 theaters (0) / $34.75M-$35.3M Fri. (-28% to -30%) / 3-day cume: $94M-$95M (-37% to -38%) / Total cume: $744.8M-$746M Wk 3

2). Daddy’s Home (PAR), 3,342 theaters (+71) / $11.3M-$11.8M Fri. (-25% to -28%)/ 3-day cume: $29.3M-$30.6M (-21% to -24%)/ Total cume: $95M / Wk 2

3.) The Hateful Eight (TWC), 2,474 theaters (+2,374) / $6M-$6.3M Fri. (+215% to 232%) / 3-day cume: $16.2M-$17.4M (+251% to +278%)/ Total cume: $30.8M / Wk 2

4/5). Alvin & The Chipmunks: The Road Chip (FOX), 3,474 theaters (-231) / $4.5M-$4.6M Fri. (-7%)/ 3-day cume: $12.28M-12.35M (-6%) / Total cume: $68M / Wk 3

Sisters (UNI), 2,978 theaters (+16) / $4.6M-$4.8M Fri. (-1% to +4%) / 3-day cume: $12.1M-$12.5M (-12% to -15%) / Total cume: $61.5M / Wk 3

6). Joy (FOX), 2,924 theaters (+28) / $4M-$4.1M Fri.(-40% to -42%) / 3-day cume: $10.4M-$11.1M ( -35% to -39%) / Total cume: $39M / Wk 2

7). The Big Short (PAR), 1,588 theaters (+3) / $3.36M Fri.(-11%) / 3-day cume: $8.7M-$9.3M (-12% to -17%) / Total cume: $32.7M-$33.3M / Wk 4

8). Concussion (SONY), 2,841 theaters / $3M-$3.2M Fri. (-25% to -29%) / 3-day cume: $7.9M-$8.4M (-20% to -25%) / Total cume: $25.8M / Wk 2

9). Point Break (WB), 2,910 theaters / $2.68M-$2.75M Fri. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $6.75M-$7.4M (-25% to -31%) / Total cume: $22.3M-$23M / Wk 2

10) The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 (LGF), 1,485 theaters (-328) / $1.79M Fri. (+19%) /3-day cume: $4.7M (-11%)/ Total cume: $274.3M / Wk 7

11). Good Dinosaur (Disney), 1,735 theaters (-252) / $1.57M Fri. (+62%) / 3-day cume: $4.3M (+15%)/ Total cume: $115.1M / Wk 6

12). Creed (MGM/New Line/WB), 1,518 theaters (0) / $1.4M Fri. (-9%) / 3-day cume: $3.7M (-16%) / Total cume: $103.3M / Wk 6

http://deadline.com/2016/01/weekend-...16-1201674917/

[Batman1980]

Ouch, guess it opened worse than I expected if Daddy's Home beat it, looks like SW is finally starting to show wear on those legs though.

[chris_sc77]

Those are very big numbers for Hateful Eight especially since it doesnt have any huge stars that can open a picture like Brad Pitt or Jamie Foxx/Leo

[sandman slim]

Originally Posted by Batman1980

Ouch, guess it opened worse than I expected if Daddy's Home beat it, looks like SW is finally starting to show wear on those legs though.

Yeah, because $95 million is absolutely horrible for a third weekend...

[The Debts]

I remember reading on BOM that Eight could open up close to 25 million. I personally think it might do more than that, due to the kind of crowd Tarantino can pull in. I don't see it going beyond 40 million or something but I can see it opening up at number two. It'd certainly be more deserving of that spot than friggin' Daddy's Home.

[Chaotic]

My theater was extremely busy today. I saw In the Heart of the Sea and every seat was taken. I had to sit on the very end in front of th aisle. But I was able to get out of theater super quick so that was a plus.

[chris_sc77]

Originally Posted by Chaotic

My theater was extremely busy today. I saw In the Heart of the Sea and every seat was taken. I had to sit on the very end in front of th aisle. But I was able to get out of theater super quick so that was a plus.

Bullcrap. No way was every seat taken in any showing of in The Heart of the Sea since it opened a months ago.

[Groot]

Originally Posted by chris_sc77

Bullcrap. No way was every seat taken in any showing of in The Heart of the Sea since it opened a months ago.

Uh, my theater did the same thing. Every seat has been gone for Sisters and The Big Short too. Recliner seats = less audience and when big theaters sell out quickly people flock to another movie.

[Batman1980]

Originally Posted by sandman slim

Yeah, because $95 million is absolutely horrible for a third weekend...

Not at all but the signs are there that the legs are getting a bit shaky, wouldn't be surprised at all if the day to day totals drop off drastically starting with the 11th. Hope this comes back substantially higher than estimates, Hateful 8 is a very good movie and deserves to do well, even against TFA.

[Chaotic]

Originally Posted by chris_sc77

Bullcrap. No way was every seat taken in any showing of in The Heart of the Sea since it opened a months ago.

Ok, don't believe me, I don't care. And its only been out for 3 weeks

[dubious]

Originally Posted by chris_sc77

Those are very big numbers for Hateful Eight especially since it doesnt have any huge stars that can open a picture like Brad Pitt or Jamie Foxx/Leo

Jamie Foxx is a bigger star than Kurt Russell or Samuel L. Jackson

[Chaotic]

Originally Posted by dubious

Jamie Foxx is a bigger star than Kurt Russell or Samuel L. Jackson

In chris' own little world he is.

[Markgway]

Originally Posted by dubious

Jamie Foxx is a bigger star than Kurt Russell or Samuel L. Jackson

[chris_sc77]

Originally Posted by dubious

Jamie Foxx is a bigger star than Kurt Russell or Samuel L. Jackson

He certainly isnt better but I would say he definitely sells more tickets than those two .

[Batman1980]

1 1 Star Wars: The Force Awakens BV $88,300,000 -40.8% 4,134 - $21,359 $740,265,583 $200 3
2 2 Daddy's Home Par. $29,000,000 -25.1% 3,342 +71 $8,677 $93,684,495 - 2
3 10 The Hateful Eight Wein. $16,240,000 +252.2% 2,474 +2,374 $6,564 $29,577,963 $44 2
4 4 Sisters Uni. $12,580,000 -11.3% 2,978 +16 $4,224 $61,703,640 $30 3
5 5 Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip Fox $11,800,000 -10.2% 3,474 -231 $3,397 $67,376,640 - 3
6 3 Joy Fox $10,400,000 -38.9% 2,924 +28 $3,557 $38,721,460 $60 2
7 6 The Big Short Par. $9,000,000 -14.5% 1,588 +3 $5,668 $32,979,117 $28 4
8 7 Concussion (2015) Sony $8,000,000 -23.8% 2,841 - $2,816 $25,370,000 $35 2
9 8 Point Break (2015) WB $6,845,000 -30.2% 2,910 - $2,352 $22,430,000 $105 2
10 9 The Hunger Games: Mockingjay - Part 2 LGF $4,625,000 -12.4% 1,485 -328 $3,114 $274,222,959 $160 7
11 12 The Good Dinosaur BV $4,004,000 +5.8% 1,735 -399 $2,308 $114,714,575 - 6
12 11 Creed WB $3,900,000 -11.9% 1,375 -143 $2,836 $103,456,653 $35 6

Source - http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend...wknd=01&p=.htm
$88 million, so about $11 million less than I thought.

[GorillaGuy]

I love how sisters only dropped 11%. That movie is hysterical and I'm glad it's selling tickets