Box Office Showdown (1/13-15) The Bye Bye Man, Monster Trucks, Sleepless

[Chaotic]

The Bye Bye Man
STX Entertainment


Monster Trucks
Paramount


Sleepless
Open Road


Patriots Day
Lionsgate


Live by Night
Warner Bros.


Silence (750 theaters)
Paramount

[Buscemi]

Patriots Day will probably be the biggest of the openers as Middle America loves this formula (even though the trailer showed the entire movie, more or less). The rest is a tossup.

[Adam_ME]

Originally Posted by Buscemi

Patriots Day will probably be the biggest of the openers as Middle America loves this formula (even though the trailer showed the entire movie, more or less). The rest is a tossup.

Kinda hard to spoil the plot of Patriots Day. There was a bombing. There was a manhunt. The Tsarnaev brothers were ID'd as the prime suspects by the FBI. They were tracked down and one was killed and the other was taken into custody. It would be like complaining about the marketing campaign of United 93.

[Buscemi]

But they could have put more thought into it than boiling it down to "Mark Wahlberg plays the same character again* in two hours of pandering".

Personally, I think a more interesting film would go into how and why the bombing happened (make it a Day of the Jackal-type film). Of course, such a film would never get made and even if it did, would be ignored or worse, criticized for simply existing.

* - Seriously. It seems all his characters now are a. Southie/Boston guy, b. personification of Middle America, or c. both.

[Adam_ME]

Originally Posted by Buscemi

But they could have put more thought into it than boiling it down to "Mark Wahlberg plays the same character again* in two hours of pandering".

Personally, I think a more interesting film would go into how and why the bombing happened (make it a Day of the Jackal-type film). Of course, such a film would never get made and even if it did, would be ignored or worse, criticized for simply existing.

* - Seriously. It seems all his characters now are a. Southie/Boston guy, b. personification of Middle America, or c. both.

A movie about how and why the Boston Marathon bombing happened? Not a chance in today's Hollywood.

[prkprkprk]

Very crowded weekend, but Patriots Day will probably win it. Would've been a close call with Live by Night had that movie not received terrible reviews and lost all of its awards momentum. Silence is only getting released in ~750 theaters, so it likely won't make a huge dent in the box office outside of perhaps a strong per-theater average. I'm predicting all three of the new 2017 releases (Monster Trucks, Sleepless, Bye Bye Man) completely bomb, though I guess that isn't a hard prediction to make since they all look like duds.

[Chaotic]

Live by Night is going tank so bad. I'm sure it will make less than $5M.

[Batman1980]

Originally Posted by Chaotic

Live by Night is going tank so bad. I'm sure it will make less than $5M.

No faith in Batman, eh?

[Chaotic]

Originally Posted by Batman1980

No faith in Batman, eh?

Like A Monster Calls, its done terrible in limited release and the bad reviews won't help/

[Batman1980]

Originally Posted by Chaotic

Like A Monster Calls, its done terrible in limited release and the bad reviews won't help/

I want to see it as a birthday movie so I hope it's still out on February 6.

[MikeScott]

Originally Posted by Batman1980

I want to see it as a birthday movie so I hope it's still out on February 6.

That won't happen.

[Britbuffguy]

Originally Posted by Buscemi

But they could have put more thought into it than boiling it down to "Mark Wahlberg plays the same character again* in two hours of pandering".

Personally, I think a more interesting film would go into how and why the bombing happened (make it a Day of the Jackal-type film). Of course, such a film would never get made and even if it did, would be ignored or worse, criticized for simply existing.

* - Seriously. It seems all his characters now are a. Southie/Boston guy, b. personification of Middle America, or c. both.

Really???? You really think the Rubes of this country want to know WHY these things happen?

They just want dead bad guys, flags waving and someone screaming 'MERICA!!!!!!!

To ask why would be the first step from preventing these things from happening and we can't do that....cause....well.....'MERCIA!!!

I still think it's #1 anyways.

[MikeScott]

PATRIOT'S DAY - 19.747 MILLION (3-Day)/23.047 MILLION (4-Day)
MONSTER TRUCKS - 12.45 MILLION (3-Day)/16.718 MILLION (4-Day)
BYE BYE MAN - 11.936 MILLION (3-Day)/13.049 MILLION (4-Day)
SLEEPLESS - 10.35 MILLION (3-Day)/11.88 MILLION (4-Day)
LIVE BY NIGHT - 9.5 MILLION (3-Day)/10.87 MILLION (4-Day)
SILENCE - 2.5 MILLION (3-Day)/3.026 MILLION (4-Day)

[MikeScott]

1. HIDDEN FIGURES - 23.94 MILLION (3-Day - +5%)/27.94 MILLION (4-Day - +23%)
2. PATRIOT'S DAY - 19.747 MILLION (3-Day)/23.047 MILLION (4-Day)
3. LA LA LAND - 15 MILLION (3-Day - +48%)/17 MILLION (4-Day - +68%)
4. SING - 14.291 MILLION (3-Day - -31%)/20.5 MILLION (4-Day - -1%)
5. ROGUE ONE - 13.238 MILLION (3-Day - -40%)/16.547 MILLION (4-Day - -25%)
6. MONSTER TRUCKS - 12.45 MILLION (3-Day)/16.718 MILLION (4-Day) (New)
7. BYE BYE MAN - 11.936 MILLION (3-Day)/13.049 MILLION (4-Day) (New)
8. SLEEPLESS - 10.35 MILLION (3-Day)/11.88 MILLION (4-Day)
9. LIVE BY NIGHT - 9.5 MILLION (3-Day)/10.87 MILLION (4-Day)
10. UNDERWORLD: BLOOD WARS - 7.391 MILLION (3-Day - -46%)/8.5 MILLION (4-Day - -38%)
11. PASSENGERS - 5.289 MILLION (3-Day - -40%)/6.541 MILLION (4-Day - -25.8%)
12. WHY HIM? - 5.183 MILLION (3-Day - -24.9%)/5.935 MILLION (4-Day - -14%)
13. MOANA - 5.1 MILLION (3-Day - -20%)/7 MILLION (4-Day - +9.9%)
14. FENCES - 4.134 MILLION (3-Day - -14.1%)/5.150 MILLION (4-Day - +7%)
15. SILENCE - 2.5 MILLION (3-Day)/3.026 MILLION (4-Day)

[civiclx]

For those with little faith in Live By Night, are you predicting it will make less than Argo or The Town when it's all said and done?

[MikeScott]

Absolutely. Poor reviews, period film, really heavy competition. It was ridiculous to go wide against Patriot's Day.

[fitprod]

Mike, your optimism for Monster Trucks is impressive. Paramount already took a $115 million write off LAST QUARTER. It's been finished for three years.

I'll be stunned if it makes $10 during its total run. Reviews might be Eck vs Seaver: Ballistic level.

Fitprod

[Cremildo]

Originally Posted by civiclx

For those with little faith in Live By Night, are you predicting it will make less than Argo or The Town when it's all said and done?

I'm betting it will make less in its total run than the opening weekend of The Town.

[Chaotic]

I will be surprised if Live by Night makes $10M in its entire run.

[jacobsever]

I'm seeing The Bye Bye Man. Gotta love some January dumped, wide release horror!