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Old 01-03-2008, 01:55 PM   #1
stockstar1138 stockstar1138 is offline
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Apr 2007
Default CES Keynote Predictions

Jot down what predictions you have for both HD DVD and Blu-ray's keynote speeches. I believe the MAIN difference in the two of them (other than length) is that Blu-ray is not going to go up there and TRY to convince everybody that they are winning the war. They might say a little about their dominance over HD DVD, but I think HD DVD is going to go up their smear FUD and try to convince people that they are in the lead, because the general belief is that they are losing, and they are losing bad. Here is my breakdown

HD DVD

Intro - 5 min.
Current Sales FUD (SALs and Attach ratios, low prices, they will say they are winning, etc.) - 10 min.
Universal (upcoming titles, past sales) - 10 min.
TL51 (this is going to be their center piece, I think their is a 20:80 chance they have it completely done, ready to go and are going to make a spring release, I think their is a 50:50 they have it working on some players and say something like, hey we're really impressed with the compatabliitlity we have seen with TL51, a little more work needs to be done, but we are anticipating a fall release, and a 10:90 chance they scrap it. They are also going to say stuff like, we hope with this new advantage to hd dvd more studios will see the light.) - 15 min.
WB - 10 min.
Region Coding - I think HD DVD is going to talk about this for a while. I think they are going to try to impliment region coding on "selective" releases. They will again say that they hope more studios will come to HD DVD over this. - 10 min.
Paramount - 10 min.
Interactive Features - They are going to go on and on and on about new advanced interactive features, mostly web enabled ones. They will make sure to say that blu-ray currently cannot do this type of thing. - 10 min.
4th gen. players announced, new features, lower prices. - 10 min.
CH DVD - They will say how China has gone red (no pun intended) and that CH DVD will lower prices and cost - 5 min.
Wrap Up - 5 min.
Q & A til the end? As long as it doesn't get out of hand.

I think it won't run a full 2 hours, but as you can see they have nearly 2 hours of NOTHING!

Blu-ray

Intro - 5 min (this will include anytype of sales numbers, its not going to be talked about much though).
Movie Studios talk about upcoming releases (I think this is going to go down, where all the studio execs get up at once say a little blurb and then flash up on a screen new titles that are "coming soon" (20 min.)
New CE manufacturers (chinese players will be there!) (Note: there will not be any new players discussed at the blu-ray keynote, this will be done at the CEs conference, this is going to give off the impression the blu-ray is everywhere, as everytime a CE gets up to talk, blu-ray is mentioned, blu-ray is going to get mentioned in 80% of the CEs speeches throughout the whole show, by the end of it nobody will remember the HD DVD 2 hour FUD marathon) - 10 min.
The Big Bomb of the Show (A BIG Retailer has gone Blu-ray excluisve) - 10 min.
Profiles and advanced features 10 min.
Closing - 5 min.

Final Note: No studio shifts

Did I nail it, or do you guys think I missed the mark completely.
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