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Originally Posted by jhiggy23
First, one of the above posters I think made a good point about Mo'nique in that the acclaim probably stems in large part due to the deplorable nature of her character and not her acting talent. This may be completely unfair, which is why I am not making any conclusions. However, if you read the reviews, including Ebert, he mentions how her character is one of the most deplorable villains on screen in recent memory. This does not guarantee a win though, so I think those who are saying she is a shoe in are speaking too soon. Remember that Ralph Fiennes did not win an Oscar for his portrayal of one of the most deplorable screen villains in recent memory, in Schindler's List. However, I think Mo'nique will undoubtedly benefit from a weak year, as will many other actors, actressess, and films.
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Deplorable yes but it does take acting chops to even pull those type of roles off but it's been a weak year and that's why she's really the top contender. Maybe one of the girls from Nine will nab the win.
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Originally Posted by jhiggy23
Inglourious and Moon will not be nominated. 500 Days of Summer prob will not either, despite the fact that everyone I know who saw it loved it. Films that will undoubtedly be nominated are Invictus, Brothers, The Hurt Locker, Up, and Lovely Bones (yes, despite the fantasy elements). The Road has a good chance based on subject matter, despite reviews that are not overwhelmingly positive.
Great Debators was a very good film and an interesting story. Certainly not best picture quality though. I also did not like how that was being promoted, although since it is a true story, it is a monumental achievement in the academic realm for African-Americans.
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Well seeing how we have 10 nominations this year it's possible. Brothers actually looks pretty awful, okay not awful but it doesn't look that well. I feel Messengers is the superior movie in that type of genre and that might get nominated. Invictus no doubt about it, Hurt Locker, honestly I was not impressed with it, it was decent and I don't see it getting a nomination. Lovely Bones was a given, regardless of fantasy or not. Academy loves Peter Jackson.
Great Debators was a good flick, but like you said about promotion wise, that's what ruined the flick for me. I didn't hear much about Precious so I can't comment much about how it's been promoted and I will try to ignore that publicity because I want to enter this flick with an open mind.