How long do you think Blu-ray will last?

[Grumpz]

With internet speeds constantly increasing, and the prices of Flash Media constantly decreasing, how long do you think Blu-ray will be around?

Sorry if there's already been a thread, but I didn't find it.

Is it outside the realm of belief to think that we could be plugging in jump drives to watch movies in the not so distant future?

I bought my first 512mb jump drive 4 yrs ago, it cost me $40 bucks give or take. That's $80/gb. A month ago, I paid $15 for 8gb. That's $1.88/GB. We're looking at a 97.5% decrease in the cost of 1GB of flash memory. Declines like that are huge. At that rate, we could see $.05/GB in 4 yrs. Putting the cost of a 50gb drive (the equivalent of a Dual layer BD) at less than 3 bucks.

It doesn't look like Ipods and the variations of them are going anywhere, and these play compressed files. HD content wouldn't need to be compressed.

I personally don't think internet will be able to stream HD content flawlessly for some time but even that will happen.

Of course I haven't considered every angle so yes there are a lot of reasons to think blu-ray will be around for yrs and yrs, but I don't see it that way. There's no need for moving parts to play any type of media. It's all data now.

I'm going to go with the first HD movie released on a jump drive in Feb of 2014. Who knows...maybe I"m nuts.