Official 2010 Oscars Thread

[Diesel]

Some new odds after the BAFTAs

THE ODDS FOR THE 2010 ACADEMY AWARDS

Best Picture
5/6 The Hurt Locker (from 5/4)
10/11 Avatar (from 1/2)
16/1 Inglourious Basterds
25/1 Up in the Air
40/1 Up
50/1 Precious
66/1 An Education
66/1 District 9
100/1 A Serious Man
125/1 The Blind Side

Best Director
1/3 Kathryn Bigelow (from 4/9)
2/1 James Cameron (from 7/5)
20/1 Quentin Tarantino
25/1 Jason Reitman
50/1 Lee Daniels

Best Actor
1/6 Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
6/1 George Clooney (Up In The Air)
10/1 Colin Firth (A Single Man) (from 14/1)
18/1 Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
18/1 Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)

Best Actress
8/13 Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side) (from 4/6)
7/4 Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia) (from 13/8)
8/1 Carey Mulligan (An Education) (from 10/1)
12/1 Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
33/1 Helen Mirren (The Last Station)

Best Supporting Actor
1/25 Christoph Waltz - Inglourious Basterds
11/1 Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones
14/1 Woody Harrelson - The Messengers
20/1 Matt Damon - Invictus
25/1 Christopher Plummer - The Last Station

Best Supporting Actress
1/16 Mo'Nique - Precious (from 1/12)
12/1 Penelope Cruz - Nine
12/1 Anna Kendrick - Up In The Air (from 8/1)
16/1 Vera Farmiga - Up in the Air
20/1 Maggie Gyllenhaal - Crazy Heart

[Idioteque...]

Seeing how Moon or The Road or The Messenger wasn't nominated it won't be that fun this year. Jeff Bridges will probably win and give a stoner speech. Only film I'm rooting for is Up in the Air which won't win when it clearly should.

[nathanp]

I'd like to see Gabourey Sidibe win Best Actress, if not then Meryl Streep.

[AndyTheZombie]

I want Up or District 9 to win.

[toef]

I'm assuming the new odds for Avatar are a typo, and that it's actually fallen to a 10/1.

I'm surprised/saddened to see Bullock as the favorite for Best Actress. I almost don't want to admit that I even saw The Blind Side, but I had a streak that I wanted to uphold (of seeing all the Best Picture nominees, for 6 years running now), and I forced myself to go see it.

She's the best part of the movie, but that's not saying much. At all.

Edit: Out of boredom I checked out the odds for each category. I don't know where these came from, but whoever is offering these odds worked in a nice 15-20% profit for themselves. Since I don't really bet at all, I don't know if that's a pretty standard profit % or what.

[Sabotage]

I just hope Avatar doesn't win Best Picture. I'm pulling for The Blind Side.

[Blu Titan]

Originally Posted by Diesel

Some new odds after the BAFTAs

THE ODDS FOR THE 2010 ACADEMY AWARDS

Best Picture
5/6 The Hurt Locker (from 5/4)
10/11 Avatar (from 1/2)
16/1 Inglourious Basterds
25/1 Up in the Air
40/1 Up
50/1 Precious
66/1 An Education
66/1 District 9
100/1 A Serious Man
125/1 The Blind Side

Best Director
1/3 Kathryn Bigelow (from 4/9)
2/1 James Cameron (from 7/5)
20/1 Quentin Tarantino
25/1 Jason Reitman
50/1 Lee Daniels

Best Actor
1/6 Jeff Bridges (Crazy Heart)
6/1 George Clooney (Up In The Air)
10/1 Colin Firth (A Single Man) (from 14/1)
18/1 Morgan Freeman (Invictus)
18/1 Jeremy Renner (The Hurt Locker)

Best Actress
8/13 Sandra Bullock (The Blind Side) (from 4/6)
7/4 Meryl Streep (Julie & Julia) (from 13/8)
8/1 Carey Mulligan (An Education) (from 10/1)
12/1 Gabourey Sidibe (Precious)
33/1 Helen Mirren (The Last Station)

Best Supporting Actor
1/25 Christoph Waltz - Inglourious Basterds
11/1 Stanley Tucci - The Lovely Bones
14/1 Woody Harrelson - The Messengers
20/1 Matt Damon - Invictus
25/1 Christopher Plummer - The Last Station

Best Supporting Actress
1/16 Mo'Nique - Precious (from 1/12)
12/1 Penelope Cruz - Nine
12/1 Anna Kendrick - Up In The Air (from 8/1)
16/1 Vera Farmiga - Up in the Air
20/1 Maggie Gyllenhaal - Crazy Heart

Thanks for posting some credible odds Diesel.

[Diesel]

Originally Posted by toefer

Edit: Out of boredom I checked out the odds for each category. I don't know where these came from, but whoever is offering these odds worked in a nice 15-20% profit for themselves. Since I don't really bet at all, I don't know if that's a pretty standard profit % or what.

They aren't the Vegas Odds, which are usually the ones most people report I think?

The story I read them from said it was from Paddy Power...which after Googling it just now, I found out that is IRELAND's largest bookmaker.



Avatar's 10/1 (from Vegas) was on December 17th; the day before it opened.

[Diesel]

[Diesel]

[toef]

Diesel, nice images.

The first one is full of fairly well known Oscar trivia, but the Avatar vs The Hurt Locker thing is interesting. Obviously Avatar would be the highest grossing winner, but I didn't realize The Hurt Locker would be the lowest.

[Blu Titan]

Originally Posted by toefer

Diesel, nice images.

The first one is full of fairly well known Oscar trivia, but the Avatar vs The Hurt Locker thing is interesting. Obviously Avatar would be the highest grossing winner, but I didn't realize The Hurt Locker would be the lowest.

The Hurt Locker has a lot of momentum, but Avatar could surprise. PErsonally I would love to see Inglorious Basterds get the win, but that is the slimmest of chances.

[zoso0928]

Am I the only person who thinks meryl streep upsets(if thats an upset) Sandra bullock? Last year mickey rourke was the feel good nomination and lost to Sean Penn and Eddie Murphy Won award for his role in Dream Girls then Lost To Alan Arkin... Maybe I am reading to much into this..

[Idioteque...]

I feel Up in the Air deserves the win if anything but it's not happening.

I was watching Parks & Recreation today, Ron Swanson had a great quote, "Award shows are meaningless and stupid, they'd have more meaning if they gave them to right the people"

[zahinn]

Go UP !!!!!!!!

[Jeremiah]

I think Hurt Locker hurt its chances with the whole letter from the producer disaster.

Here's hoping Avatar wipes the floor clean!

[AndyTheZombie]

I really don't care about Up In The Air or any others All I care about is Avatar, Up and District 9!!

[toef]

Originally Posted by Blu Titan

The Hurt Locker has a lot of momentum, but Avatar could surprise. PErsonally I would love to see Inglorious Basterds get the win, but that is the slimmest of chances.

I heard that Inglourious Basterds could pull off a surprise upset, but who knows. I think I'd actually like to see that win, because it's a nice mix of Avatar (a money-making movie) and The Hurt Locker (a generally critically acclaimed movie).

Originally Posted by Idioteque...

I feel Up in the Air deserves the win if anything but it's not happening.

I was watching Parks & Recreation today, Ron Swanson had a great quote, "Award shows are meaningless and stupid, they'd have more meaning if they gave them to right the people"

I think a better quote is from Ricky Nelson, "you can't please everyone, so you've got to please yourself". Regardless of who wins, some people are going to be disappointed. I say let the Academy voters do what they want to do, and we can like it or not, but it's their award to give away.

[bookcase]

I'm with you and think Meryl will be the victor. I'm also going against the pundits in two other categories: Avatar for Best Picture and Inglorious Basterds for Best Original Screenplay. I'll probably eat my words come Sunday night, but that's my thinking (not necessarily my choices).

[kpkelley]

It all comes down to how many of the Academy members will vote for a Republican character.

In all honesty, Sandra Bullock was good but I really enjoyed Meryl's work much more.

I know everyone is of the opinion that Jeff Bridges will win the Best Actor oscar, but imo his performance pales in comparison to those nominated last year, most notably Mickey Rourke. I think that for the lead actor categories, this year is relatively weak.