Best Blu-ray Movie Deals


Best Blu-ray Movie Deals, See All the Deals »
Top deals | New deals  
 All countries United States United Kingdom Canada Germany France Spain Italy Australia Netherlands Japan Mexico
Guillermo del Toro's Pinocchio 4K (Blu-ray)
$34.99
1 day ago
Black Hawk Down 4K (Blu-ray)
$30.99
1 day ago
The Ultimate Aang & Korra Blu-ray Collection (Blu-ray)
$45.85
1 day ago
2 Days in the Valley (Blu-ray)
$26.13
1 day ago
Unforgiven 4K (Blu-ray)
$14.99
 
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 4K (Blu-ray)
$24.99
 
Jaws 2 4K (Blu-ray)
$16.99
1 day ago
Shawscope Volume Two (Blu-ray)
$89.45
 
Ghostbusters and Ghostbusters II 4K (Blu-ray)
$40.99
 
For All Mankind: Season One (Blu-ray)
$38.85
1 day ago
Samurai Jack: The Complete Series (Blu-ray)
$49.00
13 hrs ago
Blue Steel (Blu-ray)
$15.79
 
What's your next favorite movie?
Join our movie community to find out


Image from: Life of Pi (2012)

Go Back   Blu-ray Forum > Blu-ray > Blu-ray Technology and Future Technology

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 05-04-2007, 02:33 PM   #1
Blu-Ray Buckeye Blu-Ray Buckeye is offline
Power Member
 
Dec 2006
Virginia
Default BD v HD-DVD Predictions

A professor at Kansas University created a quasi-financial security to try to predict what people really believe regarding whether BD sales will outpace HD-DVD sales in 2007. Basically it's similar to an options contract.

If BD outsells HD-DVD in '07 then your contract would be worth $100. If BD does not win then it would be worth $0. The implication is that if this were an even battle the price of the option should be exactly $50. Instead the contract is currently trading at $82 and has been rising since it started trading a few months ago. Pretty much no one is willing to bet on the HD-DVD side.

https://www.intrade.com/jsp/intrade/...etailID=474416
  Reply With Quote
Old 05-04-2007, 02:56 PM   #2
Matt X Matt X is offline
Senior Member
 
Matt X's Avatar
 
Feb 2007
Default

is this actually trading on the market, or is the professor running a simulation where active securities traders can weigh in on this speculation by fake investing as if it WAS real? either way for those non-financial types out there, volume/directional readings on REAL options trading can give a good picture on what investors think will happen in the market in the future. Options #'s are a good gauge of "consumer sentiment" (consumers in this case being investors) - so if this is an exercise that involves investors/speculators that are studying this BR/HDDVD market from the "outside" (as investors who want to make a bet on the direction of a war to make a profit, not as fanboys), these #'s in favor of BR are VERY interesting.
  Reply With Quote
Old 05-04-2007, 03:09 PM   #3
Blu-Ray Buckeye Blu-Ray Buckeye is offline
Power Member
 
Dec 2006
Virginia
Default

I think it is a simulation. If it were real money I think we'd all be throwing $$ at it to lock in that easy $18 return on our $82 investement. Still it is very telling, essentially saying that people will bet $82 for a possible $100 on BD and only $18 for their chance at $100 on HD-DVD.
  Reply With Quote
Reply
Go Back   Blu-ray Forum > Blu-ray > Blu-ray Technology and Future Technology

Similar Threads
thread Forum Thread Starter Replies Last Post
Transformers 3 predictions Movies onemorechance 57 08-25-2009 07:12 AM
MS PS3 predictions PS3 partridge 1 07-27-2007 09:07 AM
TV Predictions article - "Blu-ray vs. HD DVD: Roll the Credits" (18.06.07) Blu-ray Technology and Future Technology goodstuff 7 06-18-2007 10:40 PM
Seven tech predictions for '07 Blu-ray Technology and Future Technology marzetta7 4 01-23-2007 08:59 PM
2007 general tech predictions, not BD/HD DVD related General Chat Maximus 0 01-12-2007 04:56 PM


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 09:38 AM.