Box-Office Showdown (7/21 - 7/23) Barbie, Cobweb, Oppenheimer

[unberechenbar]

Barbie


Cobweb


Oppenheimer

[BluBonnet]

Here's hoping Barbie will give the summer BO a badly-needed boost

[DanTheMan]

Feeling optimistic.

Barbie - $105-110 million
Oppenheimer - $55-60 million

[RevolverOcelScott]

Originally Posted by DanTheMan

Feeling optimistic.

Barbie - $105-110 million
Oppenheimer - $55-60 million

This is probably the likely scenario. I'm going to see both (not until after the weekend sadly), but I do see Barbie winning out in terms of box office as it's an easier film to fill seats in my opinion.

[ImBlu_DaBaDee]

Barbie will do 140-150 million at least
Oppenheimer will do about 70 million

[CreasyBear]

Barbie - $80M
Oppenheimer - $47M
M:I-7 - $30M

[MuffinMcFluffin]

Barbie - $105 million
Oppenheimer - $72 million

I don't know what Cobweb is. A Spider-Man prequel?

These are subject to change once I see the RT scores, or see the movies themselves.

[BluBonnet]

Spider-Verse 2 has passed GotG Vol 3 as the top domestic movie of the summer. The Little Mermaid still the summer's top non-Marvel movie.

[DanTheMan]

Originally Posted by ImBlu_DaBaDee

Barbie will do 140-150 million at least
Oppenheimer will do about 70 million

$70 mil would be great, but I looked up Dunkirk’s OW numbers (obviously Tenet would be a horrible comparison due to the circumstances) and they were about $50 mil domestically. Off the strength of Nolan’s name, I’d reckon it would do at least that much again, but with Cillian Murphy front and center as the leading man in that marketing, I’m unsure if general audiences will care much unless the “Barbenheimer” hype provides a pleasantly surprising boost within the older demographic. Sure, it’s also got Matt Damon and Emily Blunt, but is that still enough to propel it to “blockbuster” status? Hopefully. We’ll have to wait and see.

[BluBonnet]

Tom Cruise: "Ta-dah!!"
Barbie: "Hold my beer, tiny"

[BluBonnet]

‘Barbie’ & ‘Oppenheimer’ To Rattle The Globe With Combined $260M+ Opening – Box Office Preview

At a time when the industry is suffering through historic dual strikes by the WGA and SAG-AFTRA, the motion picture industry is poised to see an enormous weekend at the box office with Warner Bros./Mattel’s long awaited toy feature adaptation Barbie and Christopher Nolan’s World War II era three-hour adult drama Oppenheimer reaping a combined $260M+ global start.

Barbie has a crazy range of projections stateside, from $90M-$125M. Warners is safely calling for $75M at 4,200 theaters, but rivals are confident this doll of a comedy starring Margot Robbie and Ryan Gosling will have gorgeous receipts. Worldwide, Barbie is eyeing around $165M, $60M-$65M from 69 offshore markets including France and Korea among majors on Wednesday, followed by Germany, Italy, Spain, Australia and all of Latin America on Thursday, and then the UK and China on Friday.

Meanwhile, Universal’s first Nolan feature, boldly dated on the same weekend as the toy story from the filmmaker’s former studio, Warner Bros.,is looking at $40M-$50M domestic in 3,600 theaters, with another $45M abroad for a near $100M global start at the high end. If those numbers hit, it’s a mindblowing start for a three-hour talky adult movie.

No Rotten Tomatoes scores have registered yet for either title, but word from key press out of early Oppenheimer screenings is that it’s riveting; easily one of the front-runners this Oscar season.

Many audiences are already planning double features with dinner scheduled in between. No. 1 chain AMC is so excited they’re reporting that 40K-plus of their stubs members have snapped up advance tickets to see both titles on the same day. Stars such as Tom Cruise have declared on social media that it’s a grand weekend for moviegoing with rival studios’ talent are showing mutual love for each other’s fare.

[BillieCassin]

The legs on Barbie are going to be interesting (no pun intended).

I'm glad it seems poised to do well. Kind of surprised, but glad. There is some big talent behind this movie.

Though I do wonder how many of the advance ticket sales are because parents are buying up tickets to the Barbie movie, who don't realize that this film isn't aimed towards kids. I mean, there have been over 40 animated Barbie movies in the past 20 years that have been decently successful, and I have to wonder how many people think this is just an extension of those.

Word of mouth and second week sales will be interesting once that gets more widespread attention.

[BluBonnet]

Originally Posted by BillieCassin

Though I do wonder how many of the advance ticket sales are because parents are buying up tickets to the Barbie movie, who don't realize that this film isn't aimed towards kids.

I think the trailers and the soundtrack make that pretty clear already.

[filmbuffTX]

Barbie will release on 700-800 screens in India.

As of Tuesday at 3 pm, Barbie has sold approximately 36,000 tickets in the three national chains – PVR, Inox, and Cinepolis – for the opening day alone and is headed to close in the vicinity of 65,000 to 75,000 tickets. The weekend sales for Barbie is around 80,000 with 2 days still to go in advance front.

The film has already netted Rs 1.30 crore from the three chains, and the opening day business of the film is expected to be in the range of Rs 5.00 to 6.50 crore.

Source: PINKVILLA

[Doc Samson]

Barbie - $90M
Oppenheimer - $60M

[Blu-Malibu2009]

Barbie will probably go over $150 million for the domestic opening. Perhaps around $50-60 million for Oppenheimer.

[rsp_clark]

Based on the hype (and pre-sales), I think "Barbie" will be the biggest opener of the year, with over 120 million.
However, I don't think "Oppenheimer" is going to be big. It's going to fill IMAX and 70 mm showings, but not regular theaters, after all it is a 3-hour long drama. If "Dunkirk" only made 50 million on opening weekend, I can see "Oppenheimer" doing about 28 million.

[Foggy]

Barbie is probably going to be huge on the Friday, but I have a feeling it’ll be largely frontloaded, that said I could see it beating the opening weekend take if Mario honestly, if not coming very close.

Oppenheimer is probably gonna clock in $60+ mill with the good reviews, but I do think it’s legs will fare better.

[Underworld54]

Originally Posted by Doc Samson

Barbie - $90M
Oppenheimer - $60M

You're way way WAY off on Barbie.

[BluBonnet]

Originally Posted by Foggy

Barbie is probably going to be huge on the Friday, but I have a feeling it’ll be largely frontloaded

That would depend on WOM, and what I've been hearing is ecstatic!