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View Poll Results: How much will Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour make on opening weekend?
under $61 million 2 8.33%
$61 - $70 million 0 0%
$71 - $80 million 1 4.17%
$81 - $90 million 0 0%
$91 million - $100 million 3 12.50%
more than $100 million 18 75.00%
Voters: 24. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 10-10-2023, 02:50 AM   #1
unberechenbar unberechenbar is offline
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Default Box-Office Showdown (10/13-10/15) Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour

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Old 10-10-2023, 11:12 AM   #2
rsp_clark rsp_clark is offline
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Hasn't this made 100 million in pre-sales alone?
I thought I read it somewhere...
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Old 10-10-2023, 11:46 AM   #3
klauswhereareyou klauswhereareyou is offline
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Hope this boosts the box office since the new Exorcist movie isn't really doing it.
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Old 10-10-2023, 04:27 PM   #4
Jennifer Lawrence Fan Jennifer Lawrence Fan is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rsp_clark View Post
Hasn't this made 100 million in pre-sales alone?
I thought I read it somewhere...
Yeah, that's what I thought too.
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Old 10-10-2023, 04:33 PM   #5
xbs2034 xbs2034 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rsp_clark View Post
Hasn't this made 100 million in pre-sales alone?
I thought I read it somewhere...
Yes, though I believe that’s a global figure (this is just domestic we are talking about) and presumably most, but not all, the sales are for opening weekend.

But I have read recently it is tracking at $120 million opening.
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Old 10-10-2023, 06:02 PM   #6
prkchopexpress prkchopexpress is offline
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genuine question.

if people love her so much, why didn’t cats make more money? or amsterdam? granted she was only in amsterdam very briefly…
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Old 10-10-2023, 06:11 PM   #7
bluenote23 bluenote23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
genuine question.

if people love her so much, why didn’t cats make more money? or amsterdam? granted she was only in amsterdam very briefly…
Taylor Swift is a generational talent. Many, many people grew up not just listening but living with her songs and music. So the general public doesn't see her as a movie star and she doesn't attract them as an actress or singing songs that don't mean anything to them.

Perhaps like old time movie stars (say, Garbo or Judy Garland), she has created a persona called Taylor Swift and that's who people want to spend time with.

Last edited by bluenote23; 10-10-2023 at 06:19 PM.
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Old 10-10-2023, 06:43 PM   #8
prkchopexpress prkchopexpress is offline
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generational talent? ok. sure. lol.

people are into kpop, and that movie didn’t make $100 million. so to say when concert movies have never really been successful, even for bands with large following (metallica, for one), this one is going to make five times as much money (or more) as the most successful concert movie ever… i guess we’ll just wait and see.
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Old 10-10-2023, 08:14 PM   #9
ctujackbauer ctujackbauer is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
genuine question.

if people love her so much, why didn’t cats make more money? or amsterdam? granted she was only in amsterdam very briefly…
Because Cats was bull**** and Amsterdam was bull**** wrapped in cat*****.
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Old 10-10-2023, 08:30 PM   #10
bluenote23 bluenote23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
generational talent? ok. sure. lol.

people are into kpop, and that movie didn’t make $100 million. so to say when concert movies have never really been successful, even for bands with large following (metallica, for one), this one is going to make five times as much money (or more) as the most successful concert movie ever… i guess we’ll just wait and see.
Ok so maybe using subjective terms can be rankling.

But you asked so let's put it this way. Over a very long career, she has deeply touched a lot of people, so much so that they just want to spend some time with the persona known as Taylor Swift (not an actress playing another character or someone singing a Broadway tune but this particular persona).

To the majority of the population, she's just some singer but to a very, very large number of people, she is much more than that.
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Old 10-10-2023, 08:34 PM   #11
Foggy Foggy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
genuine question.

if people love her so much, why didn’t cats make more money? or amsterdam? granted she was only in amsterdam very briefly…
Because she was acting in those, this is a concert movie so like, it’s sold on her music.
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Old 10-11-2023, 04:27 AM   #12
prkchopexpress prkchopexpress is offline
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maybe i’m just too old. that’s fine. it’s not for me. not everything needs to be for me.

i just can’t think of any concert movie that is ever been even mildly successful. even the rolling stones directed by scorsese didn’t make a ton of money at the box office. and the rolling stones are arguably one of the most popular and well known bands. and they were around for almost fifty years when that came out.

i’m not even a huge stones fan.

who knows. barbie wildly overperformed by even the most optimistic projections. so it wouldn’t even be the strangest thing this year. if theatres make money off of it, we all win.
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Old 10-11-2023, 04:54 AM   #13
Doc Samson Doc Samson is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
generational talent? ok. sure. lol.
She's absolutely a generational talent. Her music spans 16 years, has been met with critical acclaim and has achieved wilds amounts of commercial success.

You may not be into her music, but you can't eschew that information.
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Old 10-11-2023, 04:27 PM   #14
originalHDphantom originalHDphantom is offline
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More than $100 million for a pre-recorded concert? OK I was thinking this would've done, like, $8 million lol
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Old 10-11-2023, 05:52 PM   #15
C+C Muzak C+C Muzak is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
i just can’t think of any concert movie that is ever been even mildly successful.
all worldwide:

This Is It (Michael Jackson) - $261,183,588
Justin Bieber: Never Say Never - $99,036,827
Hannah Montana and Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert - $70,642,966
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Old 10-12-2023, 04:24 AM   #16
ctujackbauer ctujackbauer is online now
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I think the non-discounted and non-subscription tickets at $19.89 are helping, but the biggest help are the generous box office splits for theaters. This is going to play in a bazillion theaters and screens.

There hasn't been an event film since Barbie and Oppenheimer. Throw in the actor/writer strikes and studios clearing the calendar... Taylor Swift timed this very well.

$135 million
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Old 10-13-2023, 06:42 PM   #17
prkchopexpress prkchopexpress is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by C+C Muzak View Post
all worldwide:

This Is It (Michael Jackson) - $261,183,588
Justin Bieber: Never Say Never - $99,036,827
Hannah Montana and Miley Cyrus: Best of Both Worlds Concert - $70,642,966
this is it:
Quote:
This return was deemed "underperformed" by both Sony and film analysts' expectations
Quote:
The film's revenue mainly consisted of international sales (72.4%).
also, that had the luck of him dying. too soon?

call me a snob, i don’t know that i count justin bieber or hannah montana as legitimate artists. these are products from companies.

all you have proved is that concert movies aren’t usually successful, with a few exceptions that make money internationally.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ctujackbauer View Post
I think the non-discounted and non-subscription tickets at $19.89 are helping, but the biggest help are the generous box office splits for theaters. This is going to play in a bazillion theaters and screens.
this absolutely means you ultimately have to sell less tickets. which, hey, movie theatres making more money per ticket is amazing. awesome.

there are too many weird obsessed fan groups now. i don’t care enough to keep track of all of them.
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Old 10-13-2023, 07:52 PM   #18
Joey9775 Joey9775 is offline
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https://deadline.com/2023/10/box-off...ng-1235572671/

LOL at the low balling here. This should surprise no one.
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Old 10-13-2023, 08:44 PM   #19
ImBlu_DaBaDee ImBlu_DaBaDee is offline
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Tons of showtimes, dozens of sellouts or close to it, Thursday shows added last minute, expensive non-refundable tickets. I’m gonna say this has a good shot of besting Barbie’s opening, somewhere in the 160-175 million range

Edit: Welp, never mind. Lol, guess it will be closer to 100

Last edited by ImBlu_DaBaDee; 10-14-2023 at 04:09 PM.
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Old 10-14-2023, 03:45 AM   #20
ctujackbauer ctujackbauer is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prkchopexpress View Post
this absolutely means you ultimately have to sell less tickets. which, hey, movie theatres making more money per ticket is amazing. awesome.

there are too many weird obsessed fan groups now. i don’t care enough to keep track of all of them.
Are they selling less tickets? It's going to be the 3rd highest opening weekend of the year (at minimum.)

Seems to me they're just blowing out the number of showtimes and the number of screens the movie is playing at. If they flood the number of screens, similar to Barbie/Oppenheimer where it was mostly Barbie and quite a lot of Oppenheimer with nothing else getting more than one or two showtimes, then it pumps up the opening weekend gross.

I do think there is an upper-bound for this film. Taylor has a lot of fans, but not a Barbie-esque number of fans. It is still an event film.
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