Box Office Showdown (12/10-12/12) West Side Story

[StarWarsIsAwesome123]

West Side Story (20th Century/Disney)


National Champions (STX)


Don't Look Up (Netflix)

[BluBonnet]

Over

[ctujackbauer]

Under, although I think that Deadline estimate of $12 - $17 million opening weekend is a studio planted sandbag estimate.

$19 million dollars

[unberechenbar]

under

[Ernest Rister]

Under, but with awards season just beginning, and rave reviews all around, it has a shot to leg out over the coming weeks. Marketing is going to have show up.

[Gacivory]

Under

[sandman slim]

Way under. The older audience still hasn't returned to the theaters, the younger audience doesn't seem interested, the ads have been doing their best to hide the fact that it's a musical, and word is getting out about the lack of subtitles.

Locally (Memphis), there are ten screens with a 7:15pm show on Thursday night, with a grand total of TWO tickets sold, one on one screen, one on another, zero tickets sold on the other eight. The IMAX isn't having Thursday night previews, choosing instead to keep the anime Sword Art Progressive on the big screen one more night. Sword Art's Thursday night show currently has 13 tickets sold, after being here for a full week. The Friday night West Side Story opening night show has ten tickets sold, of a capacity around 300.

OW... $12 million.

[ctujackbauer]

Originally Posted by sandman slim

Way under. The older audience still hasn't returned to the theaters, the younger audience doesn't seem interested, the ads have been doing their best to hide the fact that it's a musical, and word is getting out about the lack of subtitles.

Locally (Memphis), there are ten screens with a 7:15pm show on Thursday night, with a grand total of TWO tickets sold, one on one screen, one on another, zero tickets sold on the other eight. The IMAX isn't having Thursday night previews, choosing instead to keep the anime Sword Art Progressive on the big screen one more night. Sword Art's Thursday night show currently has 13 tickets sold, after being here for a full week. The Friday night West Side Story opening night show has ten tickets sold, of a capacity around 300.

OW... $12 million.

Oof, yea I just looked at Harkins Cine1 very sparsely-sold seating chart, this could be bad news if they're depending on running up the numbers on the coasts. Perhaps the older audiences don't reserve seats and are all walk-ups?

But I already said $19 milly, so I'm stuck. (I could see it at less than $15 million now)

[DanTheMan]

Originally Posted by sandman slim

OW... $12 million.

Truly hope America doesn’t do Spielberg dirty like that. We ask him to get back to his “fun, entertaining” roots and then we don’t support him when he does?

I’ll use up all three of my AMC A-List slots for the most expensive ticket if I need to. Really, I’ll do it.

[Troll2fan]

Don't Look Up is the only one of the three that I'm somewhat interested in, and that's mainly due to DiCaprio, but I'll wait to watch it at home.

[Cremildo]

I'm thinking 18 million.

[sandman slim]

Originally Posted by ctujackbauer

Perhaps the older audiences don't reserve seats and are all walk-ups?

Could be, but that would still mean the younger audience isn't going to show up for this movie. Younger folks tend to be more tech savvy, & like using apps for digital tickets.

But hey, things are looking up: checked again just now, Memphis now has five tickets sold for ten screens tonight. Ouch.

[filmbuffTX]

Originally Posted by DanTheMan

Truly hope America doesn’t do Spielberg dirty like that. We ask him to get back to his “fun, entertaining” roots and then we don’t support him when he does?

His last film Ready Player One was “fun and entertaining” and made nearly $600 million. It attracted the Marvel crowd and younger males, while this certainly will not.

Hopefully older audiences and women embrace it. It should help that it’s a known IP and is getting great reviews. Also it’s the best time of the year to release a film like this. Families will be looking for something to watch and this looks like a good adult movie that could appeal to different ages.

If it can make a third of what Ready Player One made, during a pandemic no less, it would be a pretty decent success. I think it’ll have legs and make money throughout the month and into awards season.

[BluBonnet]

How ‘West Side Story’ Hopes to Defy Box Office Odds

[CyberpunkCentral]

Originally Posted by filmbuffTX

Families will be looking for something to watch and this looks like a good adult movie that could appeal to different ages.

When Vin Diesel Gets Cloned For Every Role In The Next Fast And Furious Film - YouTube

[filmbuffTX]

I think presales and Thursday night preview shows are more of an indicator of how a big event Marvel film will do.

Only 21.5% of tickets sold are from online purchases. So roughly 4 out of 5 movie tickets sold are still from walk up. Either at a kiosk or from a theater employee.

The study was conducted in 2019.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/scottme...udy-shows/amp/

[DrWally]

A decade ago, War Horse opened with a blah $14.5 million, and ended up with a creditable $80 million. I expect similar here.

[MazeRunner]

Originally Posted by sandman slim

Could be, but that would still mean the younger audience isn't going to show up for this movie. Younger folks tend to be more tech savvy, & like using apps for digital tickets.

Not with those $1.50-$3 convenience fees.

[BluBonnet]

Originally Posted by MazeRunner

Not with those $1.50-$3 convenience fees.

There's no convenience fee if you're an AMC A-list member

[Jennifer Lawrence Fan]

My god. Does everyone think this is DOA? Yikes.