2012 Oscar Predictions - Blu-ray Forum

robertthunder · 10-02-2011, 09:33 PM

It's never too early to start this. Here is my annual way to damn early Oscar Predictions:

My 2012 Oscar Predictions (as of September 23):

Best Picture:
Tree of Life- Terrance Malick
The Rum Diary- Bruce Robinson
Restless- Gus Van Sant
Warhorse- Steven Speilberg
We Bought A Zoo- Cameron Crowe
Hugo Cabaret- Martin Scorsese
Ides of March- George Clooney
A Dangerous Method- David Cronenberg
The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo- David Fincher
Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close- Stephen Daldry

Best Director:
Steven Spielberg - War Horse
George Clooney - Ides of March
David Fincher - The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo
Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life
Pedro Almodovar - The Skin that I Live In

Best Actress:
Kirsten Dunst- Melancholia
Kate Winslet- Contagion
Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
Anne Hathaway - One Day
Rooney Mara - The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo

Best Acting:
Ryan Gosling - Ides of March
Leonardo DiCaprio- J Edgar
Johnny Depp- The Rum Diary
Matt Damon- Contagion
Michael Parks- Red State

Best Animated Feature:
Cars 2
Winnie The Pooh
Kung Fu Panda 2
Rio
Mars Needs Moms

Best Foreign Film:
The Skin I Live In
Target
A Family
Forgotten King
The Salt of Life

Best Cinematography:
Emmanuel Lubezki- The Tree of Life
José Luis Alcaine-The Skin I Live In
Peter Suschitzky- A Dangerious Method
Jeff Cronenweth- The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Janusz Kaminski- War Horse

EricJ · 10-02-2011, 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robertthunder

It's never too early to start this.

(Why, how silly--Of COURSE it is.
And we'll be happy to remind you of that when the actual movies finally come out.

)

MarkJ801 · 10-02-2011, 11:02 PM

Yeah I have to agree. 90% of the films on your list haven't been released yet.

slimdude · 10-02-2011, 11:15 PM

Watching The Academy Awards is a waste of time. and they are nothing like they use to be years ago, when the actors, and actresses really deserved their Oscars. I haven't watched The Academy Award in 20 years!

nolfoc · 10-02-2011, 11:17 PM

I think Drive deserves best Cinematography, and Nick Nolte for Best Supporting Actor for Warrior

Mandalorian · 10-02-2011, 11:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nolfoc

I think Drive deserves best Cinematography, and Nick Nolte for Best Supporting Actor for Warrior

Have you seen the trailer for War Horse? That looks like it's going to have amazing cinematograhpy. Drive had a great cinematographythough. I loved the look.

EricJ · 10-02-2011, 11:34 PM

Used to be, on the Usenet groups, we had terms for premature Oscar-buzzing.
(Don't worry, happens to everyone when they're a kid; just relax, try again, and don't get so overexcited...)

One of the favorite terms we used to have was "What's going to be this year's 'Beloved'?"
You remember that one, don't you? The slave-period Toni Morrison adaptation directed by Jonathan Demme, whose trailer had "Oscar sweep" written all over it, simply because, well, it SHOULD?
And then, the week the movie opened.....(wheeeww) (thud!) (

)
A lot of folks were forced to tear up their betting slips in October. That'll teach 'em.
(If such movies still got nominated sight-unseen on pedigree and assumption, and still turned out to be crap onscreen, then they became "this year's Green Mile", and it usually caused the Oscar voters to panic at the last minute.)

There's "Oscar-bait", and there's "Oscar-bating".

I didn't see Spielberg at the Oscars the year "A.I.", "Catch Me If You Can", "The Terminal" or "Amistad", came out, even though a lot of very starry-eyed and easily awed fanboys thought he would be. (Of course, then again, those wear the years back when we had real nominees, not the gullible press-hype crap that the Golden Globe nominates, see above.)
I'm not slamming War Horse before it comes out, but then, I'm not renting tuxes two months before it comes out, either.
I'm with Murphy: ANYTHING can happen on opening night.

Mandalorian · 10-02-2011, 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by EricJ

Used to be, on the Usenet groups, we had terms for premature Oscar-buzzing.
(Don't worry, happens to everyone when they're a kid; just relax, try again, and don't get so overexcited...)

There's "Oscar-bait", and there's "Oscar-bating".

I didn't see Spielberg at the Oscars the year "A.I.", "Catch Me If You Can", "The Terminal" or "Amistad", came out, even though a lot of very starry-eyed and easily awed fanboys thought he would be. (Of course, then again, those wear the years back when we had real nominees, not the gullible press-hype crap that the Golden Globe nominates, see above.)
I'm not slamming War Horse before it comes out, but then, I'm not renting tuxes two months before it comes out, either.
I'm with Murphy: ANYTHING can happen on opening night.

I didn't make the thread, nor did I say War Horse will win anything. And I'm not a "starry-eyed fanboy". All I did was say it looks like it has great cinematography. I couldn't care less who or what wins whatever. I just watch for fun.

24framesasecond · 10-02-2011, 11:50 PM

Best film I've seen all year (so far)--Moneyball
Best film I expect to see this year--Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

Wally Q · 10-03-2011, 12:06 AM

Where the hell is Moneyball? It has the reviews, the box office prowess, and the pedigree to get to the big race. The fact that Pitt isn't mentioned is astonishing! It's also way too early to break down the race and no one's even sure if there will be ten films worthy of a nomination; remember, the Academy came out with a ruling where there can be anywhere between 5-10 nominated films for Best Picture.

I think the only sure bets are War Horse (Spielberg idolizing Lean), Moneyball, The Tree of Life (the best and most controversial film of the year, without a doubt), and Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close. I put the last as a sure bet because the Academy loves Daldry and the material is enough to get this film in.

I've heard mixed word on A Dangerous Method to not even consider it for BP and also, if A History of Violence and Eastern Promises, the best films of 2005 and 2007, couldn't get nominations, this won't.

I don't think Cars 2 will even get an Animation nomination. Reviews were horrendous and Disney would be better off playing their cards with Winnie the Pooh, seeing as how it was well reviewed and a traditional feature that was just put out a seriously bad time (hello, against the last Potter?) Also, Spielberg has Tintin out and I'd be shocked if that didn't get pushed for Animation. This isn't Zemeckis with his soulless crap..

Animation will be...

Winnie the Pooh
The Adventures of Tintin
Rango*
(Kung Fu Panda 2)
(Puss in Boots)
(Rio)

I don't think this will be a year for five in that category but if so, that will be the five. I could be wrong on Cars 2 but I really think the animators in the Academy want to punish Pixar just once and that's the first output that's really failed on every level, excluding merchandise.

Category I'm looking forward to seeing is Best Original Score. Right now, I'd put Giacchino in the lead with Super 8 and it's gonna be exciting to see the future king of film composers in the same company as the current, John Williams, who has two scores for Tinin and War Horse.

*I totally forgot about Rango! With that in mind, that's the easy frontrunner for the Animation category.

LloydChristmas · 10-03-2011, 12:28 AM

can't believe there's all this talk of animation and all of you think Kung Fu Panda 2 will be nominated but Rango won't... shame on you, shame on me...

[Show spoiler]

Moleman1138 · 10-03-2011, 12:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slimdude

Watching The Academy Awards is a waste of time. and they are nothing like they use to be years ago, when the actors, and actresses really deserved their Oscars. I haven't watched The Academy Award in 20 years!

Everytime I watch the Oscars, I end up swearing endlessly at the TV for snubbing the better movies.

Wally Q · 10-03-2011, 12:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LloydChristmas

can't believe there's all this talk of animation and all of you think Kung Fu Panda 2 will be nominated but Rango won't... shame on you, shame on me...

[Show spoiler]

It slipped my mind originally when I put up my post. My bad, it definitely was the most deranged and subversive animated film in sometime. I think it could also get a visual effects nomination as well but I doubt it.

slimdude · 10-03-2011, 12:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Moleman1138

Everytime I watch the Oscars, I end up swearing endlessly at the TV for snubbing the better movies.

Exactly! Which is one of the main reasons why I don't watch them anymore. When Cher won for: Moonstruck over Glenn Close for: Fatal Attraction in 1987, I was furious! I was through with The Academy Awards forever.

Wally Q · 10-03-2011, 01:18 AM

Luckily for you, Glenn Close may actually get her due this year. As long as Michelle Williams doesn't stand in her way.

slimdude · 10-03-2011, 01:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by WALL·E·Q

Luckily for you, Glenn Close may actually get her due this year. As long as Michelle Williams doesn't stand in her way.

Well I sure hope so because she deserves it.

Wally Q · 10-03-2011, 01:41 AM

I felt she deserved it for The World According to Garp. Now that's a film I wish was out on Blu-ray.

jayfaxva · 10-03-2011, 01:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nolfoc

I think Drive deserves best Cinematography, and Nick Nolte for Best Supporting Actor for Warrior

I agree.

arsenal_fan · 10-03-2011, 02:08 AM

The Academy thought Sean Penn's performance in Milk was better than Rourke's in The Wrestler. I seriously can't believe they watched both movies before making the decision. I own both movies and while Penn is great he doesnt even come close to Rourke's performance in The Wrestler. I stopped caring about the oscar's after that.

Also, david fincher deserves some kind of award for giving us Fight Club. Has he won anything as yet?

Wally Q · 10-03-2011, 02:15 AM

How hard was it for Mickey Rourke to play himself? He was good but Sean Penn became Harvey Milk and deserved his award victory.

10-02-2011, 09:33 PM	#1
robertthunder Active Member Member since:Oct 2008 Location:Nanton, Alberta Canada Blu-ray collection:821 DVD collection:47 Blu-ray reviews:6	2012 Oscar Predictions It's never too early to start this. Here is my annual way to damn early Oscar Predictions: My 2012 Oscar Predictions (as of September 23): Best Picture: Tree of Life- Terrance Malick The Rum Diary- Bruce Robinson Restless- Gus Van Sant Warhorse- Steven Speilberg We Bought A Zoo- Cameron Crowe Hugo Cabaret- Martin Scorsese Ides of March- George Clooney A Dangerous Method- David Cronenberg The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo- David Fincher Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close- Stephen Daldry Best Director: Steven Spielberg - War Horse George Clooney - Ides of March David Fincher - The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo Terrence Malick - The Tree of Life Pedro Almodovar - The Skin that I Live In Best Actress: Kirsten Dunst- Melancholia Kate Winslet- Contagion Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady Anne Hathaway - One Day Rooney Mara - The Girl With the Dragon Tattoo Best Acting: Ryan Gosling - Ides of March Leonardo DiCaprio- J Edgar Johnny Depp- The Rum Diary Matt Damon- Contagion Michael Parks- Red State Best Animated Feature: Cars 2 Winnie The Pooh Kung Fu Panda 2 Rio Mars Needs Moms Best Foreign Film: The Skin I Live In Target A Family Forgotten King The Salt of Life Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki- The Tree of Life José Luis Alcaine-The Skin I Live In Peter Suschitzky- A Dangerious Method Jeff Cronenweth- The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo Janusz Kaminski- War Horse

10-02-2011, 11:34 PM	#7
EricJ Banned Member since:Jul 2007 Location:The Paradise of New England Blu-ray collection:6	Used to be, on the Usenet groups, we had terms for premature Oscar-buzzing. (Don't worry, happens to everyone when they're a kid; just relax, try again, and don't get so overexcited...) One of the favorite terms we used to have was "What's going to be this year's 'Beloved'?" You remember that one, don't you? The slave-period Toni Morrison adaptation directed by Jonathan Demme, whose trailer had "Oscar sweep" written all over it, simply because, well, it SHOULD? And then, the week the movie opened.....(wheeeww) (thud!) () A lot of folks were forced to tear up their betting slips in October. That'll teach 'em. (If such movies still got nominated sight-unseen on pedigree and assumption, and still turned out to be crap onscreen, then they became "this year's Green Mile", and it usually caused the Oscar voters to panic at the last minute.) There's "Oscar-bait", and there's "Oscar-bating". I didn't see Spielberg at the Oscars the year "A.I.", "Catch Me If You Can", "The Terminal" or "Amistad", came out, even though a lot of very starry-eyed and easily awed fanboys thought he would be. (Of course, then again, those wear the years back when we had real nominees, not the gullible press-hype crap that the Golden Globe nominates, see above.) I'm not slamming War Horse before it comes out, but then, I'm not renting tuxes two months before it comes out, either. I'm with Murphy: ANYTHING can happen on opening night. Last edited by EricJ; 10-02-2011 at 11:36 PM.

10-03-2011, 12:06 AM	#10
Wally Q Banned Member since:Sep 2011 Location:12771 4K collection:569 Blu-ray collection:1986 DVD collection:150 Digital collection:6 Trading Score:1	Where the hell is Moneyball? It has the reviews, the box office prowess, and the pedigree to get to the big race. The fact that Pitt isn't mentioned is astonishing! It's also way too early to break down the race and no one's even sure if there will be ten films worthy of a nomination; remember, the Academy came out with a ruling where there can be anywhere between 5-10 nominated films for Best Picture. I think the only sure bets are War Horse (Spielberg idolizing Lean), Moneyball, The Tree of Life (the best and most controversial film of the year, without a doubt), and Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close. I put the last as a sure bet because the Academy loves Daldry and the material is enough to get this film in. I've heard mixed word on A Dangerous Method to not even consider it for BP and also, if A History of Violence and Eastern Promises, the best films of 2005 and 2007, couldn't get nominations, this won't. I don't think Cars 2 will even get an Animation nomination. Reviews were horrendous and Disney would be better off playing their cards with Winnie the Pooh, seeing as how it was well reviewed and a traditional feature that was just put out a seriously bad time (hello, against the last Potter?) Also, Spielberg has Tintin out and I'd be shocked if that didn't get pushed for Animation. This isn't Zemeckis with his soulless crap.. Animation will be... Winnie the Pooh The Adventures of Tintin Rango* (Kung Fu Panda 2) (Puss in Boots) (Rio) I don't think this will be a year for five in that category but if so, that will be the five. I could be wrong on Cars 2 but I really think the animators in the Academy want to punish Pixar just once and that's the first output that's really failed on every level, excluding merchandise. Category I'm looking forward to seeing is Best Original Score. Right now, I'd put Giacchino in the lead with Super 8 and it's gonna be exciting to see the future king of film composers in the same company as the current, John Williams, who has two scores for Tinin and War Horse. I totally forgot about Rango! With that in mind, that's the easy frontrunner for the Animation category. Last edited by Wally Q; 10-03-2011 at 12:24 AM.*

10-03-2011, 12:28 AM	#11
LloydChristmas Active Member Top contributor Member since:Mar 2010 Location:Aspen, Tennessee Blu-ray collection:408 Blu-ray reviews:5	haha can't believe there's all this talk of animation and all of you think Kung Fu Panda 2 will be nominated but Rango won't... shame on you, shame on me... [Show spoiler]

10-03-2011, 02:08 AM	#19
arsenal_fan Blu-ray Guru Member since:Jul 2011 Location:South Florida MA collection:167 Digital collection:303 iTunes collection:188 Prime collection:3 Trading Score:245	The Academy thought Sean Penn's performance in Milk was better than Rourke's in The Wrestler. I seriously can't believe they watched both movies before making the decision. I own both movies and while Penn is great he doesnt even come close to Rourke's performance in The Wrestler. I stopped caring about the oscar's after that. Also, david fincher deserves some kind of award for giving us Fight Club. Has he won anything as yet? Last edited by arsenal_fan; 10-03-2011 at 02:10 AM.

10-02-2011, 11:02 PM	#3
MarkJ801 Power Member Top contributor Member since:Mar 2008 Location:Salt Lake City Blu-ray collection:273 DVD collection:2	Yeah I have to agree. 90% of the films on your list haven't been released yet.

10-02-2011, 11:15 PM	#4
slimdude Banned Member since:Apr 2009 4K collection:- Blu-ray collection:- DVD collection:- Blu-ray reviews:8	Watching The Academy Awards is a waste of time. and they are nothing like they use to be years ago, when the actors, and actresses really deserved their Oscars. I haven't watched The Academy Award in 20 years!

10-02-2011, 11:17 PM	#5
nolfoc Banned Top contributor Member since:Nov 2008 Blu-ray collection:- Blu-ray reviews: 108 Trading Score:49	I think Drive deserves best Cinematography, and Nick Nolte for Best Supporting Actor for Warrior

10-02-2011, 11:50 PM	#9
24framesasecond Member Member since:Oct 2010 Blu-ray collection:448 DVD collection:702	Best film I've seen all year (so far)--Moneyball Best film I expect to see this year--Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

10-03-2011, 01:18 AM	#15
Wally Q Banned Member since:Sep 2011 Location:12771 4K collection:569 Blu-ray collection:1986 DVD collection:150 Digital collection:6 Trading Score:1	Luckily for you, Glenn Close may actually get her due this year. As long as Michelle Williams doesn't stand in her way.

10-03-2011, 01:41 AM	#17
Wally Q Banned Member since:Sep 2011 Location:12771 4K collection:569 Blu-ray collection:1986 DVD collection:150 Digital collection:6 Trading Score:1	I felt she deserved it for The World According to Garp. Now that's a film I wish was out on Blu-ray.

10-03-2011, 02:15 AM	#20
Wally Q Banned Member since:Sep 2011 Location:12771 4K collection:569 Blu-ray collection:1986 DVD collection:150 Digital collection:6 Trading Score:1	How hard was it for Mickey Rourke to play himself? He was good but Sean Penn became Harvey Milk and deserved his award victory.

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