Blu-ray Blows Away HD DVD

[What'sHD]

Originally Posted by JadedRaverLA

I wouldn't bet on that logic. I would "alienate" 30% of a "small buying base" in a heartbeat, in order to have one format, and exponentially increase the size of the buying base.

If WB goes to BD and causes the death of hd-dvd, they need the HDM consumer base to Quickly grow by about 50% to offset the effects of the loss of hd-dvd disc buyers.

Let's assume some % of current hd-dvd owners move on and buy a BD player of some sort. That leaves some more growth required to reach parity.

That could come from fence-straddlers who:

1. Have PS3s (for gaming) and only now feel safe buying BDs as a confirmed format

2. People who can afford and want a BD player but were waiting for one format before jumping in.

3. Existing BD owners may also buy more though this would be a small increase. I know I would...

I think if WB's internal metrics show enough slack in demand to make up for lack of hd-dvd sales, they should switch and pronto. Wonder what numbers that have...