Box Office Showdown! | 9/27-9/29 | Cloudy 2, Don Jon, Rush, Baggage Claim - Blu-ray Forum

djgeneral · 09-23-2013, 03:39 AM

Huge, gigantic weekend! Wow, this one will be interesting!

Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2
Animation
Sony / Columbia
3,800+

Don Jon
Comedy
Relativity
2,200

Rush
Action Drama
Universal
2,200

Baggage Claim
Romantic Comedy
Fox Searchlight
1,800

chris_sc77 · 09-23-2013, 04:50 AM

Cloudy 2 = $26.1 million
Rush = $13.8 million
Don Jon = 8.7 million
Baggage = 4.6 million

MikeScott · 09-23-2013, 05:15 AM

Cloudy will obviously be #1.

My predictions for the openers.

Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 2 - 41.74 Million
Rush - 7.9 Million
Don Jon - 5.06 Million
Baggage Claim - 4.22 Million

Buscemi · 09-23-2013, 05:22 AM

Cloudy 2 $38 million
Rush $9 million (marketing's been all over the place and word's been very strong but Americans simply don't care about open-wheel racing)
Baggage Claim $6 million (not much marketing and the plot is very cliche)
Don Jon $5 million (it's simply going too wide and the rampant Italian-American stereotypes are a big turn-off)

MikeScott · 09-23-2013, 05:29 AM

Don Jon was an obvious bomb from the moment the trailer came out, IMO. It looks like an indie film that's getting a wide release. Now that's not a bad thing, I just don't believe it will have much appeal at all despite strong reviews.

Buscemi · 09-23-2013, 05:34 AM

I think Don Jon is only getting positive reviews because of who directed it (critics seem to congratulate popular actors for directing for the first time, even if the film is dumber than a bag of rocks). Otherwise, I think people would simply see it as another dumb ethnic comedy that insults rather than pleases.

Don Jon should have been platformed the first weekend (as porn addiction won't sell in middle America and the stereotypes will hurt it in cities with heavy Italian populations) before slowly expanding.

Foggy · 09-23-2013, 07:42 AM

Cloudy is a family favourite, of course it's going to take number 1.

I don't see Don Jon doing phenomenally well, Rush is a bit of a hard one to pin down, and Baggage Claim has a target audience that usually makes their films a surprisingly moderate success. It's hard to really decide how each film will do.

Buscemi · 09-23-2013, 08:06 AM

Baggage Claim has hardly been marketed and Paula Patton isn't the biggest name right now (at the moment, she's probably best known as Robin Thicke's wife).

Monterey Jack · 09-23-2013, 12:42 PM

Cloudy takes the weekend by storm, because it's been over a month since the last CGI animated film for kids (the dismal Planes).

Baseballking888 · 09-23-2013, 01:14 PM

Openers for this coming weekend.

1. Cloudy 2 $42 million
2. Rush $12 million
3. Don John $8 million
4. Baggage Claim $6 million

remake · 09-23-2013, 01:35 PM

Another weekend with 4 releases? One of these should've been released with Riddick.

remake · 09-23-2013, 03:19 PM

Weekends this year with one wide release:

01/04/13
TEXAS CHAINSAW 3D

04/19/13
OBLIVION

05/03/13
IRON MAN 3

05/17/13
STAR TREK INTO DARKNESS

07/26/13
THE WOLVERINE

09/06/13
RIDDICK

11/08/13
THOR: THE DARK WORLD

12/06/13
OUT OF THE FURNACE

Weekends this year with four wide releases:

02/15/13
A GOOD DAY TO DIE HARD
SAFE HAVEN
ESCAPE FROM PLANET EARTH
BEAUTIFUL CREATURES

07/19/13
THE CONJURING
TURBO
RED 2
R.I.P.D.

08/09/13
ELYSIUM
WE'RE THE MILLERS
PLANES
PERCY JACKSON: SEA OF MONSTERS

08/16/13
THE BUTLER
KICK-ASS 2
JOBS
PARANOIA

09/27/13
RUSH
BAGGAGE CLAIM
DON JON
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2

11/27/13
FROZEN
HOMEFRONT
OLDBOY
BLACK NATIVITY

12/25/13
47 RONIN
GRUDGE MATCH
JACK RYAN
THE SECRET LIFE OF WALTER MITTY

Christmas is going to be a mess because 3 out of 4 of those released look to be aimed towards the older male audience.

Scottie · 09-23-2013, 03:20 PM

Not sure about the amount, but I'm thinking this order.

Cloudy 2
Rush
Prisoners
Insidious 2
Don Jon

cinemaphile · 09-23-2013, 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Foggy

Cloudy is a family favourite, of course it's going to take number 1.

I don't see Don Jon doing phenomenally well, Rush is a bit of a hard one to pin down, and Baggage Claim has a target audience that usually makes their films a surprisingly moderate success. It's hard to really decide how each film will do.

this exactly

remake · 09-23-2013, 03:23 PM

This is the weekend KICK-ASS 2 makes a splash with the 201 theatres it's still in.

djgeneral · 09-23-2013, 05:54 PM

I'm going to see Cloudy 2 and Don Jon. Rush probably when it comes out on Blu. No interest in Baggage Claim.

Chaotic · 09-23-2013, 06:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by remake

This is the weekend KICK-ASS 2 makes a splash with the 201 theatres it's still in.

it might actually drop less than 60% this time

Jennifer Lawrence Fan · 09-23-2013, 06:15 PM

Without a doubt Mostly Cloudy 2.

EricJ · 09-23-2013, 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by remake

Weekends this year with one wide release:
12/25/13
47 RONIN
GRUDGE MATCH
JACK RYAN
THE SECRET LIFE OF WALTER MITTY

Christmas is going to be a mess because 3 out of 4 of those released look to be aimed towards the older male audience.

Oh, didn't you hear?
Christmas Day isn't for kiddie CGI-hybrid comedies anymore, now it's for old people, as studios try to figure out why "Little Fockers" beat all the competition.
So, now they assume only old-fogeys go out on Christmas week, to see any movie with Barbara Streisand, Robert DeNiro and/or Ben Stiller in it....Stiller is the new Alvin.

Another_Dude · 09-23-2013, 06:25 PM

Easily Cloudy 2

Its too bad, I think JGL does great work and is very committed to the craft but I can see Don Jon getting spanked hard at the box office.

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View Poll Results: Which movie will be #1?
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2	37	94.87%
Don Jon	0	0%
Rush	2	5.13%
Baggage Claim	0	0%
Long Shot Option: Prisoners	0	0%
Voters: 39. You may not vote on this poll

09-23-2013, 03:39 AM	#1
djgeneral Moderator Member since:Jan 2011 Location:Michigan 4K collection:1 Blu-ray collection:605 DVD collection:239 Blu-ray reviews:9 Trading Score:161	Box Office Showdown! \| 9/27-9/29 \| Cloudy 2, Don Jon, Rush, Baggage Claim Huge, gigantic weekend! Wow, this one will be interesting! Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2 Animation Sony / Columbia 3,800+ Don Jon Comedy Relativity 2,200 Rush Action Drama Universal 2,200 Baggage Claim Romantic Comedy Fox Searchlight 1,800

09-23-2013, 04:50 AM	#2
chris_sc77 Banned Member since:Feb 2012 Location:OH Blu-ray collection:1345 DVD collection:4285 Digital collection:144 Trading Score:777	Cloudy 2 = $26.1 million Rush = $13.8 million Don Jon = 8.7 million Baggage = 4.6 million

09-23-2013, 05:15 AM	#3
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	Cloudy will obviously be #1. My predictions for the openers. Cloudy With A Chance of Meatballs 2 - 41.74 Million Rush - 7.9 Million Don Jon - 5.06 Million Baggage Claim - 4.22 Million

09-23-2013, 05:22 AM	#4
Buscemi Blu-ray Samurai Top contributor Member since:Aug 2013 4K collection:10 Blu-ray collection:3836	Cloudy 2 $38 million Rush $9 million (marketing's been all over the place and word's been very strong but Americans simply don't care about open-wheel racing) Baggage Claim $6 million (not much marketing and the plot is very cliche) Don Jon $5 million (it's simply going too wide and the rampant Italian-American stereotypes are a big turn-off)

09-23-2013, 05:29 AM	#5
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	Don Jon was an obvious bomb from the moment the trailer came out, IMO. It looks like an indie film that's getting a wide release. Now that's not a bad thing, I just don't believe it will have much appeal at all despite strong reviews.

09-23-2013, 05:34 AM	#6
Buscemi Blu-ray Samurai Top contributor Member since:Aug 2013 4K collection:10 Blu-ray collection:3836	I think Don Jon is only getting positive reviews because of who directed it (critics seem to congratulate popular actors for directing for the first time, even if the film is dumber than a bag of rocks). Otherwise, I think people would simply see it as another dumb ethnic comedy that insults rather than pleases. Don Jon should have been platformed the first weekend (as porn addiction won't sell in middle America and the stereotypes will hurt it in cities with heavy Italian populations) before slowly expanding.

09-23-2013, 07:42 AM	#7
Foggy Blu-ray Grand Duke Top contributor Member since:Dec 2008 Location:UK 4K collection:30 Blu-ray collection:3611 DVD collection:47	Cloudy is a family favourite, of course it's going to take number 1. I don't see Don Jon doing phenomenally well, Rush is a bit of a hard one to pin down, and Baggage Claim has a target audience that usually makes their films a surprisingly moderate success. It's hard to really decide how each film will do.

09-23-2013, 08:06 AM	#8
Buscemi Blu-ray Samurai Top contributor Member since:Aug 2013 4K collection:10 Blu-ray collection:3836	Baggage Claim has hardly been marketed and Paula Patton isn't the biggest name right now (at the moment, she's probably best known as Robin Thicke's wife).

09-23-2013, 12:42 PM	#9
Monterey Jack Blu-ray Grand Duke Member since:Oct 2011 Trading Score:710	Cloudy takes the weekend by storm, because it's been over a month since the last CGI animated film for kids (the dismal Planes).

09-23-2013, 01:14 PM	#10
Baseballking888 Active Member Member since:Aug 2012 Location:New Jersey Blu-ray collection:7 DVD collection:47	Openers for this coming weekend. 1. Cloudy 2 $42 million 2. Rush $12 million 3. Don John $8 million 4. Baggage Claim $6 million

09-23-2013, 01:35 PM	#11
remake Banned Member since:Aug 2011 Blu-ray collection:1 Trading Score:160	Another weekend with 4 releases? One of these should've been released with Riddick.

09-23-2013, 03:19 PM	#12
remake Banned Member since:Aug 2011 Blu-ray collection:1 Trading Score:160	Weekends this year with one wide release: 01/04/13 TEXAS CHAINSAW 3D 04/19/13 OBLIVION 05/03/13 IRON MAN 3 05/17/13 STAR TREK INTO DARKNESS 07/26/13 THE WOLVERINE 09/06/13 RIDDICK 11/08/13 THOR: THE DARK WORLD 12/06/13 OUT OF THE FURNACE Weekends this year with four wide releases: 02/15/13 A GOOD DAY TO DIE HARD SAFE HAVEN ESCAPE FROM PLANET EARTH BEAUTIFUL CREATURES 07/19/13 THE CONJURING TURBO RED 2 R.I.P.D. 08/09/13 ELYSIUM WE'RE THE MILLERS PLANES PERCY JACKSON: SEA OF MONSTERS 08/16/13 THE BUTLER KICK-ASS 2 JOBS PARANOIA 09/27/13 RUSH BAGGAGE CLAIM DON JON CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MEATBALLS 2 11/27/13 FROZEN HOMEFRONT OLDBOY BLACK NATIVITY 12/25/13 47 RONIN GRUDGE MATCH JACK RYAN THE SECRET LIFE OF WALTER MITTY Christmas is going to be a mess because 3 out of 4 of those released look to be aimed towards the older male audience.

09-23-2013, 03:20 PM	#13
Scottie Moderator Top contributor Member since:Oct 2010 Location:Rhode Island Trading Score:647	Not sure about the amount, but I'm thinking this order. Cloudy 2 Rush Prisoners Insidious 2 Don Jon

09-23-2013, 03:23 PM	#15
remake Banned Member since:Aug 2011 Blu-ray collection:1 Trading Score:160	This is the weekend KICK-ASS 2 makes a splash with the 201 theatres it's still in.

09-23-2013, 05:54 PM	#16
djgeneral Moderator Member since:Jan 2011 Location:Michigan 4K collection:1 Blu-ray collection:605 DVD collection:239 Blu-ray reviews:9 Trading Score:161	I'm going to see Cloudy 2 and Don Jon. Rush probably when it comes out on Blu. No interest in Baggage Claim.

09-23-2013, 06:15 PM	#18
Jennifer Lawrence Fan Blu-ray Jedi Member since:Aug 2011 4K collection:415 Blu-ray collection:2752 DVD collection:1312 MA collection:305 Digital collection:495 iTunes collection:284 Trading Score:721	Without a doubt Mostly Cloudy 2.

09-23-2013, 06:25 PM	#20
Another_Dude Blu-ray Guru Member since:Dec 2008 Blu-ray collection:191 Blu-ray reviews:8	Easily Cloudy 2 Its too bad, I think JGL does great work and is very committed to the craft but I can see Don Jon getting spanked hard at the box office.

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