300 BD outsells HD DVD 65/35 - USA TODAY

[darinp2]

Originally Posted by High Def Fan

What matters as I stated in my other reply is the growth in sales. If sales are growing, thats all that matters. As long as growth continues, both will do well. And both will be around long enough until combo players are the norm and then it won't matter.

I disagree. Some big studio that is exclusive now is going to go neutral (I'm not counting the Weinsteins althought this should help Blu-ray) and that is going to change the landscape. At this point I think there is way more pressue on Universal to go neutral than Disney (especially when looking at the worldwide situation where HD DVD seems to be getting killed in Japan and losing in Europe too).

If sales keep growing and the ratio stays around 2:1 overall and say 1.6:1 for most common titles, while Japan is 4:1 or more for Blu-ray, do you think Universal will continue to not release on Blu-ray? If so, why do you believe that?

Okay, I saw your statement about Universal going neutral being about as likely as Sony. I think you are way, way off, but you can believe that if you want to. Not sure why you would think Universal has even close to the stake in this as Sony and would be willing to stick with a losing side as long as Sony, unless you are getting overly influenced by some rhetoric from some guy who's job is to try to make things like good when they are actually bad. Even if the ratio was 2:1 for HD DVD Sony wouldn't be as likely to go neutral as Universal is now from what I've seen, but at 2:1 for Blu-ray they aren't even in the same ballpark.

--Darin