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#2 |
Expert Member
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Just because something was made once or twice in the lab, doesn't mean it's financially suitable for mass production.
I don't think Ritek would even claim that it would be practical now, if ever even. Blu-ray is already getting close to the limit of practicality when considering production. And that's where it should be. Every layer you add reduces the yield at an exponential rate. By the time you hit layer ten you may as well start a coaster company to go with it -- "stack of 50 coasters with every 10 layer disc purchase!" |
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#3 |
Active Member
Apr 2008
Colorado
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I would imagine the first two layers of a 10-layer disc are not the same as the two layers on a double-layer disc. I don't think existing players could play them.
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#5 | |
Blu-ray Count
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![]() ...but on an on-topic note, while this technology is still in its infancy now, I still think it wouldn't be able to work with what we currently have. 4k is still a LONG way from being in the public's hands. I'm open minded and all, but its just not that economically feasible as the above poster said. Free coasters, anyone? |
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#7 | |
Blu-ray Knight
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#8 |
Blu-ray Count
Jul 2007
Montreal, Canada
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like mentioned, the issue is neither the player nor compatibility (worst comes to worst you name it something else and consider them different formats). The issue is two fold.
1) rule of absorption and refraction, a certain % of the light needs to be passed through (to the lower levels) and a certain needs to be bounced back so that it can be read. So with each level you need two things a stronger laser and a way to leave more light through it. (so increased cost) 2) with each layer the yields decrease a lot. Think about it, even this simple example shows that. Every layer needs to be good or the disk is bad, so a mistake in L1 the disk is bad, L2 the disk is bad... L10 the disk is bad. Even if you assume that each layer has the same probability of being bad (which they would not) you just increased the probability of a bad disk by a lot. PS I also never saw where they actually produced a playable 10 layer BD. All I remember them saying is that in theory it should be possible. |
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#9 | |
Blu-ray Samurai
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Which is good, actually. The last thing I want to see is a Space Shuttle cutting me off during my morning commute with one of those stupid F***ing white Apple stickers on the window. (With apologies to Apple fanatics everywhere. I'm no fan of Apple, Starbucks, or SUV's. Not because of the actual products or companies, but because of the sense of Elitism that many of their purchasers exhibit. ...Tools.) (That would go double for all the Space Shuttle purchasers) Last edited by doctorsteve; 05-19-2008 at 11:28 PM. Reason: Spellling... |
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#10 | |
Special Member
Oct 2007
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Perhaps we'll see 250GB discs made commercially feasible in a decade or so. Hitachi was touting a prototype 100GB drive last year: http://www.engadgethd.com/2007/10/03...ay-disc-drive/ They were also working on 200GB discs as well. Last edited by blu2; 05-19-2008 at 11:57 PM. |
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#11 |
Moderator
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If they go into production with something like this, I'll gladly purchase whatever necessary hardware to get this in my home...... Technology is great.... I don't see why a threat to Blu-Ray would be bad, if it's a better technology....
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#12 |
Active Member
Apr 2008
Colorado
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Woosh! That's the sound of you completely missing the point of the above posts.
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#13 |
Blu-ray Samurai
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Ten layers.
Wasn't "too many layers" among the many problems with HD-DVD? That's all HD-DVD really was, an unstable DVD with too many layers, played on an upscaling DVD drive. I'd prefer that Blu-ray not go down that road. A better medium should come along before they have to resort to that. 4K will come in a different package, not a blue one. |
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#14 |
Blu-ray Knight
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I'm not sure how I feel about that. I'd love to have that capacity for archiving data, backups, etc. but I'm not sure I'd want it used for movies. I guess if it's backward compatible, kind of like S-VHS and VHS, I'd be okay with it. Hopefully they'd wait until blu-ray is more established though. At this point, it's bound to cause more confusion and I think they should avoid that as much as possible.
I'm usually all for new and improved technology as well but with something like this (a format), I don't think it's a good idea. Technology is *always* improving so at some point you have to say, this is what we're going to use (this is the standard) and then run with it. Otherwise, nothing gets established and you also risk alienating consumers. |
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#15 |
Banned
May 2007
Brussels, Belgium
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Me i'm open minded hehe, proof of that is my blog
![]() But seriously, isn't the multi-layer technology one that is foreseen for the next generation of holographic discs ? |
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#16 | |
Special Member
Oct 2007
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It was about 3 years after DVD launch that there were the 1st Blu Ray prototypes (if wikipedia is to be believed). Last edited by blu2; 05-20-2008 at 10:32 PM. |
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#17 |
Active Member
Jul 2007
Northern VA
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"Every layer you add reduces the yield at an exponential rate. "
This current "wisdom" might not hold up for the future. Perhaps deeper layers will be of a sufficiently different technology to where failures increase, but not at such a high rate. That being said, I rather doubt we'll see it, much as I once craved 200 GB BDs for backups. Perhaps some version of holographic disc will catch on. Or perhaps BD will be the last mass market optical disc. Solid state is moving up rapidly. We might know in 10 years or so. |
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#18 |
Blu-ray Samurai
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The problem is bandwidth. 40Mbps video isn't really enough for proper 4K movies. That is Blu-ray's limit. What you are hoping for is beyond the technical capability of Blu-ray.
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#19 | |
Blu-ray Count
Jul 2007
Montreal, Canada
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if we assume that 9 times out of 10 layers are good (and we forget everything else then the yields for 1 layer is 90%, 2 layers 81%, 3 layers 72.9, L4 = 65.61, l5 = 59.049, l6 = 53.1441, l7 = 47.82969, l8 = 43.046721, l9=38.7420489 and l10 = 34.86784401 now yields would not be that easy (since there would also be a none layer based issue) but the layer issues will always be exponential because math tells us the probability of a bad layer will be N^L where N is the yield per layer and L is the number of layers. The full equations would most likely be something like X+Y(N)^L where X= constant (i.e. none layer related yield) Y= constant (i.e. help to get the right %) N= yield per level L= layers. so the equations could look (made up for an example) something like .4+.5(.95)^L and then 1L will have yields of .88, 2L .85 and 10 layers .7. You can up play X and down play Y and make N->1 but you will always have N^L |
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#20 | |
Special Member
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