Box Office Showdown (Jan. 8-10) The Revenant, The Forest - Blu-ray Forum

Chaotic · 01-02-2016, 01:23 PM

The Revenant
Fox

The Forest
Focus Features

chris_sc77 · 01-02-2016, 01:32 PM

Revenant ain't gonna do great sadly. Maybe low $20's if lucky.

sandman slim · 01-02-2016, 02:06 PM

The trailers haven't done a good job of selling the movie. Every ad I've seen in the last week is basically "Scenery... starring Leonardo Dicaprio... and then a bear attacks". Complete fail on the marketing department. I'm thinking 10 to 12 opening weekend, with TFA repeating at around 60.

Chaotic · 01-02-2016, 02:11 PM

1. Star Wars $55M
2. Daddy's Home $17M
3. The Forest $14M
4. The Hateful 8 $9M
5. The Revenant $7M

The Debts · 01-02-2016, 02:23 PM

Seriously? I'm surprised to see people react this way. The film has been getting fairly strong word of mouth from both critics and audiences plus, even in limited release, it's been doing good business. Also, Leo one of the few stars who can still pull in a crowd (Tom Cruise being the other). It's got the R rating going against it for sure, but I can see it opening decently at 20 to 30 million.

jacobsever · 01-03-2016, 10:47 PM

Man, maybe my group of friends is just different, but The Revenant is all of our most anticipated movie of the year (2015). We've all been dying waiting for it to come out. I think it's going to do extremely well.

Buscemi · 01-04-2016, 03:55 AM

The Revenant $15 million
The Forest $10 million

I really don't understand Fox's reasoning for putting The Revenant in 3,000 theatres. Sure, it will make money (it is a DiCaprio movie) but will wider audiences go for a two and a hour-plus period film from a director who's never had a big box office hit (Birdman only did $40 million even after its awards success) that looks like one of those History Channel "documentaries"? Also, I feel that the (untrue) rumors about Leo being raped by a bear in the film might have killed its chances at mainstream acceptance.

The Forest, meanwhile, could have been a contender (with its PG-13 rating and unique for American, non-remake horror Japan setting) but Focus/Gramercy isn't really pushing it. Maybe Krampus fulfilled parent company Universal's need for a Winter horror hit?

MikeScott · 01-08-2016, 04:41 AM

1. STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS - 63.169 MILLION (-30%)
2. THE REVENANT - 37.44 MILLION
3. DADDY'S HOME - 18.4 MILLION (-37%)
4. THE FOREST - 10.88 MILLION (New)
5. THE HATEFUL EIGHT - 9.1 MILLION (-42%)
6. SISTERS - 7.9 MILLION (-38%)
7. ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP - 7.7 MILLION (-36%)
8. THE BIG SHORT - 8.788 MILLION (-3%)
9. JOY - 5.6 MILLION (-45%)
10. CONCUSSION - 5.1 MILLION (-35%)

MikeScott · 01-08-2016, 04:45 AM

I'm really shocked some people are predicting really low for The Revenant. I won't even be surprised if it does 40+ this weekend. I don't really think audiences will be all that crazy about it so WOM will be mixed but I do expect people to see it. That's why Fox is going so wide. This isn't something to slowly expand. It will be strong right out of the gate.

chris_sc77 · 01-08-2016, 01:49 PM

Revenant screwed themselves by not going wide on Xmas.

Leonidas King · 01-08-2016, 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeScott

I'm really shocked some people are predicting really low for The Revenant. I won't even be surprised if it does 40+ this weekend. I don't really think audiences will be all that crazy about it so WOM will be mixed but I do expect people to see it. That's why Fox is going so wide. This isn't something to slowly expand. It will be strong right out of the gate.

After it leaked way before it came out. I wouldn't be surprised if it under performs.

MikeScott · 01-08-2016, 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chris_sc77

Revenant screwed themselves by not going wide on Xmas.

Not really. While it would have done great that frame was way too crowded and not easy to get screens. Plus I doubt Fox wanted to go up against themselves with Joy. This puts it a little farther away from the Star Wars release and it's a fairly weak month.

And movies leaking online early rarely even make a big difference.

Chaotic · 01-08-2016, 04:27 PM

Thursday #'s

The Revenant $2.3M
The Forest $515,000

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4141&p=.htm

MikeScott · 01-08-2016, 05:02 PM

Revenant should be good for at least 35 Million with that, if not 40.

MikeScott · 01-09-2016, 03:38 AM

The Revenant is looking to beat Star Wars on Friday with 13-16 Million. Star Wars will obviously win the weekend though with big family business on Saturday.

Batman1980 · 01-09-2016, 03:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MikeScott

The Revenant is looking to beat Star Wars on Friday with 13-16 Million. Star Wars will obviously win the weekend though with big family business on Saturday.

I want to see Revenant and Forest double-team SW to take it down under $50 million this weekend. Keep those legs wobbling until they fall off completely.

DetroitSportsFan · 01-09-2016, 03:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Batman1980

I want to see Revenant and Forest double-team SW to take it down under $50 million this weekend. Keep those legs wobbling until they fall off completely.

Those $800+ million legs?

Batman1980 · 01-09-2016, 03:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DetroitSportsFan

Those $800+ million legs?

Yeah chop those suckers off like they were attached to an AT-AT walker!

Going to do my part and go to Mockingjay 2 again tomorrow and then another Jennifer double feature on Sunday, not like my team's playing anyway.

Chaotic · 01-09-2016, 04:21 PM

Friday Estimates

1. Revenant $14.4M
2. Star Wars $10.8M
3. The Forest $4.97M

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

soarinsteven · 01-09-2016, 04:44 PM

Go The Revenant

View Poll Results: How much will The Revenant make?
$10M	3	20.00%
$20M	6	40.00%
$30M	4	26.67%
$40M	2	13.33%
Voters: 15. You may not vote on this poll

01-02-2016, 01:23 PM	#1
Chaotic Blu-ray Grand Duke Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Denver, CO	Box Office Showdown (Jan. 8-10) The Revenant, The Forest The Revenant Fox The Forest Focus Features

01-02-2016, 02:23 PM	#5
The Debts Blu-ray Champion Top contributor Member since:Jun 2013 Location:ME 4K collection:55 Blu-ray collection:330 DVD collection:181 MA collection:143 Digital collection:211 iTunes collection:147 Prime collection:122 Blu-ray reviews: 5	Seriously? I'm surprised to see people react this way. The film has been getting fairly strong word of mouth from both critics and audiences plus, even in limited release, it's been doing good business. Also, Leo one of the few stars who can still pull in a crowd (Tom Cruise being the other). It's got the R rating going against it for sure, but I can see it opening decently at 20 to 30 million. Last edited by The Debts; 01-02-2016 at 03:02 PM.

01-02-2016, 01:32 PM	#2
chris_sc77 Banned Member since:Feb 2012 Location:OH Blu-ray collection:1345 DVD collection:4285 Digital collection:144 Trading Score:777	Revenant ain't gonna do great sadly. Maybe low $20's if lucky.

01-02-2016, 02:06 PM	#3
sandman slim Blu-ray Champion Top contributor Member since:Aug 2013 Location:TN 4K collection:313 Blu-ray collection:6435 DVD collection:423 Digital collection:4 Prime collection:1 Blu-ray reviews:3 Trading Score:8	The trailers haven't done a good job of selling the movie. Every ad I've seen in the last week is basically "Scenery... starring Leonardo Dicaprio... and then a bear attacks". Complete fail on the marketing department. I'm thinking 10 to 12 opening weekend, with TFA repeating at around 60.

01-02-2016, 02:11 PM	#4
Chaotic Blu-ray Grand Duke Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Denver, CO	1. Star Wars $55M 2. Daddy's Home $17M 3. The Forest $14M 4. The Hateful 8 $9M 5. The Revenant $7M

01-03-2016, 10:47 PM	#6
jacobsever Blu-ray Knight Member since:Dec 2009 Location:Denver, CO 4K collection:158 Blu-ray collection:732 DVD collection:6 Trading Score:13	Man, maybe my group of friends is just different, but The Revenant is all of our most anticipated movie of the year (2015). We've all been dying waiting for it to come out. I think it's going to do extremely well.

01-04-2016, 03:55 AM	#7
Buscemi Blu-ray Samurai Top contributor Member since:Aug 2013 4K collection:10 Blu-ray collection:3842	The Revenant $15 million The Forest $10 million I really don't understand Fox's reasoning for putting The Revenant in 3,000 theatres. Sure, it will make money (it is a DiCaprio movie) but will wider audiences go for a two and a hour-plus period film from a director who's never had a big box office hit (Birdman only did $40 million even after its awards success) that looks like one of those History Channel "documentaries"? Also, I feel that the (untrue) rumors about Leo being raped by a bear in the film might have killed its chances at mainstream acceptance. The Forest, meanwhile, could have been a contender (with its PG-13 rating and unique for American, non-remake horror Japan setting) but Focus/Gramercy isn't really pushing it. Maybe Krampus fulfilled parent company Universal's need for a Winter horror hit?

01-08-2016, 04:41 AM	#8
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	1. STAR WARS: THE FORCE AWAKENS - 63.169 MILLION (-30%) 2. THE REVENANT - 37.44 MILLION 3. DADDY'S HOME - 18.4 MILLION (-37%) 4. THE FOREST - 10.88 MILLION (New) 5. THE HATEFUL EIGHT - 9.1 MILLION (-42%) 6. SISTERS - 7.9 MILLION (-38%) 7. ALVIN & THE CHIPMUNKS: THE ROAD CHIP - 7.7 MILLION (-36%) 8. THE BIG SHORT - 8.788 MILLION (-3%) 9. JOY - 5.6 MILLION (-45%) 10. CONCUSSION - 5.1 MILLION (-35%)

01-08-2016, 04:45 AM	#9
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	I'm really shocked some people are predicting really low for The Revenant. I won't even be surprised if it does 40+ this weekend. I don't really think audiences will be all that crazy about it so WOM will be mixed but I do expect people to see it. That's why Fox is going so wide. This isn't something to slowly expand. It will be strong right out of the gate.

01-08-2016, 01:49 PM	#10
chris_sc77 Banned Member since:Feb 2012 Location:OH Blu-ray collection:1345 DVD collection:4285 Digital collection:144 Trading Score:777	Revenant screwed themselves by not going wide on Xmas.

01-08-2016, 04:27 PM	#13
Chaotic Blu-ray Grand Duke Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Denver, CO	Thursday #'s The Revenant $2.3M The Forest $515,000 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4141&p=.htm

01-08-2016, 05:02 PM	#14
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	Revenant should be good for at least 35 Million with that, if not 40.

01-09-2016, 03:38 AM	#15
MikeScott Blu-ray Champion Member since:Jul 2010 Location:Minnesota Trading Score:503	The Revenant is looking to beat Star Wars on Friday with 13-16 Million. Star Wars will obviously win the weekend though with big family business on Saturday.

01-09-2016, 04:21 PM	#19
Chaotic Blu-ray Grand Duke Member since:Mar 2009 Location:Denver, CO	Friday Estimates 1. Revenant $14.4M 2. Star Wars $10.8M 3. The Forest $4.97M http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

01-09-2016, 04:44 PM	#20
soarinsteven Special Member Member since:Jan 2013 Location:IL 4K collection:34 Blu-ray collection:908	Go The Revenant

Best Blu-ray Movie Deals