Is Blu-ray's time FINALLY here?

[skygreenleopard]

I'm not posing a "will it be successful" question, even though there are still many skeptics (like that moron from Yahoo). I know the tech is growing, getting cheaper, and picking up speed, as do you all. But do you think we're at (or close to) the tipping point where Blu-Ray will be the mainstream choice within the next year or two?

I ask because as of now (March '09) I've never bought a Blu-Ray for more than $20. Usually Amazon for $17. I don't buy tons of movies, but there's also no need to rush out to brick-and-mortar stores and spend $27 on turds like Wild Hogs when I can own 3:10 to Yuma or Batman Begins from online stores for about $17. That's less than new DVDs cost a 2-3 years ago - I feel like $20 was about standard for a brand new DVD on average.

Players are cheaper now, too. I saw a Samsung P1500 for $105 the other day. While most people on the forums won't buy this model, the average family will - they're also the kind like my dad who will buy a $25-$40 DVD player just to watch movies for a couple of days while vacationing somewhere without a player. In other words, I think the tech is FINALLY beyond the average movie watcher's reach.

What might slow the growth of Blu-Ray to full momentum is the TV factor (most people don't have HDTVs) and the numbers game (the fact that stores and rental places only have small aisles of BDs right now). However, with Vizios and Westinghouses everywhere, I really believe 2009 might be the tipping point for Blu-Ray as mainstream, or dominant, AV technology.

What do you guys think?