Adams Media Research: Blu-ray spending to outpace DVD in 2012 - Blu-ray Forum

Grubert · 03-14-2008, 04:40 PM

http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/ques...php?startid=12
http://www.nxtbook.com/nxtbooks/ques...php?startid=26

Quote:

Adams said that by 2016, 90 million Blu-ray players will be in U.S. households, playing a total of 900 million discs sold. By 2012, consumer Blu-ray spending will outpace that of DVD, he added, and total Blu-ray units will pass DVD units sold a year later. The CDSA forecasts that 922 million Blu-ray Discs will be sold by 2012, compared to only 7.8 million in 2007.

Clark Kent · 03-14-2008, 10:11 PM

I think virtually every analyst who doesn't have an axe to grind believes Blu-ray will one day outsell dvd. Entire industries want this to happen and are actively working to make it happen. Dvd will stick around a little longer for certain applications but its days are numbered as the dominant home video platform for day and date releases. All the arguments that people make against Blu-ray today are the same tired arguments we saw at the dawn of the dvd era.

181 · 03-14-2008, 10:18 PM

The same people behind DVD are also behind Blu-ray, excluding Toshiba.

People think consumers have a choice. They don't. The entire industry will push Blu-ray and it will succeed. Blu-ray is no longer one of two next generation optical standards. It is the only one that remains.

Krandor · 03-14-2008, 10:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 181

The same people behind DVD are also behind Blu-ray, excluding Toshiba.

People think consumers have a choice. They don't. The entire industry will push Blu-ray and it will succeed. Blu-ray is no longer one of two next generation optical standards. It is the only one that remains.

True. What I expect people will see happen over the next year or two is that as the price of blu-ray players come down, you will see fewer DVD only players sold and more Blu-Ray players. Why would BB stock a $200 DVD player when they can stock a $200 Blu-Ray player that will also play DVDs? As the prices come down and more Blu-Ray players are on the shelves at BB and CC then people will start to want more Blu-Ray content.

wem003 · 03-14-2008, 10:52 PM

well since according to Microsoft, the world market for physical media will dissolve in 12-18 months - this should be fairly accurate.

:-)

Gremal · 03-14-2008, 10:54 PM

Sounds about right. My Blu-ray spending has already totally eclipsed my DVD spending since I no longer buy DVDs.

Danger Duck · 03-14-2008, 11:37 PM

If prices of players and movies drop sometime soon, maybe this could happen even by 2011.

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03-14-2008, 10:11 PM	#2
Clark Kent Blu-ray Prince Top contributor Member since:Oct 2007 Location:Metropolis Blu-ray reviews:2 Trading Score:184	I think virtually every analyst who doesn't have an axe to grind believes Blu-ray will one day outsell dvd. Entire industries want this to happen and are actively working to make it happen. Dvd will stick around a little longer for certain applications but its days are numbered as the dominant home video platform for day and date releases. All the arguments that people make against Blu-ray today are the same tired arguments we saw at the dawn of the dvd era.

03-14-2008, 10:18 PM	#3
181 Active Member Member since:Dec 2007	The same people behind DVD are also behind Blu-ray, excluding Toshiba. People think consumers have a choice. They don't. The entire industry will push Blu-ray and it will succeed. Blu-ray is no longer one of two next generation optical standards. It is the only one that remains.

03-14-2008, 10:52 PM	#5
wem003 Active Member Member since:Jul 2007 Location:Apex, NC Blu-ray collection:29 Blu-ray reviews:1	well since according to Microsoft, the world market for physical media will dissolve in 12-18 months - this should be fairly accurate. :-)

03-14-2008, 10:54 PM	#6
Gremal Blu-ray Samurai Top ranked HT gallery Member since:Feb 2007 Location:Daddyland Home Theater Gallery:49 Blu-ray collection:184	Sounds about right. My Blu-ray spending has already totally eclipsed my DVD spending since I no longer buy DVDs.

03-14-2008, 11:37 PM	#7
Danger Duck Active Member Member since:Feb 2008 Blu-ray reviews:1	If prices of players and movies drop sometime soon, maybe this could happen even by 2011.

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