How much will UP make opening weekend? - Blu-ray Forum

GreenScar · 05-29-2009, 10:06 PM

Is there a chance that something else could be number 1? The theaters are starting to get pretty full now. How do you think the top 5 will stack up?

Remember that the 3D ticket price is higher than traditional pricing so that should help UP on it's numbers.

OrlandoEastwood · 05-29-2009, 10:08 PM

Probably:

1. Up
2. Night at the Museum 2
3. Terminator Salvation

Diesel · 05-29-2009, 10:11 PM

i think Up will undoubtedly be #1 this weekend.

i expect the top 5 to shake out like this

Up
Terminator Salvation
Night at the Museum (i'm expecting Up to take most of its business and drop it behind Terminator)
Star Trek
Drag Me to Hell

I expect star trek to make a good chunk of change, its still in over 4,000 theaters. And it'll be crossing $210million this weekend

edit: forgot to give my vote, i voted for 50-60 million, but it could be 60-70 easy if more Night of the Museum business goes towards it than i anticipate.

johnarnold101 · 05-29-2009, 10:17 PM

With the reviews flying around (pardon the pun) I think "UP" is going to be #1 and have huge box office results after this weekend.

1. UP (60+ million easy)
2. Terminator Salvation
3. Night at the Museum 2 (due to people not getting into UP)
4. Drag me to Hell (depending on the number of theaters and it's getting good reviews from what I've seen)
5. Star Trek

Diesel · 05-29-2009, 10:19 PM

anyone know the theater count of Drag Me to Hell?

Blu Titan · 05-29-2009, 10:37 PM

A cool $65 million for Up.

Blu Titan · 05-29-2009, 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Diesel

anyone know the theater count of Drag Me to Hell?

Box Office Mojo has it at 2,508 theatres.

Diesel · 05-29-2009, 10:50 PM

wow, just saw that 500+ theaters are dropping star trek this weekend, didn't expect that many to drop it this soon.

cdblu · 05-29-2009, 11:18 PM

69 million for Up. Terminator 30 million.

Blu Titan · 05-29-2009, 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Diesel

wow, just saw that 500+ theaters are dropping star trek this weekend, didn't expect that many to drop it this soon.

It is still playing at 3,500 theaters going into its fourth weekend. Will pass the $200 million mark today, the first movie to do so in 2009.

Diesel · 05-29-2009, 11:44 PM

i think it'll be holding on to a good amount of theaters for a while
wonder if it'll make it to 300million

its only dropped below $2million for a single day twice (1.8million, yesterday and the day before)

dcowboy7 · 05-29-2009, 11:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GreenScar

Is there a chance that something else could be number 1?

0% chance.

Up #1 with $61.8 mill.

dvd_mazter · 05-30-2009, 12:07 AM

Just saw Up and it was excellent so it will definitely be #1. Drag Me to Hell looks great as well but horror rarely makes major bucks. I hope Terminator says strong because I really liked the movie and would to see a sequel.

My top 5 prediction:

1. Up (60 - 70 Million)
2. Terminator: Salvation (15 - 20 million)
3. Night at the Museum 2 (10 - 15 million)
4. Drag Me to Hell (10 - 12 million)
5. Angels and Demon (6 - 9 million)

Blu Titan · 05-30-2009, 12:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Diesel

i think it'll be holding on to a good amount of theaters for a while
wonder if it'll make it to 300million

its only dropped below $2million for a single day twice (1.8million, yesterday and the day before)

It won't make it to $300 million. $250 million tops, and that is a great take.

dcowboy7 · 05-30-2009, 12:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dvd_mazter

2. Terminator: Salvation (15 - 20 million)
3. Night at the Museum 2 (10 - 15 million)

i would be shocked (more than shocked....how bout flabergasted) if terminator beats museum.

Diesel · 05-30-2009, 12:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blu Titan

It won't make it to $300 million. $250 million tops, and that is a great take.

250 is what i was thinking

after that its just wait and see, i think it will definitely hit the 250 mark though
i'm going to have to go back to the star trek thread and see how much i originally thought it would make

edit: found it

Quote:

Originally Posted by Diesel

i don't think it has a shot in hell at a billion

$800million? could be, but i highly doubt it

i think it will probably make around iron man numbers when its all said and done

250-300ish overseas
250-300ish domestic also

rlj1010 · 05-30-2009, 02:51 AM

The tv spots that I've seen running, are really bad. It seems like a tough movie to sell.

Despite the positive reviews, I do not predict a huge financial success for Pixar. It won't be a bomb. But I don't think it will be the huge financial hit people are expecting. This will be Pixar's 'Bolt'.

GreenScar · 05-30-2009, 02:59 AM

Nikki Fink already has her very early estimates up. When she's off, it's usually only by a million.

EARLY BOX OFFICE: 'Up' Soars For $17M Friday, $55M Weekend; 'Drag Me To Hell' $7M/$18M; 'Star Trek' Will Become 1st Film Of 2009 To Pass $200M

FRIDAY 3:30 PM: Hollywood plans a 2nd straight weekend friendly for family filmgoers who have pent-up demand. With 20% of K-through-12 out of school today, Pixar/Disney's 10th pic and first 3-D movie, Up, was able to get a jump on the domestic box office with busy matinees from 1,534 3-D theaters -- a record -- and a total of 3,766 theatres total. So the unusual toon starring the voice of Ed Asner and receiving rave revenues looks like it could open to around $17 million for probably a $55M weekend. So the grosses should end up smack in the middle of Ratatouille ($43M) and Wall-E ($63M), both for Pixar. And just shy of DreamWorks' first 3-D film Monsters vs Aliens which opened at $59.3M over Spring Break. Disney has been marketing Up as a four-quadrant movie that hits all bases -- from comedy to adventure, and Pixar’s most emotional film thus far.

The other newcomer should come in 3rd: Universal's subtly titled horror pic Drag Me To Hell from Sam Raimi's devilish direction is on track to debut at $7M today and $18M for the weekend. Its box office potential looks similar to The Strangers which Uni opened to $20M last year on this same date.

20th Century Fox's sequel Night Of The Museum: Battle Of The Smithsonian held well during today's matinees and should finish down only 50% from its #1 opening last Friday. It will come in 2nd for the weekend with about $25M.

What ends up in 4th, 5th and 6th places is anybody's guess. My box office gurus expect Warner Bros' disappointing Terminator 4: Salvation to probably end the weekend with $20M. Followed by Paramount's Star Trek and Imagine/Sony's Angels & Demons perhaps battling for 5th: both may be in the low teens for the weekend. But the JJ Abrams' franchise reboot will become the first movie of the year to pass $200M this weekend.

dvd_mazter · 05-30-2009, 03:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dcowboy7

i would be shocked (more than shocked....how bout flabergasted) if terminator beats museum.

I just think that with Up out, more kids would flock to that over Night At The Museum. Plus Terminator should hold strong (I hope) just considering the only other adult movie released this week is Drag Me To Hell and being horror, lots are turned off by it.

I don't know, just my thinking

Suntory_Times · 05-30-2009, 04:22 AM

I predicted $50 to $60 million but to have good legs (like every Pixar film).

View Poll Results: How much will UP make opening weekend?
Under $30 million	4	6.06%
$30 - $40 million	0	0%
$40 - $50 million	0	0%
$50 - $60 million	15	22.73%
$60 - $70 million	23	34.85%
$70 - $80 million	10	15.15%
Over $80 million	14	21.21%
Voters: 66. You may not vote on this poll

05-29-2009, 10:11 PM	#3
Diesel Blu-ray Archduke Top contributor Member since:Jan 2009 4K collection:- Blu-ray collection:- DVD collection:- Digital collection:- Blu-ray reviews: 31 Trading Score:10	i think Up will undoubtedly be #1 this weekend. i expect the top 5 to shake out like this Up Terminator Salvation Night at the Museum (i'm expecting Up to take most of its business and drop it behind Terminator) Star Trek Drag Me to Hell I expect star trek to make a good chunk of change, its still in over 4,000 theaters. And it'll be crossing $210million this weekend edit: forgot to give my vote, i voted for 50-60 million, but it could be 60-70 easy if more Night of the Museum business goes towards it than i anticipate. Last edited by Diesel; 05-29-2009 at 10:45 PM.

05-29-2009, 11:44 PM	#11
Diesel Blu-ray Archduke Top contributor Member since:Jan 2009 4K collection:- Blu-ray collection:- DVD collection:- Digital collection:- Blu-ray reviews: 31 Trading Score:10	i think it'll be holding on to a good amount of theaters for a while wonder if it'll make it to 300million its only dropped below $2million for a single day twice (1.8million, yesterday and the day before) Last edited by Diesel; 05-29-2009 at 11:47 PM.

05-30-2009, 02:51 AM	#17
rlj1010 Member Member since:Nov 2007	The tv spots that I've seen running, are really bad. It seems like a tough movie to sell. Despite the positive reviews, I do not predict a huge financial success for Pixar. It won't be a bomb. But I don't think it will be the huge financial hit people are expecting. This will be Pixar's 'Bolt'. Last edited by rlj1010; 05-30-2009 at 02:57 AM.

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05-29-2009, 10:06 PM	#1
GreenScar Blu-ray Knight Member since:Aug 2007 Blu-ray collection:148 Trading Score:2	How much will UP make opening weekend? Is there a chance that something else could be number 1? The theaters are starting to get pretty full now. How do you think the top 5 will stack up? Remember that the 3D ticket price is higher than traditional pricing so that should help UP on it's numbers.

05-29-2009, 10:08 PM	#2
OrlandoEastwood Blu-ray Champion Top contributor Member since:Jun 2008 Location:R-Point Blu-ray reviews:86 Trading Score:24	Probably: 1. Up 2. Night at the Museum 2 3. Terminator Salvation

05-29-2009, 10:17 PM	#4
johnarnold101 Senior Member Member since:May 2008 Location:Boise, ID Home Theater Gallery:2 Blu-ray reviews: 2 Trading Score:13	With the reviews flying around (pardon the pun) I think "UP" is going to be #1 and have huge box office results after this weekend. 1. UP (60+ million easy) 2. Terminator Salvation 3. Night at the Museum 2 (due to people not getting into UP) 4. Drag me to Hell (depending on the number of theaters and it's getting good reviews from what I've seen) 5. Star Trek

05-29-2009, 10:19 PM	#5
Diesel Blu-ray Archduke Top contributor Member since:Jan 2009 4K collection:- Blu-ray collection:- DVD collection:- Digital collection:- Blu-ray reviews: 31 Trading Score:10	anyone know the theater count of Drag Me to Hell?

05-29-2009, 10:37 PM	#6
Blu Titan Super Moderator Top ranked HT gallery Top contributor Member since:Jul 2007 Location:Edo, Land of the Samurai Home Theater Gallery:42 4K collection:41 Blu-ray collection:2864 Blu-ray reviews: 2 Trading Score:92	A cool $65 million for Up.

05-29-2009, 10:50 PM	#8
Diesel Blu-ray Archduke Top contributor Member since:Jan 2009 4K collection:- Blu-ray collection:- DVD collection:- Digital collection:- Blu-ray reviews: 31 Trading Score:10	wow, just saw that 500+ theaters are dropping star trek this weekend, didn't expect that many to drop it this soon.

05-29-2009, 11:18 PM	#9
cdblu Senior Member Member since:Feb 2007 Location:california Blu-ray collection:58	69 million for Up. Terminator 30 million.

05-30-2009, 12:07 AM	#13
dvd_mazter Power Member Member since:Mar 2008 Location:Winnipeg, Manitoba Home Theater Gallery:9 4K collection:10 Blu-ray collection:740 Blu-ray reviews: 146	Just saw Up and it was excellent so it will definitely be #1. Drag Me to Hell looks great as well but horror rarely makes major bucks. I hope Terminator says strong because I really liked the movie and would to see a sequel. My top 5 prediction: 1. Up (60 - 70 Million) 2. Terminator: Salvation (15 - 20 million) 3. Night at the Museum 2 (10 - 15 million) 4. Drag Me to Hell (10 - 12 million) 5. Angels and Demon (6 - 9 million)

05-30-2009, 02:59 AM	#18
GreenScar Blu-ray Knight Member since:Aug 2007 Blu-ray collection:148 Trading Score:2	Nikki Fink already has her very early estimates up. When she's off, it's usually only by a million. EARLY BOX OFFICE: 'Up' Soars For $17M Friday, $55M Weekend; 'Drag Me To Hell' $7M/$18M; 'Star Trek' Will Become 1st Film Of 2009 To Pass $200M FRIDAY 3:30 PM: Hollywood plans a 2nd straight weekend friendly for family filmgoers who have pent-up demand. With 20% of K-through-12 out of school today, Pixar/Disney's 10th pic and first 3-D movie, Up, was able to get a jump on the domestic box office with busy matinees from 1,534 3-D theaters -- a record -- and a total of 3,766 theatres total. So the unusual toon starring the voice of Ed Asner and receiving rave revenues looks like it could open to around $17 million for probably a $55M weekend. So the grosses should end up smack in the middle of Ratatouille ($43M) and Wall-E ($63M), both for Pixar. And just shy of DreamWorks' first 3-D film Monsters vs Aliens which opened at $59.3M over Spring Break. Disney has been marketing Up as a four-quadrant movie that hits all bases -- from comedy to adventure, and Pixar’s most emotional film thus far. The other newcomer should come in 3rd: Universal's subtly titled horror pic Drag Me To Hell from Sam Raimi's devilish direction is on track to debut at $7M today and $18M for the weekend. Its box office potential looks similar to The Strangers which Uni opened to $20M last year on this same date. 20th Century Fox's sequel Night Of The Museum: Battle Of The Smithsonian held well during today's matinees and should finish down only 50% from its #1 opening last Friday. It will come in 2nd for the weekend with about $25M. What ends up in 4th, 5th and 6th places is anybody's guess. My box office gurus expect Warner Bros' disappointing Terminator 4: Salvation to probably end the weekend with $20M. Followed by Paramount's Star Trek and Imagine/Sony's Angels & Demons perhaps battling for 5th: both may be in the low teens for the weekend. But the JJ Abrams' franchise reboot will become the first movie of the year to pass $200M this weekend.

05-30-2009, 04:22 AM	#20
Suntory_Times Blu-ray Champion Member since:Mar 2008 Location:The Grid Blu-ray reviews:16 Trading Score:23	I predicted $50 to $60 million but to have good legs (like every Pixar film).

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