"Big Five" - Oscar Predictions - Blu-ray Forum

toef · 01-22-2009, 05:02 PM

Sure some of the other awards might be interesting (best supporting actor) or obvious (best animated feature), but these are the 5 categories that "really" matter.

In history, only 3 movies have ever swept the Big Five: It Happened One Night (1934), One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), and The Silence of the Lambs (1991).

Obviously it's not even possible this year (no single movie is nominationed in each of the Big Five categories), but oh well.

assydingo · 01-22-2009, 05:12 PM

I thought The Godfather got all three?

I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

J_UNTITLED · 01-22-2009, 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by assydingo

I thought The Godfather got all three?

I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

Do yourself a favor and see 'em both.

toef · 01-22-2009, 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by assydingo

I thought The Godfather got all three?

I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

Godfather got 3 of the big 5, but Coppola lost Best Director, and it didn't have anyone nominated for Best Actress. I think getting the Best Actor and Best Actress awards into a single movie is the hardest part.

TheZoof · 01-22-2009, 06:07 PM

I will not be watching the oscars. No TDK Best Director or Best picture...

This is crap.

I have seen all of those movies except for "The Reader" and I would put Dark Knight behind Slumdog Millionaire but ahead of Ben Button and Milk.

dahoover · 01-22-2009, 06:35 PM

Here is how it should have gone had the nominations been right.

Best Picture- Dark Knight
Best Actor- Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
Best Actress- Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road instead of The Reader)
Best Director- Christopher Nolan
Best Original Screenplay- Dark Knight
Best Adapted Screenplay- Slumdog Millionaire

Crim122 · 01-22-2009, 06:38 PM

I call:

Slumdog gets: Best picture, score, director, adapted screenplay

Mickey Rourke gets best actor

I want to say Streep for best actress, but Winslett bumped her out in the GG so it might happen again

Heath with Supporting

Winslett with Supporting

Wall*E Best animated

Waltz with Bashir gets best foreign film.

plowmanjoe · 01-22-2009, 06:52 PM

i'm glad the visitor got some recognition. it's a really great film that not too many people heard of. even though it most likely won't win.

toef · 01-22-2009, 07:18 PM

I think the only one that's almost certainly locked up is Mickey Rourke for Best Actor.

Winslett for Best Actress might be almost certain as well.

I figure Slumdog will get best adapted screenplay, and best original will probably go to Milk.

That leaves Best Picture and Director.

For best picture, I think Slumdog Millionaire is the front-runner, but won't be surprised if it loses. It may have won Best Drama at the Golden Globes, but the GG's have a bad track record of predicting the Oscar winner (last year they picked Atonement, year before picked Babel, then Brokeback, then The Aviator... needless to say: wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong).

I wouldn't be surprised if Benjamin Button starts sweeping up Oscars, including Best Director, so I figure it will be one of those two movies getting both.

Seretur · 01-22-2009, 09:03 PM

I have a hunch it'll be a Slumdog sweep, with Milk for Original Screenplay, plus Winslet and Rourke.

Most of those wouldn't be my own picks. Nor would I nominate half the people in other categories. But the Oscars are what they are, and there's no point getting too worked up about them.

drobswim13 · 01-22-2009, 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by toefer

Winslett for Best Actress might be almost certain as well.

It will be a battle between her and Streep, but i'm pulling for the woman who is regarded as the greatest actress of all time next to Hepburn

Darko · 01-23-2009, 02:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Crim122

I call:

Slumdog gets: Best picture, score, director, adapted screenplay

Mickey Rourke gets best actor

I want to say Streep for best actress, but Winslett bumped her out in the GG so it might happen again

Heath with Supporting

Winslett with Supporting

Wall*E Best animated

Waltz with Bashir gets best foreign film.

Winslett isn't nominated for supporting for an Oscar.

She might take best actress thou... WINslett for the win!

View Poll Results: Big Five Oscar Predictions
BEST PICTURE - The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	10	25.64%
BEST PICTURE - Frost / Nixon	2	5.13%
BEST PICTURE - Milk	3	7.69%
BEST PICTURE - The Reader	1	2.56%
BEST PICTURE - Slumdog Millionaire	27	69.23%
BEST ACTOR - Richard Jenkins (The Visitor)	2	5.13%
BEST ACTOR - Frank Langella (Frost / Nixon)	4	10.26%
BEST ACTOR - Sean Penn (Milk)	10	25.64%
BEST ACTOR - Brad Pitt (The CC of Ben Button)	3	7.69%
BEST ACTOR - Mickey Rourke (The Wrestler)	26	66.67%
BEST ACTRESS - Anne Hathaway (Rachel Getting Married)	6	15.38%
BEST ACTRESS - Angelina Jolie (The Changeling)	4	10.26%
BEST ACTRESS - Melissa Leo (Frozen River)	2	5.13%
BEST ACTRESS - Meryl Streep (Doubt)	12	30.77%
BEST ACTRESS - Kate Winslet (The Reader)	18	46.15%
BEST DIRECTOR - David Fincher (The CC of Ben Button)	7	17.95%
BEST DIRECTOR - Stephen Daldry (The Reader)	1	2.56%
BEST DIRECTOR - Gus Van Sant (Milk)	3	7.69%
BEST DIRECTOR - Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)	28	71.79%
BEST DIRECTOR - Ron Howard (Frost / Nixon)	3	7.69%
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - WALL-E	16	41.03%
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Happy-Go-Lucky	1	2.56%
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Frozen River	1	2.56%
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - In Bruges	11	28.21%
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - Milk	13	33.33%
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The CC of Ben Button	10	25.64%
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Frost / Nixon	3	7.69%
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - The Reader	2	5.13%
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Slumdog Millionaire	23	58.97%
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - Doubt	2	5.13%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 39. You may not vote on this poll

01-22-2009, 05:02 PM	#1
toef Blu-ray Champion Member since:May 2008 Location:Isla Nublar 4K collection:229 Blu-ray collection:545 Blu-ray reviews:1 Trading Score:4	"Big Five" - Oscar Predictions Sure some of the other awards might be interesting (best supporting actor) or obvious (best animated feature), but these are the 5 categories that "really" matter. In history, only 3 movies have ever swept the Big Five: It Happened One Night (1934), One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), and The Silence of the Lambs (1991). Obviously it's not even possible this year (no single movie is nominationed in each of the Big Five categories), but oh well. Last edited by toef; 01-22-2009 at 05:09 PM.

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01-22-2009, 05:12 PM	#2
assydingo Blu-ray Ninja Member since:Oct 2008 Blu-ray collection:483 DVD collection:12 Trading Score:3	I thought The Godfather got all three? I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

01-22-2009, 06:07 PM	#5
TheZoof Blu-ray Guru Top contributor Member since:Aug 2008 Location:Ottawa,Canada Home Theater Gallery:27 4K collection:850 Blu-ray collection:1636 DVD collection:10 Blu-ray reviews: 38 Trading Score:2	I will not be watching the oscars. No TDK Best Director or Best picture... This is crap. I have seen all of those movies except for "The Reader" and I would put Dark Knight behind Slumdog Millionaire but ahead of Ben Button and Milk.

01-22-2009, 06:35 PM	#6
dahoover Expert Member Member since:Jan 2008 Location:Bloomington, Indiana Blu-ray collection:230 DVD collection:107 Blu-ray reviews:2 Trading Score:25	Here is how it should have gone had the nominations been right. Best Picture- Dark Knight Best Actor- Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino) Best Actress- Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road instead of The Reader) Best Director- Christopher Nolan Best Original Screenplay- Dark Knight Best Adapted Screenplay- Slumdog Millionaire

01-22-2009, 06:38 PM	#7
Crim122 Banned Member since:Sep 2008 Location:Charlotte, NC Blu-ray collection:27 Blu-ray reviews:1	I call: Slumdog gets: Best picture, score, director, adapted screenplay Mickey Rourke gets best actor I want to say Streep for best actress, but Winslett bumped her out in the GG so it might happen again Heath with Supporting Winslett with Supporting Wall*E Best animated Waltz with Bashir gets best foreign film.

01-22-2009, 06:52 PM	#8
plowmanjoe Senior Member Member since:May 2008 Blu-ray collection:6 Trading Score:2	i'm glad the visitor got some recognition. it's a really great film that not too many people heard of. even though it most likely won't win.

01-22-2009, 07:18 PM	#9
toef Blu-ray Champion Member since:May 2008 Location:Isla Nublar 4K collection:229 Blu-ray collection:545 Blu-ray reviews:1 Trading Score:4	I think the only one that's almost certainly locked up is Mickey Rourke for Best Actor. Winslett for Best Actress might be almost certain as well. I figure Slumdog will get best adapted screenplay, and best original will probably go to Milk. That leaves Best Picture and Director. For best picture, I think Slumdog Millionaire is the front-runner, but won't be surprised if it loses. It may have won Best Drama at the Golden Globes, but the GG's have a bad track record of predicting the Oscar winner (last year they picked Atonement, year before picked Babel, then Brokeback, then The Aviator... needless to say: wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong). I wouldn't be surprised if Benjamin Button starts sweeping up Oscars, including Best Director, so I figure it will be one of those two movies getting both.

01-22-2009, 09:03 PM	#10
Seretur Special Member Member since:Jul 2007 Location:An Island in the Adriatic Blu-ray collection:521 Blu-ray reviews:5 Trading Score:2	I have a hunch it'll be a Slumdog sweep, with Milk for Original Screenplay, plus Winslet and Rourke. Most of those wouldn't be my own picks. Nor would I nominate half the people in other categories. But the Oscars are what they are, and there's no point getting too worked up about them.

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