"Big Five" - Oscar Predictions

[toef]

Sure some of the other awards might be interesting (best supporting actor) or obvious (best animated feature), but these are the 5 categories that "really" matter.

In history, only 3 movies have ever swept the Big Five: It Happened One Night (1934), One Flew Over the Cuckoo's Nest (1975), and The Silence of the Lambs (1991).

Obviously it's not even possible this year (no single movie is nominationed in each of the Big Five categories), but oh well.

[assydingo]

I thought The Godfather got all three?

I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

[J_UNTITLED]

Originally Posted by assydingo

I thought The Godfather got all three?

I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

Do yourself a favor and see 'em both.

[toef]

Originally Posted by assydingo

I thought The Godfather got all three?

I haven't seen Silence of The Lambs or It Happened One Night...

Godfather got 3 of the big 5, but Coppola lost Best Director, and it didn't have anyone nominated for Best Actress. I think getting the Best Actor and Best Actress awards into a single movie is the hardest part.

[TheZoof]

I will not be watching the oscars. No TDK Best Director or Best picture...


This is crap.

I have seen all of those movies except for "The Reader" and I would put Dark Knight behind Slumdog Millionaire but ahead of Ben Button and Milk.

[dahoover]

Here is how it should have gone had the nominations been right.

Best Picture- Dark Knight
Best Actor- Clint Eastwood (Gran Torino)
Best Actress- Kate Winslet (Revolutionary Road instead of The Reader)
Best Director- Christopher Nolan
Best Original Screenplay- Dark Knight
Best Adapted Screenplay- Slumdog Millionaire

[Crim122]

I call:

Slumdog gets: Best picture, score, director, adapted screenplay

Mickey Rourke gets best actor

I want to say Streep for best actress, but Winslett bumped her out in the GG so it might happen again

Heath with Supporting

Winslett with Supporting

Wall*E Best animated

Waltz with Bashir gets best foreign film.

[plowmanjoe]

i'm glad the visitor got some recognition. it's a really great film that not too many people heard of. even though it most likely won't win.

[toef]

I think the only one that's almost certainly locked up is Mickey Rourke for Best Actor.

Winslett for Best Actress might be almost certain as well.

I figure Slumdog will get best adapted screenplay, and best original will probably go to Milk.

That leaves Best Picture and Director.

For best picture, I think Slumdog Millionaire is the front-runner, but won't be surprised if it loses. It may have won Best Drama at the Golden Globes, but the GG's have a bad track record of predicting the Oscar winner (last year they picked Atonement, year before picked Babel, then Brokeback, then The Aviator... needless to say: wrong, wrong, wrong, wrong).

I wouldn't be surprised if Benjamin Button starts sweeping up Oscars, including Best Director, so I figure it will be one of those two movies getting both.

[Seretur]

I have a hunch it'll be a Slumdog sweep, with Milk for Original Screenplay, plus Winslet and Rourke.

Most of those wouldn't be my own picks. Nor would I nominate half the people in other categories. But the Oscars are what they are, and there's no point getting too worked up about them.

[drobswim13]

Originally Posted by toefer

Winslett for Best Actress might be almost certain as well.

It will be a battle between her and Streep, but i'm pulling for the woman who is regarded as the greatest actress of all time next to Hepburn

[ajgoodfella7]

God I hate the Oscars. When The Reader (which has a 6.3/10 average from professional critics on RT) gets a Best Pic nomination over TDK (8.5/10), The Wrestler(8.3/10), and Wall-E (8.5/10), you know there is something wrong. I have no problem with the other choices, but it seems like they always throw a big f*ck you in there with one of their selections just to show you who's boss. I'm actually quite glad that their ratings have been steadily declining because they really deserve it.

[toef]

Originally Posted by ajgoodfella7

God I hate the Oscars. When The Reader (which has a 6.3/10 average from professional critics on RT) gets a Best Pic nomination over TDK (8.5/10), The Wrestler(8.3/10), and Wall-E (8.5/10), you know there is something wrong. I have no problem with the other choices, but it seems like they always throw a big f*ck you in there with one of their selections just to show you who's boss. I'm actually quite glad that their ratings have been steadily declining because they really deserve it.

Yeah. Every year they seem to add one movie into the Best Picture category that doesn't really make any sense. The Reader is this year's Michael Clayton.

Originally Posted by drobswim13

It will be a battle between her and Streep, but i'm pulling for the woman who is regarded as the greatest actress of all time next to Hepburn

I'd rather see Streep win as well, but the Golden Globe winners have a tendency to carry over.

[thedarkangel1975]

I dunno how Angelina Jolie keeps getting nominated.

[thedarkangel1975]

Originally Posted by ajgoodfella7

God I hate the Oscars. When The Reader (which has a 6.3/10 average from professional critics on RT) gets a Best Pic nomination over TDK (8.5/10), The Wrestler(8.3/10), and Wall-E (8.5/10), you know there is something wrong. I have no problem with the other choices, but it seems like they always throw a big f*ck you in there with one of their selections just to show you who's boss. I'm actually quite glad that their ratings have been steadily declining because they really deserve it.

Wall-E is nominated for best animated picture. Though I think the movie is good enough to stand on its own.

[McCrutchy]

Originally Posted by ajgoodfella7

God I hate the Oscars. When The Reader (which has a 6.3/10 average from professional critics on RT) gets a Best Pic nomination over TDK (8.5/10), The Wrestler(8.3/10), and Wall-E (8.5/10), you know there is something wrong. I have no problem with the other choices, but it seems like they always throw a big f*ck you in there with one of their selections just to show you who's boss. I'm actually quite glad that their ratings have been steadily declining because they really deserve it.

They dropped the ball by nominating The Reader instead of TDK.

[Darko]

Originally Posted by Crim122

I call:

Slumdog gets: Best picture, score, director, adapted screenplay

Mickey Rourke gets best actor

I want to say Streep for best actress, but Winslett bumped her out in the GG so it might happen again

Heath with Supporting

Winslett with Supporting

Wall*E Best animated

Waltz with Bashir gets best foreign film.

Winslett isn't nominated for supporting for an Oscar.

She might take best actress thou... WINslett for the win!

[moonstruck]

Originally Posted by drobswim13

It will be a battle between her and Streep, but i'm pulling for the woman who is regarded as the greatest actress of all time next to Hepburn

Ahead of Hepburn...way ahead. Most of Katherine Hepburn's performances were stagy and she just plays a variation of herself. Just my opinion.

Kate Winslet is the best actress of her generation and she's long overdue for an award. Meryl Streep hasn't won in 26 years and gave a chilling performance. A tough call.

[Blu Titan]

Slumdog, Rourke, Ledger, Winslet, and Wall*E!

[emm7th]

Slumdog Millionaire for Best Picture!

...may Wall-E sweep all 6 of its nominations...