Yahoo article on 3D predicted to be huge flop

[Anthony P]

Originally Posted by robinandtami

It's not so much hate as it is realism. Even many that would easily qualify as "early adopters" are not eager to go out and buy new equipment to get 3D in the home.

I think it is more sour grapes. People that know they want it but want to talk themselves out of jumping in. So it is "3D is evil" (and then insane excuse for it), "3D is a fad that will pass", "3d is something you only want when out", "you can't watch more then a few minutes of 3D"....

IF 3D discs come out with a premium price, a fair assumption I would think, not many people will be buying those over standard BD in anticipation of the day they can use them. If only a tiny minority of people are buying the gear AND the discs.... 3D is going to have a very hard road.

you do realize that 2D= one eye of 3D (for 3D movie) and so after 2010 there won't be any 2D only releases of 3D movies. That is happening now, the early part of this year because the studios don't want to wait to release the 3D version.

For the record.... I'm NOT a 3D hater. I already have a 3D ready TV, and I am anxious to give it a go, but I also won't be holding my breath for it to be a huge success.

I can't see anything but a success. In the end people want to watch movies, if the movie is made in 3D then, if possible, people will want to watch it in 3D. Now, don't get me wrong, I am not saying everyone will get a new 3D display in 2010, but like HDTVs I see the numbers growing with new TVs that are bought and eventually only 3D sets available for purchase. Now why do I think 3D will be popular for films? the answer there is also easy, if a movie (like Avatar) is filmed in 3D then people will rather go to a theatre that shows it in 3D. As theatres add 3D equipment in the rooms, those rooms can be used for 3D or 2D but since they can charge more for a 3D presentation, all else being equal they would rather show a 3D movie then a 2D movie in the room. As theatres privilege 3D movies more, studios/directors find it more important to make 3D movies (a movie can't make money when it is not on the screens) and so more 3D movies are made. And now we closed the loop, with more 3D movies being made, and so back to the start of the cycle and it is more important for theatres to upgrade to 3D rooms. So theatre owners push movie makers and movie makers push theatre owners and 3D in film becomes more important with every passing year. We already know people will pay a bit more for 3D in theatres, but as more and more movies go 3D, I think it is obvious that more and more people will want to see them in 3D at home.