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Old 12-28-2007, 07:52 AM   #25
blindcat87 blindcat87 is offline
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Sep 2007
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I basically agree with you, except for the comparison to LD. LD did not go out with a whimper after a fight with DVD. LD faded out like any older format that hs become obsolete, but it had a long distinguished run. HD DVD is going to go out with a real whimper like DIVX. Still remember the white flag being posted on their official web page. That was one beautiful day. Also like DIVX's Dick Sharp, I think Ken Graffio and others will sail away on golden parachutes.. They'll need them because I think they will need to find another industry to get a job in.

I'm fine with these two coming to the dance last. If they are forced to come, hat in hand, begging enterance to the party, it puts the BDA in a good position to dictate terms. I would love to see a no low bitrate, skimped audio ports and no over edge enhanced, DNR crayoned over transfers embarrasing the format.

One more thought that has occured to me while pondering the most recent rumblings. WB is still the lynchpin, but if the retaillers are really so sick of this and decide to revolt, WB might not want to draw things out. Their weight might be lessened if major retaillers decide on their own to dump HD DVD. WB better make the most of their current importance before others steal their thunder. Just one point of view, but something to think about.

Chris


Quote:
Originally Posted by 2blu2 View Post
It is all about Warner.

I think neither studio will move unless Warner moves.

It allows them to "save face". If warner moves and sales become more lopsided (80:20 consistantly) they can say "we tried HD DVD but consumers have spoken and we are now supporting Blu".

IHMO Warner is the key player in this war. If they go Blu, HD DVD will die. It will not be overnight but you will see all reds go neutral, stores stop stocking HD DVD, no new players announced. It will not be a bang rather a whimper like laser disc did.

It just seems strange to me that Warner hasn't announced anything yet and are speaking at HD DVD event during CES. If Warner doesn't go Blu I see this war lasting a long time (Christmas 08).
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