Timewarp 1996: why DVD will fail

[dialog_gvf]

DVD was inferior to what? Laserdisc?

There is some argument there with respect to audio (DTS was always 1.44Mbps, versus DVD being generally half-rate). But, the video improvement blew away that issue for the general consumer.

I was a huge Laserdisc fan. And I switched almost immediately. I had no doubts at all that DVD was going to become dominant, for the exact same reasons people went from LP to CD:

Convenience, portability, durability, and quality

This time (currently), there is only quality (edit: and durability) to drive the adoption, so it will be slower than with VHS --> DVD. But, ultimately something will be invented for Blu-ray + BD-Live + ??? that will make it so compelling to the masses that it will trigger mass adoption.

Perhaps it will be 3D.

Gary

[Blu Haze]

DVD 4 Life

[Musashi]

Originally Posted by dialog_gvf

Convenience, portability, durability, and quality

This time (currently), there is only quality to drive the adoption,

And durability. Don't forget, Blu-ray is hard-coated.

[dialog_gvf]

Originally Posted by Musashi

And durability. Don't forget, Blu-ray is hard-coated.

Oops. You're absolutely right. Let me update that.

That is perhaps more significant than between VHS and DVD. Although it will only affect those who have had troubles. For parents, I expect it to be a big deal.

It's very significant for rentailers, too.

Gary

[dobyblue]

Great find, that's hilarious.

There is no doubt in my mind at all that Blu-ray will see mass market adoption within the next 2 years and will have a title move 1,000,000 discs within the next 12 months.

[JTK]

Truly incredible. Great find, Grubert!