90th Academy Awards - March 4th, 2018

[GasmaskAvenger]

I know for sure Gary Oldman's Winston Churchill movie will get a bunch of nominations, especially since he appears to totally disappear in the role.

[flyry]

Originally Posted by UltraMario9

Let's not forget, there is a Paul Thomas Anderson film starring Daniel Day-Lewis being released on Christmas.

That didn't really pan out for him with Inherent Vice.

[cinemaphile]

Originally Posted by dommie

Weighing in on the issue of early year release films winning The Best Picture award:

One reason that, in recent years, early release films don't seem to win as much as they used to is because the studios have more or less adopted the practice of intentionally releasing their Oscar contenders during the last three months of the year thinking that most voters have short memories and tend to forget the films they saw earlier in the year. In fact, the media tends to label the last quarter of the year as "Oscar Season" now because of this practice.

I don't know about that being new to recent years. November/December has been considered "Oscar season" when the vast majority of award contenders come out for decades... since at least the 80's/early 90's, probably longer. And as shown earlier, there have still been several winners that came out in the first half of the year. Yes, studios hold most of their Oscar bait until the end of the year - I am just saying it is not a new phenomenon.

[Leonidas King]

Best Cinematography nod for Atomic Blonde. Yes please.

[Trollhunter]

I would say the top contenders right now that ive seen are are Detriot and Dunkrik and The Darkest Hour based on the Trailer.

[sawdustandtinsel]

Warner Bros. could find themselves in a tricky spot come campaign time if they're not careful. With Wonder Woman, Dunkirk, and possibly Blade Runner 2049 they could have three contenders in various categories and they'll probably be forced to spread it thin unless they feel Dunkirk doesn't need that much push.

I'm intrigued by the Weinstein Company this year. They have Mary Magdalene(Universal handling distribution) and The Current War coming in the fall and both have solid foundations of talent aboard.

I have to say this could shape up to be a tough year again.

[AaronJ]

I'm fascinated to see how The Papers turns out. That could be a big winner if the subject matter and the cast are any indication. And of course, Spielberg.

[sawdustandtinsel]

Originally Posted by AaronJ

I'm fascinated to see how The Papers turns out. That could be a big winner if the subject matter and the cast are any indication. And of course, Spielberg.

I'm intrigued by this one as well, Josh Singer of Spotlight wrote the script and he seems to be good with this kind of material.

[AaronJ]

Originally Posted by sawdustandtinsel

I'm intrigued by this one as well, Josh Singer of Spotlight wrote the script and he seems to be good with this kind of material.

Yeah, Spotlight was top notch.

And having Hanks, Streep, Alison Brie, Sarah Paulson, Bruce Greenwood -- you're already a number of steps ahead of the competition.

[dommie]

Originally Posted by cinemaphile

I don't know about that being new to recent years. November/December has been considered "Oscar season" when the vast majority of award contenders come out for decades... since at least the 80's/early 90's, probably longer. And as shown earlier, there have still been several winners that came out in the first half of the year. Yes, studios hold most of their Oscar bait until the end of the year - I am just saying it is not a new phenomenon.

I guess the term being new depends upon your perspective. You are correct in that the "Oscar Bait" season that occurs at the end of the year has been pretty much going on since the late 80's or early 90's but I have been going to movies since I was kid in the fifties. I also grew up in the entertainment business (my parents were in it) and I have been making my living in this business all my life so I have been around the Oscars issue for a very long time. I vividly remember when there wasn't an "Oscar Bait" release schedule like we know it today so it probably seems like a more recent phenom to me than others. It might have helped if I qualified where my thought process was coming from on this issue.

I also believe that home video may have helped to change how studios handle their "Oscar Contender" films. Before home video, films that were released earlier in the year were re-released by studios to run in multiple theaters again towards the end of the year in an attempt to remind voters of their possible Oscar potential. While this is still done today to a certain extent, it is nothing compared to years ago when there was no disc or streaming cycle with which to re-expose an earlier released film.

I can also remember when the summer movie season, in the pre-Jaws era, wasn't considered blockbuster season like it is now. Jaws, in 1975, changed all that forever.

[Rodney-2187]

work in progress:

Best Picture


Best Director


Best Actor


Best Actress


Best Supporting Actor


Best Supporting Actress


Best Cinematography
Roger Deakins - Blade Runner 2049

Best Special Effects

[AaronJ]

Originally Posted by rodneyfaile

Best Cinematography
Roger Deakins - Blade Runner 2049

As I said in the BR2049 thread, this is the only one I really care about. It's ridiculous that he's been nominated 13 times and never won. His work is amazing.

[Chaotic]

Originally Posted by Leonidas_King

Best Cinematography nod for Atomic Blonde. Yes please.

The hotel scenes

[Cremildo]

I'm gonna reserve this spot for preliminary predictions, too.

Picture
Call Me by Your Name
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards
Get Out
The Post
Other possibilities: The Florida Project, The Darkest Hour, The Big Sick, I, Tonya, Lady Bird

Director
Guillermo Del Toro - The Shape of Water
Christopher Nolan - Dunkirk
Luca Guadagnino - Call Me By Your Name
Martin McDonagh - Three Billboards
Jordan Peele - Get Out
Other possibilities: Sean Baker - The Florida Project, Joe Wright - The Darkest Hour, Dee Rees - Mudbound

Actor
Gary Oldman - The Darkest Hour
Other possibilities: Timothée Chalamet - Call Me By Your Name, Denzel Washington - Roman J. Israel, Esq., Steve Carell - Last Flag Flying, James Franco - The Disaster Artist, Jake Gyllenhaal - Stronger

Actress
Sally Hawkins - The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand - Three Billboards
Margot Robbie - I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan - Lady Bird
Meryl Streep - The Post
Other possibilities: Vicki Krieps - Phantom Thread, Kate Winslet - Wonder Wheel, Judi Dench - Victoria & Abdul, Diane Kruger - In the Fade, Jessica Chastain - Molly's Game, Michelle Williams - All the Money in the World

Supporting Actor
Michael Stuhlbarg - Call Me by Your Name
Willem Dafoe - The Florida Project
Sam Rockwell - Three Billboards
Other possibilities: Richard Jenkins - The Shape of Water, Bryan Cranston - Last Flag Flying, Armie Hammer - Call Me By Your Name, Mark Rylance - Dunkirk, Jason Mitchell - Mudbound, Christopher Plummer - All the Money in the World, Woody Harrelson - Three Billboards, Ben Mendelsohn - The Darkest Hour

Supporting Actress
Allison Janney - I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf - Lady Bird
Holly Hunter - The Big Sick
Other possibilities: Melissa Leo - Novitiate; Kristin Scott Thomas - The Darkest Hour, Hong Chau - Downsizing, Tatiana Maslany or Miranda Richardson - Stronger, Octavia Spencer - The Shape of Water, Mary J. Blige - Mudbound

Original Screenplay
Get Out - Jordan Peele
Lady Bird - Greta Gerwig
Three Billboards - Martin McDonagh
The Shape of Water - Guillermo Del Toro, Vanessa Taylor, Daniel Kraus
The Darkest Hour - Anthony McCarten
Other possibilities: The Post, The Big Sick, Dunkirk, I, Tonya, The Florida Project, Phantom Thread

Adapted Screenplay
Call Me by Your Name - James Ivory
Mudbound - Dee Rees, Virgil Williams
Molly's Game - Aaron Sorkin
The Disaster Artist - Scott Neustadter, Michael H. Weber
Other possibilities: Wonder, Last Flag Flying, Stronger, All the Money in the World, Logan

Original Score
Dunkirk - Hans Zimmer
The Papers - John Williams
The Shape of Water - Alexandre Desplat
The Darkest Hour - Dario Marianelli
Other possibilities: The Last Jedi - John Williams, Victoria & Abdul - Thomas Newman, Three Billboards or Wonderstruck - Carter Burwell, Coco - Michael Giacchino

Sound Mixing
Dunkirk
Blade Runner 2049
The Last Jedi
Other possibilities: Baby Driver, The Greatest Showman, Baby Driver, Detroit, Coco, Wonder Woman, The Shape of Water

Sound Editing
Dunkirk
Blade Runner 2049
Baby Driver
Other possibilities: The Last Jedi, Detroit, Coco, Hostiles, The Shape of Water

Visual Effects
The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes
Blade Runner 2049
Other possibilities: Downsizing, Logan, Dunkirk, The Shape of Water, Guardians of the Galaxy 2

Make-up & Hairstyling
The Darkest Hour
Logan
Wonder
Other possibilities: The Shape of Water, Guardians of the Galaxy 2

Costume Design
Victoria and Abdul - Consolata Boyle
The Beauty and the Beast - Jacqueline Durran
The Phantom Thread - Mark Bridges
The Greatest Showman - Ellen Mirojnick
The Darkest Hour - Jacqueline Durran
Other possibilities: Murder on the Orient Express - Alexandra Byrne, The Beguiled - Stacey Battat, Wonder Woman - Lindy Hemming

Production Design
The Beauty and the Beast - Sarah Greenwood
The Darkest Hour - Sarah Greenwood
Blade Runner 2049 - Dennis Gassner
The Shape of Water - Paul Austerberry
Dunkirk - Nathan Crowley
Other possibilities: The Post - Rick Carter, The Last Jedi - Rick Heinrichs, The Greatest Showman - Nathan Crowley, Downsizing - Stefania Cella

Film Editing
Dunkirk - Lee Smith
Get Out - Gregory Plotkin
The Post - Michael Kahn
Three Billboards - Jon Gregory
Other possibilities: The Darkest Hour - Valerio Bonelli, Detroit - William Goldenberg and Harry Yoon, Baby Driver - Paul Machliss and Jonathan Amos, Call Me By Your Name - Walter Fasano, The Shape of Water - Sidney Wolinski, Lady Bird - Nick Houy, Mudbound - Mako Kamitsuna

Animated Feature
Coco
The Breadwinner
Loving Vincent
Ferdinand
The Boss Baby
Other possibilities: The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales, Despicable Me 3, The LEGO Batman Movie, The Girl Without Hands

Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049 - Roger Deakins
Dunkirk - Hoyte Van Hoytema
The Darkest Hour - Bruno Delbonnel
Other possibilities: Wonder Wheel - Vittorio Storaro, The Shape of Water - Dan Laustsen, The Beguiled - Philippe Le Sourd, Mudbound - Rachel Morrison, Wonderstruck - Ed Lachman

[A Sith Lord?]

Apes is due for a win.

[CelluloidPal]

Originally Posted by AaronJ

As I said in the BR2049 thread, this is the only one I really care about. It's ridiculous that he's been nominated 13 times and never won. His work is amazing.

He should have won for Skyfall but lost to Life of Pi. But then again, many people have been nominated over the years and have yet to win.

[firasd]

Ghost in the Shell deserves to be a strong contender for Best Visual Effects, and nominated for Cinematography, Costume Design, Makeup and Hairstyling, Production Design, Sound Mixing.

In reality it's probably not going to be nominated for anything after the way it was initially received, because the Oscars seem weighted towards 'prestige' films instead of an objective technical appraisal...

[levcore]

Originally Posted by Leonidas_King

Best Cinematography nod for Atomic Blonde. Yes please.

A Cure for Wellness!

[Jennifer Lawrence Fan]

mother!

A lot of people online seem to be going crazy about this. Even though nothing is really known and think it will get nods after nods.

Shockingly myself. I don't know about that. But we'll wait and see.

[imsounoriginal]

At this point, mother! will either make a big splash at the Oscars or the Razzies lol