Prediction. "HD DVD wins and Fox and Disney onboard in 2007"

[JTK]

Get a load of this latest piece of fanboy fodder and lies.

See how many untruths you can uncover in this wishful thinking:


http://www.tvpredictions.com/whipblu102406.htm

Swanni is of the opinion that Blu-ray will defeat HD-DVD. I respectfully disagree. I find it more probable that neither will become mass items and that both will survive as niche products than that Blu-ray (BD) will win out.

It is possible that HD downloads will be available before either of these formats reach the masses, which if true, will spell the death of both as home movie formats. However, I feel that it is quite possible, if not likely, that HD-DVD will prove to be the format of choice for HD movies for several reasons.

The first is the cost of the players. The first generation Toshiba, the HD-A1, retailed for $499. It could be purchased from several retailers for as little as $399.
The Samsung BD player, on the other hand, retailed for $999. The same is true for the new Phillips. The Panasonic is about $1300. and the Pioneer even more.

(The Sony Blu-ray player, which is being made by Pioneer, is now delayed until December and is set to be sold for $999.)

It is clear that the Toshiba has far outsold the Samsung at this juncture. At the prices noted above, only the most eager Home Theater enthusiasts are buying into BD at this point. On the other hand, there are at least 50,000 HD-DVD players that have been sold. In some estimates, HD-DVD titles have outsold BD titles by a factor of at least 3:1.

The Trojan Horse for the BD camp, the PS3, is not likely to make the big splash for BD movies as anticipated as it will be purchased mainly by gamers who will not likely use it to watch BD movies but play games.

How many times have we seen this wishy washy argument thrown around?

It's irrelevant. All that matters is hardware being sold and overall market penetration and final numbers. If BD penetrates by sheer "accident" because it's an integral part of the PS3, what does it matter? It's still there, it's still penetrating, and oh yeah, a nice BD50 of Tallgaeda Nights, a fairly popular film, is being packed in with every PS3.

On the other hand, the XBox360 "add on" HD-DVD drive at $199 is selling out its preorders and may add another 100,000 to 250,000 new HD-DVD players into the market by the end of the year.

Where's his proof and documention for this?

The people I've talked to have told me they barely have been able to move or advertise it. The gamers, by and large, don't care about this thing.

Unlike the PS3, these drives are being purchased expressly to play HD-DVD movies, not games.

And it just doesn't matter in the end.

All that matters is final numbers and overall market penetration.

Therefore, with the first generation players, the XBox add on and the new second generation HD-DVD players coming on the market this month, it is possible that there will be several hundred thousand HD-DVD players in homes by the end of the year. This will also be something noticed by the movie studios.

It's possible that pigs will fly outside of my window tonight, at the rate this "logic" is going. Arguably as probable.

There are rumblings that two of the movie studios firmly in the BD camp, Fox and Disney, have not been happy with the BD rollout and are considering also supporting HD-DVD in 2007.

ANY documentation for this? No, of course not. More FUD and propoganda.

If this does come to pass, it will be difficult to see how HD-DVD will do anything but continue to thrive.

As an owner of a HD-DVD player and one who has seen two of the current BD players in action,

Which ones? For how long? Which movies? What conditions? etc. etc.

Of course no further specifics are offered.

... the best that BD will be able to do is match HD-DVD in terms of picture and audio quality. It will not surpass it.

What a #$%^ing lie. Amir himself couldn't have written it any better.

Formats EVOLVE. Compare DVD's of today vs. 10 years ago.

As it stands now, with the number of HD-DVD players out there and the movies being released, HD-DVD will be with us for a long time. Should any of the possibilities noted above actually come to pass, it is quite possible that HD-DVD will become the dominant format.

At this point, it seems clear to me that HD-DVD will continue as a viable format for several years. With any luck, it could even win the format war.

Just more desperate, grasping at straws "logic" for the HD-DVD fanboys to grasp on to in an ever growing world of Blu.

Nothing but rumors and hearsay, and yet I see this kind of stuff constanlty bandied about as truth and gospel.


There's so many lies and biased ASS-U-mptions here it's downright laughable. Where are the specifics? Where's the documentation? What are the sources?

There just isn't a damned thing to it.

Some people are in for a rude awakening in the next few months.