How much will X-Men Origins: Wolverine Bring in Opening Weekend?

[Galactus]

Considering the movie being leaked and the Swine flu i'd say about $70 - $80 million.

what do you think?

[Aerodude73]

What does That have to do with the movie's opening? Cuz' you predict $75-80 million, meaning a lot of people would have to go OUT to see it to make that much money -- so that doesn't (to me) seem to make sense.

Anyway, I think between $60-70 million. Short run time (1hr 37mins per www.fandango.com) ensures many showings each day, built-in audience, and not that this will make That much of a difference but maybe a little bit; on the drive into work this morning, Howard Stern said he caught a screening of it yesterday and LOVED it, said it was better than "IRON MAN" -- which I find hard to believe, but we'll have to see. His sidekick Robin Quivers, was there also, and enjoyed it, but didn't think it was as amazing as Howard did (related to the IRON MAN comparison). I figure since he has a lot of fans who know he's into comic books and movies adapted from them, if he gives it a good review it could help. Also noted that Hugh Jackman is coming in this week on the show.

[Galactus]

Originally Posted by Aerodude73

What does That have to do with the movie's opening? Cuz' you predict $75-80 million, meaning a lot of people would have to go OUT to see it to make that much money -- so that doesn't (to me) seem to make sense.

I originally thought it would make about $90mil that was until i saw this:

Wolverine Facing Swine Flu in Mexico City
Source:Variety April 27, 2009


Variety reports that the recent outbreak of swine flu in Mexico City may hurt the opening of X-Men Origins: Wolverine in the city:

20th Century Fox's "X-Men Origin: Wolverine" is due to open Thursday but the majority of the capital's theaters are likely to be closed. Scores of screens owned by exhibitors Cinepolis, Cinemex, Cinemas Lumiere and Cinemark have gone dark and the remaining chains and indies are expected to follow suit. Cinepolis is also shutting theaters in the states of Mexico and San Luis Potosi. Cinemark and Cinemas Lumiere sites are closed until further notice while others hope to re-open later this week depending on the situation.

If this is happening there its bound to happen here in the U.S.

[Darkhawk9587]

Is this for the U.S. or worldwide boxoffice. If it's for the U.S., I think that it will bring in somewhere between $55 and $70 million.

[Galactus]

Originally Posted by Darkhawk9587

Is this for the U.S. or worldwide boxoffice. If it's for the U.S., I think that it will bring in somewhere between $55 and $70 million.

U.S.

[ScarredLungs]

I'd say $60-$70 Million

[Aerodude73]

Originally Posted by Darkhawk9587

Is this for the U.S. or worldwide boxoffice. If it's for the U.S., I think that it will bring in somewhere between $55 and $70million.

Originally Posted by Blu Blood

U.S.

Quote:
Wolverine Facing Swine Flu in Mexico City
Source:Variety April 27, 2009

Variety reports that the recent outbreak of swine flu in Mexico City may hurt the opening of X-Men Origins: Wolverine in the city:

20th Century Fox's "X-Men Origin: Wolverine" is due to open Thursday but the majority of the capital's theaters are likely to be closed. Scores of screens owned by exhibitors Cinepolis, Cinemex, Cinemas Lumiere and Cinemark have gone dark and the remaining chains and indies are expected to follow suit. Cinepolis is also shutting theaters in the states of Mexico and San Luis Potosi. Cinemark and Cinemas Lumiere sites are closed until further notice while others hope to re-open later this week depending on the situation.

If you say you're talking about U.S. Box Office numbers, what does Mexico City have to do with it? It's only a few cities affected here, most from a school trip of kids (20 I believe) that was recently down there, so if you think because of Mexico City's potential box office being down w/people staying in where the flu is More Prevalent, I don't see the connection to it having the same affect in the States. It'll do at least $60+ mil, maybe over $70mil. I'll be there Sunday.

[Blu-Benny]

i'd say somewhere in the neighborhood of $85 mil., fast & furious made $71 a couple weeks ago, wolverine is the official kick off to the summer movi season, more people s/b out and about i'd think.

[raskal66]

I'd say anywhere from $60 to $80 million.

[Mike53421]

Last Three X-Men Movies:
X-Men: $54,471,475 ($75 million budget), 3,112 screens (July 14, 2000)
X-Men 2: $85,558,731 ($110 million budget), 3,749 screens (May 2, 2003)
X-Men 3: $102,750,665 ($210 million budget), 3,714 screens (May 26, 2006)
Average: $80,926,957

Last Five May Opening Weekends:
Iron Man: $98,618,668
Spiderman 3: $151,116,516
Mission Impossible 3: $47,743,273
Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy: $21,103,203
Mean Girls: $24,432,195
Average (of last three): $99,159,486

Last Five Opening Weekends:
Obsessed: $28,612,730
17 Again: $23,722,310
Hannah Montana: The Movie: $32,324,487
Fast and Furious: $70,950,500
Monsters vs. Aliens: $59,321,095

Average of X-Men and May opening weekends: $90,043,221

How many screens is this badboy opening on? I'm gonna play it safe while considering the leak, Swine, Fast and Furious/Obsessed big openings and say... $76.6 million.

[Galactus]

Originally Posted by Aerodude73

Quote:
Wolverine Facing Swine Flu in Mexico City
Source:Variety April 27, 2009

Variety reports that the recent outbreak of swine flu in Mexico City may hurt the opening of X-Men Origins: Wolverine in the city:

20th Century Fox's "X-Men Origin: Wolverine" is due to open Thursday but the majority of the capital's theaters are likely to be closed. Scores of screens owned by exhibitors Cinepolis, Cinemex, Cinemas Lumiere and Cinemark have gone dark and the remaining chains and indies are expected to follow suit. Cinepolis is also shutting theaters in the states of Mexico and San Luis Potosi. Cinemark and Cinemas Lumiere sites are closed until further notice while others hope to re-open later this week depending on the situation.

If you say you're talking about U.S. Box Office numbers, what does Mexico City have to do with it? It's only a few cities affected here, most from a school trip of kids (20 I believe) that was recently down there, so if you think because of Mexico City's potential box office being down w/people staying in where the flu is More Prevalent, I don't see the connection to it having the same affect in the States. It'll do at least $60+ mil, maybe over $70mil. I'll be there Sunday.

The states closest to mexico will have more and more theaters close to prevent this epidemic from sprading, do you remember the movie theater scene in outbreak?

[Galactus]

Originally Posted by Mike53421

How many screens is this badboy opening on?

4,000

[Blu Titan]

Originally Posted by Blu Blood

Considering the movie being leaked and the Swine flu i'd say about $70 - $80 million.

what do you think?

Doesn't Jasonbird usually handle the box office threads?

[Galactus]

Originally Posted by Blu Titan

Doesn't Jasonbird usually handle the box office threads?

yeah but i wanted to do one... why whats wrong with my thread?

[iori]

Originally Posted by Blu Blood

yeah but i wanted to do one... why whats wrong with my thread?

We feel like we are cheating on him.

[Galactus]

Originally Posted by JHM

We feel like we are cheating on him.

REALLY!?! i didn't know he had that many lovers

[Aerodude73]

Originally Posted by Blu Blood

The states closest to mexico will have more and more theaters close to prevent this epidemic from sprading, do you remember the movie theater scene in outbreak?

Lol, good point but weird/scary analogy.

[raven1138]

$10 Canadian

[Mike53421]

Originally Posted by Blu Blood

4,000

Looking at 4,000+ screens in May (or 2009 so far)

(Screens) - Movie - Opening Weekend (Date)

(4,163) - Shrek 2 - $108,037,878 (May 19, 2004)
(4,131) - Madagascar - $47,224,594 (May 27, 2005)
(4,054) - Mission: Impossible III - $47,743,273 (May 5, 2006)
(4,059) - Over the Hedge - $38,457,003 (May 19, 2006)
(4,252) - Spider-Man 3 - $151,116,516 (May 4, 2007)
(4,122) - Shrek the Third - $121,629,270 (May 18, 2007)
(4,362) - Pirates of the Caribbean 3 - $114,732,820 (May 25, 2007)
(4,105) - Iron Man - $98,618,668 (May 2, 2008)
(4,260) - Indiana Jones 4 - $100,137,835 (May 22, 2007)
(4,104) - Monsters Vs. Aliens - $59,321,095 (March 27, 2009)
Average: $88,701,895

I'll keep my pick.

[xtop]

70-80 million. i'd go higher if it hadnt been leaked, but i don't think its going to hurt THAT much

swine flu