Analysts: 16.5 millions PS3 to be sold by March 2008

[BluOgre]

Originally Posted by ikbradley

That number is way out of line. I love the PS3, but there is no serious AAA staple coming this year. Drakes Fortune, Heavenly Sword and Assassin's Creed are not system sellers. MGS4, GTA IV, FFXIII, Gran Turismo and Little Big Planet are the heavy hitters.

5 million units will be sold between November and March. In late 2008 the PS3will surpass the 360 at 20 million and possibly in late 2009, the Wii at least in software sales. The Wii just has god awful attach rates.... Kid: "Hey Grandma, did you know you can get other game discs for this machine?".... Grandma "What is a disc... I like tennis..."

You should just look at how one game can turn a format around in Japan. Look at the PSP recently with Crisis Core (final fantasy). Basically in a couple weeks it's sold half a million units of the new PSP because of it. It's now outselling the DS for the first time every week.

That's what system selling games can do for you. Imagine when they release MGS4 and FF13 in Japan.....PS3 consoles will sell out. Just like X360 sales exploded (literally and figuratively) when Gears of War released, so will PS3 when a similar must have title is released. I can say MGS4, Little Big Planet, Gran Tursimo (rumored), and possibly Killzone 2 releasing 1st qtr next year could sale that many PS3's now that it's dropped to acceptable costs to consumers. People in the US and Japan are just waiting for a title to make them drop their PS2 (and perhaps their broken X360)