Analysts: 16.5 millions PS3 to be sold by March 2008

[ikbradley]

Originally Posted by BluOgre

You should just look at how one game can turn a format around in Japan. Look at the PSP recently with Crisis Core (final fantasy). Basically in a couple weeks it's sold half a million units of the new PSP because of it. It's now outselling the DS for the first time every week.

That's what system selling games can do for you. Imagine when they release MGS4 and FF13 in Japan.....PS3 consoles will sell out. Just like X360 sales exploded (literally and figuratively) when Gears of War released, so will PS3 when a similar must have title is released. I can say MGS4, Little Big Planet, Gran Tursimo (rumored), and possibly Killzone 2 releasing 1st qtr next year could sale that many PS3's now that it's dropped to acceptable costs to consumers. People in the US and Japan are just waiting for a title to make them drop their PS2 (and perhaps their broken X360)

Look, don't get me wrong. I hope you are right. However, Gears of War came out with no competition. It became a system seller because it was the only non-POS in the market.

Usually a system seller is attached to branding and loyalty. There are very few system sellers that are not sequels. All of the PS2 Sony staples like MGS, FF, GT, DMC, GTA IV, etc., were sequels. Same with Wii. The 360 is the only outlier, but this is because it only had Halo, and surprise, Halo will be the system seller, not Bioshock or Mass Effect.

If Drake's Fortune or Assassin's Creed manage to push more than a million console purchases, that's fantastic, but there has not been nearly enough momentum builtup to indicate that this is likely to happen.

I'm keeping my fingers crossed because the PS3 is rightfully the best console in the market, and far too many people have ignored it, especially in the U.S..