Has Blu-ray already won?

[Blackraven]

Universal would need to stay as an HD-DVD exclusive if they want to continue their offensive.

They know that once they lose Universal switches to the other side, they would've lost their exclusive studio and it would mean victory goes to Blu-ray.

It also means that if they don't keep Universal with them, I won't be buying an HD-DVD player.

I've clocked around AT LEAST 10 titles for my Blu-ray purchase next year (Speed, Transporter 1 and 2, Kill Bill 1 & 2, LXG, Final Fantasy : Advent Children, V for Vendetta, Gone In 60 secs. and From Hell).

If they lose Universal now, then I won't be able to buy their Rundown and Fast and Furious: Tokyo Drift title. Also, don't forget that if the switch happens, they would lose out on the Bourne trilogy (with Bourne Ultimatum coming out next year) for HD-DVD.

If they lose Universal, then there won't be anymore reason to buy HD-DVD.

P.S. EDIT

In regards to hardware, the HD-DVD sector is under threat if only Toshiba remains the primary manufacturer. I mean, RCA is just a mirror copy of Toshiba, Lite-on produces for both formats and the other PC OEM makers ship on both.

Also, the threat of inferior quality products like the HD-A1 makes the situation worse and the fact that the HD-E1 and HD-XE1 have been delayed for Europe (where Blu-ray has the lead in the movie count: Blu-ray with 54 vs. HD-DVD with less than 20 so far)

The upcoming XA2 needs to give them a boost in spite of the delay. But then again, it's going to be priced heavily as well (like the Samsung and Panasonic at launch).

The handicap of having lesser CE support means that it is working against HD-DVD and they have to think of something in order to stay in the game. Otherwise, the current trajectory would be that Blu-ray would beat them.